Saturday, July 29, 2006

Gerard Kennedy Is Winning The Liberal Leadership Race

One of the near certainties of Canadian existence is that whoever the Liberals choose as their leader will eventually become prime minister of Canada. Edward Blake was the only federal Liberal leader never to become prime minister. Since Blake’s time, John Turner was the only leader never to win an election. That we will likely have to endure life under the leader the Liberals pick in early December makes it necessary for non-Liberals, such as me, to keep an eye on the race for the top job in the land of Grits.

With apologies to the rest of the pack, only four candidates have a real hope of winning---Michael Ignatieff, Bob Rae, Stephane Dion and Gerard Kennedy.

· Michael Ignatieff was dubbed the front runner in the early days of the race in large part because he attracted so much of the Liberal machine to his cause. Senator David Smith, the insider’s insider was among the first to perceive in Ignatieff a 21st century Pierre Trudeau. But as Karl Marx might have said---everything in the Liberal Party happens twice, first as tragedy, then as farce. Ignatieff’s problems are multifold---he is not, as Trudeau was, a Quebecois federalist who can save Canada from the sovereignists. On top of that, Ignatieff’s support for the American-led invasion of Iraq is an issue that will not go away. The proudest moment in the saga of modern Canadian Liberalism was when Jean Chretien announced that Canada would not join George W. Bush’s “coalition of the willing.” According to a story in the Toronto Star, Michael Ignatieff came third in signing up new members of the party by the cutoff date of July 4 for participation in the selection of the new leader. This hard fact has cut into Ignatieff’s momentum. He cannot afford to lose momentum in a race in which his likelihood of winning is the only thing that prevents his warts from being examined under a microscope. The trouble with Ignatieff’s campaign is too much brass and not enough grass. Smoke filled rooms aren’t what they used to be.

· Bob Rae should have been a fine Liberal leader and a great prime minister. He speaks well, is highly intelligent and, for a Liberal, is progressive. His problem is his lengthy sojourn in another political party and the fact that he picked the recession plagued early 1990s to be premier of Ontario. Bad luck, and as Napoleon might have said, to become Liberal leader you need to be lucky. Bob Rae has forgotten that aspirations for the future need to fit well with one’s past record. For instance, I wouldn’t mind becoming Pope. In about ten years, I’ll even be the right age. The difficulty is that everything I’ve ever done disqualifies me from making a run for the job. A tell tale sign of the failing Rae campaign is its poor record of signing up new members, especially in Quebec.

· Stephane Dion, a thoughtful, gutsy politician, has two strikes against him. As author of the Clarity Act, he is detested by many Quebecers and cannot win the soft nationalist vote in his home province, which is key to the revival of Liberal fortunes. As a former member of the Chretien cabinet, through no fault of his own, Dion has been tarred with the brush of the Sponsorship Scandal. He can’t win.

· Gerard Kennedy is the natural next leader of the Liberal Party. Young, attractive, articulate and progressive, he has fewer negatives than his opponents and is ideally placed to appeal to the centre left voters the Liberals must win to push Stephen Harper out of power. Kennedy learned from his run for the leadership of the Ontario Liberals in the 1990s that it is often a bad idea to be the front runner. He lost to Dalton McGuinty who capitalized on an Anyone but Kennedy movement. His big negative is that he and his handlers are so determined to avoid repeating what happened to Kennedy a decade ago that they are in danger of re-fighting the last war. The consequence is that Kennedy’s campaign has been dull, with the generation of disappointingly few policy ideas so far. The real strength of the campaign is on the ground and under the radar. Kennedy’s youthful team is running the legs off the boys in the back rooms. They signed up more new members than anyone else. In September, when everyone figures out that he is the real front runner, Kennedy will have to endure a couple of months of savage scrutiny. He can handle it. His impressive job of turning Ontario’s ministry of education around after years of Tory bloodletting shows that he can deliver.

When Kennedy wins the Liberal leadership, Stephen Harper and Jack Layton will be the big losers. Harper would be well advised to upgrade his skills so he can go back to operating the Gestetner Machine at the National Citizens Coalition. Layton should relearn his socialism and get ready to present radical, attractive ideas aimed at working people---ideas neither Harper nor Kennedy can match.

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posted by James Laxer @ 4:13 PM   45 comments

Thursday, July 27, 2006

The Globe and Mail is a Rag, Etc....

Today’s lead editorial in the Globe and Mail is yet another in a series of propaganda offerings from Canada’s “national newspaper”. The editorial starts with an attack on UN Secretary General Kofi Annan for his claim that Israeli forces “apparently deliberately” targeted the UN post in south Lebanon, killing four peacekeepers including one Canadian. The Globe has leapt to the conclusion, even before there has been an investigation, that “there is nothing to suggest that Israel attacked the UN men on purpose.” Maybe---but couldn’t the editorial writers wait for some hard evidence? It’s no secret that there has been bad blood between Israeli forces and the UN peacekeepers in south Lebanon for many years. And it’s passing strange that the attack occurred after the UN called in warnings to the Israelis alerting them to the danger of hitting their men.

The central point of the editorial comes in its depiction of Hezbollah as an organization whose leaders “almost revel” in the killing of innocent men, women and children, while Israel is a country that never “deliberately targets civilians.” Is this a thoughtful editorial in a respected Canadian newspaper, or a screed put out by one side in a bitter war?

There was a time when I regarded being in a place where the Globe and Mail could be delivered daily as an essential aspect of the good life. Today, in a period of war and political tension, Canadians are very badly served by their daily newspapers. The National Post, and its siblings in the Southam chain, seem to be published with Dick Cheney as the target audience. But the decline of the Globe and Mail really troubles me. So much of the paper is taken up with the offerings of those who write first and think later (maybe)---Margaret Wente, Christie Blatchford, and Marcus Gee---that you have to feel for all the trees being felled to get out their stuff. The paper has moved so far to the right that I now regard Jeffrey Simpson, who is a good, thoughtful conservative journalist, as a radical, whose column I relish daily.

The trouble is that Canadians who rely on the Globe and Mail and the other daily newspapers in English Canada for information and intelligent commentary have to sift through mountains of crap to glean the odd useful fact or insight. A few decades ago, Herbert Marcuse called this kind of thing the “repressive tolerance” of the press in the democratic world. Not a bad phrase for these terrible times.

During this time of war, and war propaganda, it’s useful to consider the role that Canada, blessed by not being in the front line, can play in the world. Before the United States was drawn into the First World War, President Woodrow Wilson gave an interview to a reporter from the New York World in which he outlined with prescience what it would mean to be draw into war: “It would mean that we should lose our heads with the rest and stop weighing right and wrong. It would mean that a majority of the people in this hemisphere would go war-mad, and quit thinking and devote their energies to destruction….Once lead this people into war and they’ll forget there ever was such a thing as tolerance. To fight you must be brutal and ruthless, and the spirit of ruthless brutality will enter into every fibre of our national life…”

Wilson’s and America’s tragedy was to be sucked into that war and the subsequent consequences were exactly as the president had warned that they would be.

Canada has a great choice to make today. We can allow ourselves to be pulled into bloody conflicts half a world away, either through direct participation in wars, or by giving up our capacity for critical thought about what is going on. The first is worse than the second, but the second is debilitating as well, and there are serious signs that we are far along this path. A country that is “neutral in fact as well as in name…impartial in thought as well as in action” again words from Woodrow Wilson on how America should relate to the war in Europe, can play a crucial role in these perilous times. Canada can strive to be a place where men and women can think about the questions that roil the world and can offer a space where those from war-torn countries can come and consider alternatives. Canada can offer its humanitarian aid and assistance to war torn lands, and Canada can send its forces to participate in genuine peace-keeping missions.

Let us not allow ourselves to be drawn into uncritical support for one side or another in the terrible ethnic and religious conflicts that are the curse of our time. A decade or maybe a century from now, after much more blood has been shed, it is likely that in the Middle East, a sovereign Israel will stand beside a sovereign Palestinian State. Neither side is capable of destroying the other. Seeing the broad outlines of the solution is easy enough. Getting there will require immense ingenuity and courage from people in many countries. At least, let us range Canadians on the side of those in the world who are trying to contribute to that positive outcome, however long it takes to achieve it.

While we are not getting much from the English language press in Canada on the Middle East crisis, the CBC offers some reporting that is useful, when the network is not hiding from its own shadow because it fears that the Harper government will privatize it if they win a majority in the next election. (With a majority Conservative government, the CBC will be privatized no matter how timorous they are.) Radio-Canada is better. The BBC newscasts on CBC TV have been excellent on the Middle East crisis---much better than their gutless reporting on Iraq. France 2, whose newscasts can be seen on TV 5, at 6.30 p.m. offers superb coverage of the Middle East.

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posted by James Laxer @ 12:45 PM   8 comments

Tuesday, July 25, 2006

Strategic Realities in the Middle East

It is often and truthfully said that the first casualty of war is truth. A case in point is the interpretation of the Middle East crisis that Canadians are getting from much of the mainstream media and from the Harper government. The line adopted by the Harper government and fully endorsed on the editorial page of the Globe and Mail is that Israel, a peace loving sovereign state, has been attacked by Hezbollah, a terrorist organization that governs southern Lebanon and that Israel has legitimately and in “measured” fashion counteracted against this terrorist threat on its northern border. The Harper government refuses to call for an immediate ceasefire because it does not want to return to the status quo ante in which Hezbollah poses a continuing threat to Israel. Ceasefire yes, but only after Israel has obliterated Hezbollah----that is Ottawa’s line and the line of nearly all of Canada’s English language press.

This exceedingly one-sided picture excludes so much reality that it amounts to the worst sort of wartime propaganda.

A few strategic realities need to be kept in mind by Canadians to offset the simplicities being offered by Ottawa.

· Two peoples, Israelis and Palestinians, have been fighting over parts of, or all of, a common territory since the creation of Israel in 1948, indeed even before that. That basic starting point is well known but is regularly left out of discussions of the Middle East question. Struggles of this kind in other parts of the world---for instance Ireland, the Balkans, and Kashmir to name a few---are extremely intractable and can continue for decades, even centuries.

· The Six Day War in 1967 dramatically altered the strategic situation in the Middle East. It left Israel occupying the West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem. The occupied territories have been a battleground ever since. The settler movement in Israel, a powerful force in the country’s politics, has managed to established Israeli settlements whose populations now number several hundred thousand people. While Israel pulled its small settlements out of Gaza last year, the major settlements in the West Bank are quite another matter. The settlements pose an enormous stumbling block to a lasting peace with the Palestinians. Any Israeli government that decided to dismantle the major settlements would face enormous domestic resistance, possibly even civil war.

· The plight of the Palestinians has become a rallying cry for political mobilization throughout the Middle East. The question will not go away and it enflames the relationship between all the Muslim peoples of the region and the West. Even the governments of Arab states that are clients of the United States dare not criticize movements such as Hezbollah for fear of losing ground to their political opponents.

· The mainstream media in Canada largely insists on viewing the Middle East crisis through the prism of the American “war on terror”. Since the attacks on New York City and Washington DC on September 11, 2001, the Bush administration has packaged its foreign policy under this rubric. The invasions of both Afghanistan and Iraq were justified to the American people and the world as elements of the war on terror. Hamas and Hezbollah are depicted as terrorist organizations committed to the destruction of the state of Israel. More broadly terrorism is understood as the option chosen by those who hate the freedoms of the West and who are determined to establish theocratic regimes that exclude all but their own particular brands of Islam. The term “terror” is used to characterize acts of force that are launched by non-state actors, who resort to suicide bombings and the bombing of “soft” targets that result in large numbers of civilian casualties. The term “terror” is not used as an epithet to describe attacks carried out by state forces---aerial bombardment, artillery shelling, and tank incursions---that lead to huge civilian casualties. Even though about ninety percent of the casualties in the current fighting have been in Lebanon compared to about ten percent in Israel, the highly loaded term “terrorist” is applied only to one side in the conflict.

· The alternative to terror, according to leaders such as Tony Blair and George W. Bush, most recently promulgated by Blair in London yesterday at a press conference with the Iraqi prime minister, is democracy. Blair’s theory is that the struggle is between the regressive, primitive forces of terrorism and the modernizing forces of democracy. The terms “terrorism” and “democracy” have become slogans whose purpose is to stifle discussion and analysis both in the West and in the Middle East.

· The current struggles, on both sides of the Israel-Lebanon frontier and in Gaza were provoked by incursions into Israel and the kidnapping of Israeli soldiers. In both cases, however, Israel seized on the provocations to launch major campaigns aimed at achieving strategic gains. In the south, the goal has been to undermine the Hamas government of the Palestinian Authority. In the north, the goal is to destroy the military power of Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.

· The United States, the supplier of both monetary aid and the purveyor of advanced weapons to Israel, has stood by and watched while Israel has carried out its assaults on both fronts. While wanting to appear concerned about civilian casualties in Gaza and in Lebanon, the Bush administration supports Israel’s strategic objective on both fronts, as does the Harper government in Canada. The visit of U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to Beirut yesterday can only be described as surreal. She met with the Lebanese prime minister who was recently welcomed to the White House and touted by George W. Bush as the leader of Lebanon’s Cedar Revolution. Now Lebanon lies in ruins as the U.S. does nothing more than a little hand wringing.

· The U.S. wants to see a NATO force deployed in southern Lebanon, along the Israeli border. The purpose of the force would be to take on whatever remains of Hezbollah. There is a strong possibility that in southern Lebanon, a NATO force would be resisted as an occupying army just as the NATO forces in Afghanistan are seen as outsiders by a large segment of the population.

· The United States has strategic aims in the region that go well beyond Hamas and Hezbollah. Dating back to the last days of the Roosevelt administration during the Second World War, every subsequent American administration has regarded the oil reserves of the Middle East as a strategic American concern. The goal has been, and remains, maintaining American control over the oil states of the Persian Gulf and preventing any other great power from gaining control of the oil of the region. The rising power that most concerns the Bush administration today is Iran. With Iran’s rival Iraq in a state of ungovernable chaos, Iran threatens to become the power around which other Middle Eastern states could revolve---Shia-Sunni internecine struggles notwithstanding. The struggle over Iran’s intention to process uranium, supposedly with the intention of acquiring fuel to generate nuclear power, has set off a fateful contest between Washington and Teheran. Whether Iran’s goal is to follow in the footsteps of Pakistan and India to build its own nuclear bombs, no one can say for certain. Armed with nuclear weapons, Iran would gain authority in the struggle against Israel, a state experts believe possesses as many as two hundred nuclear weapons. Both the U.S. and Israel are determined to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear power.

· Hezbollah, which emerged in southern Lebanon in response to the Israeli incursion into that country in 1982, has political sponsors and weapons suppliers both in Syria and Iran. The current conflict could widen into a much larger war that would involve both Syria and Iran. With the Bush administration at a low ebb in public support in the United States, attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities---advocated by some neo-conservatives---would be a very difficult sell. If either Syria or Iran were to become directly involved or implicated in the present fighting, however, such a wider war could erupt in the very near future.

· Canadians, like people all over the world, have a very great interest in preventing the fighting in the Middle East from lighting the fuse of a wider war. As a member of the United Nations, Canada is committed to halting the human suffering that is occurring as soon as possible. Canada, however, is in a very different position from the United States. As the world’s leading imperial power, the U.S. is determined to maintain is position of hegemony in the Middle East. As a country that now imports over fifty per cent of its oil, the U.S. has become highly dependent on sources of petroleum from this dangerous part of the world. Canada, on the other hand, is not a world power and has no imperial stakes on the line in the Middle East. Moreover, Canada is capable of meeting its own petroleum needs from domestic sources, although NAFTA rules force us presently to continue exporting oil to the U.S. even in the event of a shortage of supplies from offshore.

· Canada would do well to consider the conflict in the Middle East from the perspective of a North American middle power. Canadians have a very great interest in halting a conflict which has put tens of thousands of Canadians in the line of fire in Lebanon. As a country widely respected around the world for its commitment to fairness and to peacekeeping, Canada may be able to play a role along with other countries in calling for sanity, an immediate ceasefire, and the provision of humanitarian aid to those who are in need. Canada should not line up unequivocally on one side or the other in the Middle East. We are witnessing a conflict that historical precedent sadly informs us is likely to flare for a long time to come. Canada should do what it can to contain the conflict and to aid in finding interim and long-term solutions. For a start, we need a dialogue that is drained, to the extent possible, of inflammatory and simplistic rhetoric, and partial truths.

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posted by James Laxer @ 4:34 PM   2 comments

Friday, July 21, 2006

CALL FOR AN IMMEDIATE CEASEFIRE

While Jack Layton and Bill Graham, among others, have made useful statements critical of the one-side position adopted by the Harper government in the Middle East crisis, much more needs to be done, and quickly.

A human catastrophe is in the making in Lebanon. Defenceless people are being massacred and driven from their shattered homes. A country, painfully rebuilt in the aftermath of its civil war, is having its infrastructure smashed, and its water and electric power systems, pulverized. In addition to the plight of the people of Lebanon, there is our special responsibility---to safeguard the tens of thousands of Canadians who remain in that country. Unless the fighting is halted, more Canadians, including some who are cut off from any way to reach an evacuation port, are bound to be among the future victims.

In his militarist posturing, Stephen Harper has utterly forgotten that the number one task of the Canadian government internationally is to ensure the safety of Canadians. Never in the history of our country have so many Canadians been exposed to merciless aerial bombardment. With thousands of Canadians directly in the line of fire, Ottawa needs to lend its weight to those in the world who are insisting on a ceasefire.

Members and supporters of the three opposition parties who hold a majority of seats in parliament should demand that their parties call on Ottawa to lead the fight in the United Nations for an immediate ceasefire---a ceasefire that would end the bombing of Lebanon and the rocket attacks on Israeli towns and cities. New Democrats, Liberals and Bloquistes should call for parliament to be convened at once to debate the Middle East crisis and the plight of Canadians in Lebanon. Stephen Harper does not have a majority and should not be allowed to act as though he does.

In particular, the candidates for the leadership of the Liberal Party need to speak plainly and forcefully now. If they claim to offer the country an alternative, progressive leadership, let them show the quality of that leadership when it counts.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:23 AM   1 comments

Wednesday, July 19, 2006

STEPHEN HARPER'S FOREIGN POLICY

Against the backdrop of flames and devastation in the Middle East, the Harper government has adopted a foreign policy that is sharply at odds with Canadian practice over the past four decades.

On board the Canadian Forces plane taking him to Europe for the G 8 summit, Stephen Harper stated that Israel’s military assault in Lebanon in response to the kidnapping of two Israeli soldiers was “measured”. What was new was the unequivocal backing of Israel adopted by Ottawa. Indeed, at the time he made the statement, Harper’s support for Israel was more open ended than the positions taken by any of the other G 8 leaders. Even the Americans, unlike Harper, urged the Israeli’s to exercise restraint.

For the past four decades, since the American war in Vietnam, while Canada has remained a member of NATO and NORAD, this country has pursued a foreign policy distinct from that of Washington. Not only did Canada resist American pressure to send troops to Vietnam, it stayed out of the American led invasion of Iraq in 2003. In addition, Canada led the fight for the adoption of the international treaty against the use of land mines, which the U.S. failed to sign, and signed on to the International Criminal Court and the Kyoto environmental accord, which the U.S. also opposed.

Following the U.S. led invasion of Iraq, Canada positioned itself more closely to the European members of the western alliance than to the U.S. and Britain. While Ottawa did not lead the coalition of countries in opposition to the Bush administration’s Iraq adventure, it broadly followed the line set down by France and Germany. The decision of the Martin government to stay out of Washington’s Anti-Ballistic Missile Defence system strengthened Canada’s relative foreign policy autonomy.

During his few months in office, Stephen Harper has energetically aligned Canada with the Anglo “Gang of Three”, the U.S., Britain, and Australia, making it effectively a “Gang of Four”.

Since his first day in office, Stephen Harper has contemptuously dropped Ottawa’s stance of the past forty years. Against a weak and divided parliamentary opposition, he pushed for and won approval for a two year extension of Canada’s mission in Afghanistan. While it was the Liberals who first got us into Afghanistan, Harper has made the mission a muscular extension of his pro-American militarism. Along with the fifteen billion dollar injection of new funds into the Canadian military, the emphasis is no longer on peacekeeping, but on what is euphemistically called peace making, or more bluntly on war making. Now in the Middle East, Harper has dropped the more even handed policies of Canada of the past. While Paul Martin shifted Canada’s stance closer to that of Israel and Washington, Harper has completed the shift in no uncertain terms.

None of this should come as any surprise. Long before becoming prime minister, Stephen Harper signaled where he stood on foreign policy and made it plain that at the centre of his thinking was the need for a much tighter alliance with Washington. Shortly after winning the leadership of the Canadian Alliance, in his maiden speech in the House of Commons as Leader of the Opposition on May 28, 2002, Harper made the case for an Alliance motion that charged the Liberal government with failure in its management of relations with the U.S. Harper’s thesis was that the Chretien government had been insufficiently staunch in its support for the positions adopted by the U.S. administration.

Harper accused Chretien of “open meddling in U.S. domestic politics prior to the 2000 presidential election when the Prime Minister stated his preference with regard to the outcome of that election.” He quoted the comments of the former political counselor at the U.S. embassy, David Jones, who said in January 2001 that Chretien exhibits “a tin ear for foreign affairs, especially those involving the United States.” Harper’s conclusion: “It is no secret that this poisoned the relationship between the government and the new American administration.”

Harper then broadened his attack on the Chretien government, beyond trade issues, to attack it for its entire foreign policy stance vis a vis the United States. “Downright hostility to the United States, anti-Americanism, has come to characterize other dimensions of Canadian policy,” he declared. “In 1996-97 Canada aggressively pushed forward with the treaty to ban landmines without giving due consideration to U.S. concerns about the potential implications for its security forces in South Korea. What did we end up with? We ended up with a ban on landmines that few major landmine producers or users have signed,” Harper charged. Having dismissed an anti-landmines treaty signed by most of the nations of the world in Ottawa, Harper went on to tow the Bush administration’s line on the development of an anti-ballistic missile defence system. “Most recently we have been inclined to offer knee-jerk resistance to the United States on national missile defence despite the fact that Canada is confronted by the same threats from rogue nations equipped with ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction as is the United States.” Harper’s litany of complaints against the Chretien government ended with this nod to those who allege that Canada’s refugee system makes it vulnerable to terrorists: “The government has not adequately addressed the matter of security in the context of continental security. Because of the unreformed nature of our refugee determination system, we continue to be subject to unique internal security and continental security dangers.”

Having dismissed Jean Chretien as a leader who was always anti-free trade, Harper commended Brian Mulroney for having “understood a fundamental truth. He understood that mature and intelligent Canadian leaders must share the following perspective: the United States is our closest neighbour, our best ally, our biggest customer and our most consistent friend.”

Harper concluded with his own peroration, his set of principles for dealing with the United States. “Not only does the United States have this special relationship to us, it is the world leader when it comes to freedom and democracy…..If the United States prospers, we prosper. If the United States hurts or is angry, we will be hurt. If it is ever broadly attacked, we will surely be destroyed.”

Here was a theory of Canadian-American relations that allowed for no differentiation between the interests of the United States and those of Canada. If there were problems in the relationship, it was because Canadian leaders had been insufficiently devoted to supporting the United States on all essential matters of continental and global policy.

Since taking office, Harper has not only beefed up the Canadian mission in Afghanistan, he has signed on to a broader role for NORAD which will mean that elements of the Canadian Forces will often end up under the command of Americans in the land and sea defence of North America, as well as in the traditional aerospace operations of the alliance.

No one should have any doubt about where Stephen Harper will lead this country should the Conservatives win a majority in the next election. Not only will he remain a proud member of the Gang of Four, he will undertake initiatives to pursue Deep Integration with the United States in a host of economic areas. This neo-conservative will not be satisfied until the military alliance stands side by side with a customs union, a fortress North America approach to security, and if conditions allow, the adoption of a common North American currency.

In the meantime, Harper will take tactical steps to humanize his image as he did today when he announced that he would fly in his Canadian Forces plane from Paris to Cyprus to pick up a hundred or more Canadians who have been evacuated from Lebanon. He made it clear, though, that this did not signal a more even handed view of the conflict in the Middle East or that he was responding to his critics.

Whatever tactics they decide on, and however contradictory those may be, progressive Canadians should heed the writing on the wall and determine that their highest priority should be to deny this man and his party the unfettered rule they would gain with the election of a majority Conservative government in the next election.

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posted by James Laxer @ 4:06 PM   0 comments

The Trouble With Ignatieff

As he seeks to convince us that he should be our next prime minister, the trouble with Michael Ignatieff, is not the decades he spent outside Canada. Canadians have consistently thought highly of their fellow citizens who go abroad, win laurels and return to play a role in this country.

The trouble with Ignatieff, a pro-imperialist who is socially progressive, is that his outlook on the world is hardly likely to foster political unity among Canadians who are opposed to Stephen Harper, presumably the goal of the Liberals in selecting a new leader.

Ignatieff is a self proclaimed, muscular crusader who is committed to the idea that there is an American Empire and that it has a vital role to play as the last, best hope of people who live in some of the world’s so-called “failed states.” On the American Empire, he has written that “it is an empire…without consciousness of itself as such. But that does not make it any less of an empire, that is, an attempt to permanently order the world of states and markets according to its national interests.” More controversially, in 2003 he declared himself in favour of the Bush administration’s decision to invade Iraq. Three months before the American assault, Ignatieff wrote in the New York Times Magazine that “the case for empire is that it has become, in a place like Iraq, the last hope for democracy and stability alike.” In his book Empire Lite, also before the invasion, he wrote that “the Iraqi opposition will never overcome tyranny without an American and British military victory, followed by a long occupation.”

When the U.S. and the “coalition of the willing” invaded Iraq, the Liberal government of Jean Chretien kept Canada out of the war on the grounds that the invasion did not have the backing of the United Nations. Canada took the position adopted by many American allies in Europe and in other parts of the world that the Bush administration’s doctrine that the United States had the right to invade states it saw as posing a threat to it undermined international law and the system of state sovereignty that has been the theoretical foundation of the global system for over three centuries. In that vitally important debate, Michael Ignatieff was on the side of unilateralism.

Ignatieff’s pro-imperial utterances and his support for the invasion of Iraq have placed him in a very select company, alongside the intellectual hardliners whose signature is their relish for “realism” and their enthusiasm for the use of force. The others on this terrain such as Robert Kagan, William Kristol and Robert Kaplan are dependable neo-conservative stalwarts. This makes Ignatieff that distinct oddity, a liberal who travels with a flock of American eagles.

Coming to the side of George W. Bush when most of humanity was moving in the opposite direction has made Ignatieff a new neo-conservative. This is not as strange as one might imagine. Several decades ago, it was liberals who believed in America’s global mission, who made the journey across the political spectrum to become the original neo-conservatives.

As things have gone wrong for the U.S. in Iraq, splits have developed in the neo-conservative movement. In his recent book, America at the Crossroads, Francis Fukuyama broke with his erstwhile neo-conservative political allies with a fierce denunciation of American foreign policy. He asserted that the Bush administration’s doctrine, on which the invasion of Iraq was based, blurred the crucial distinction between pre-emptive war----the invasion of a country about to launch an assault of its own---and preventive war---the invasion of a country that could constitute a threat at some point in the future (the Iraq case). Fukuyama argued that with its invasion of Iraq, the Bush administration “announced an open-ended doctrine of regime change and preventive war; and it implicitly asserted a principle of American exceptionalism in its self-proclaimed benevolent ordering of the world.”

While Michael Ignatieff is far from happy with how the American intervention in Iraq worked out, he has nowhere said that it was wrong in the first place. He has castigated the Bush administration for “stretching the evidence” on the existence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, but he has not repudiated the logic that led him to support the invasion in the first place.

For Canadians, as citizens of a middle power living next door to the world’s only superpower, these questions are of fundamental importance. Canadians have always understood that the well-being of this country rests on multilateralism and the strengthening of international law. When powerful states take unilateral action, outside the boundaries of international law, they make the world a more dangerous place, not a safer one. There are cases where states need to come together under U.N. auspices to intervene in countries such as Rwanda to take collective action against genocide, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity. But, such cases should not be confused with that of Iraq whose invasion was neither sanctioned by the U.N., nor justified on the grounds that it was needed to avert a human catastrophe.

While Michael Ignatieff has said that he does not now favour sending Canadian troops to Iraq, the question remains whether he would have joined George W. Bush’s coalition of the willing in 2003 had he been the leader of the Canadian government at the time. Based on everything he has written and said before and since the invasion, there is every reason to believe he would have made that choice. He is now a fervent supporter of the two year extension of the Canadian mission in Afghanistan, a decision of the Canadian government about which a very large number of Canadians are uneasy.

When he launched his leadership campaign, Michael Ignatieff said he believed the Liberal Party should lean to the left politically. Given his pro-imperial views, Ignatieff could end up being a very divisive figure among progressive Canadians, in the way Tony Blair has become exactly that---a millstone around the neck of the centre-left in Britain. Now the most unpopular leader of the Labour Party since the Second World War, Blair has opened the way for what has seemed unthinkable, the return of the lack-lustre Conservatives to office in the next British general election.

Ignatieff was recruited by Liberal insiders who believed that he would be a second Pierre Trudeau. Instead, because his foreign policy views are offensive to so many people in exactly the part of the political spectrum that is crucial to any hope of Liberal success, his choice as Liberal leader could ensure the victory of Stephen Harper in the next election.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:21 AM   0 comments

Michael Ignatieff and Warrior Intellectuals

Timothy Brennan’s article exposes the vanities of the new breed of warrior intellectuals who have signed on to the 21st century imperial project. Whatever their intellectual and ideological origins, and they are various, Michael Ignatieff, Niall Ferguson, Robert Kaplan and Thomas Friedman, among others, are self-proclaimed guardians of civilization against the onslaught of the new barbarians. What unites these thinkers is more their tone of studied hardness than any intellectual consistency. In their approaches to the challenges of failed states, terrorism, and Islamic jihadism, they have contempt for those they see as soft liberals who hope for a world in which tolerance, the rule of law, greater social equality and peace might be sought without the power of empire to sustain them.

When he is asked tough questions about why he supported the American-led invasion of Iraq, Michael Ignatieff quickly mentions that he has been shot at. Apparently this arresting fact is among his qualifications to lead provincial Canadians who understand little of the real world. The fact that most Canadians were right that the invasion of Iraq would make the world a less safe place and that he was wrong doesn’t come into it. It’s matter of tone, of pose.

It’s much the same when Niall Ferguson dares to challenge political correctness by quoting Rudyard Kipling’s “White Man’s Burden” approvingly. How better to shock us into realizing that despite the blots on its record, such as the massacre of hundreds of civilians by British troops at Amritsar in India in 1919, the British Empire was a good thing on the whole. His message is that the world needs America to take up where the British Raj left off.

Robert Kaplan, in a characteristic phrase, declares that “Machiavelli says, good men bent on doing good must know how to be bad.” The realists love pithy, epigrammatic phrases that highlight their toughness.

Not all has been going well for these thinkers, however. The debacle in Iraq has been prompting some to leave their ranks. With his recent book, America at the Crossroads, Francis Fukuyama, whose The End of History and the Last Man, proclaimed that the American way of life would become that of the whole world, has abandoned the cause. He has written that the invasion of Iraq was a foolish error that America could ill afford and has announced his departure from the ranks of the neo-conservatives. Lately too, as a candidate for the leadership of the Liberal Party, Ignatieff has tried to put his pithy past behind him.

Rather than converging for underlying intellectual reasons, I believe these thinkers adopted a common muscular tone when it was opportune for them to do so. Now that the winds are less favourable for empire, these thinkers are likely to be blown to quite disparate destinations.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:20 AM   2 comments

Canada Should Pull Its Troops Out of Afghanistan

Canada should pull its troops out of Afghanistan. The West’s mission there is no less a “march of folly”, to use historian Barbara Tuchman’s phrase about the U.S. war in Vietnam, than was the Soviet attempt to impose a regime in Afghanistan with its invasion in 1979. The Soviet invasion was the beginning of the end of the Soviet Empire. Sixty years earlier, in 1919, the British decided that their own imperial effort to dominate Afghanistan was doomed and they recognized Afghan independence and withdrew to the other side of the Khyber Pass.

In our day, the United States is involved in an unwinnable struggle for hegemony in Iraq, Afganistan, and much of the rest of the Middle East and Central Asia, from which Canada should stand aside.

In Afghanistan, Canadian forces are not engaged in peacekeeping. They are involved on one side in a civil war. While Canadians have been rightly proud of this country’s decision to stay out of Iraq, they have paid insufficient attention to the fact that the former Liberal government drew us ever more deeply into Afghanistan. The mission now entrusted to Canadian and other coalition troops in southern Afghanistan, under the command of Canadian Brigadier-General David Fraser, is no less a war mission than the campaigns being fought by the British and the Americans in Iraq.

When President George W. Bush paid a surprise visit to Kabul this week, he spoke, as always, of his determination to prosecute the war on terror. The so-called war on terror is really a struggle in which the United States and its allies are attempting to impose their hegemony on a large part of the world. (The rejoinder that the Americans had to invade Afghanistan to retaliate against the attacks of September 11, 2001 is a non-starter. They had as much reason to invade Saudi Arabia from which much of the financing of the attacks and most of the hijackers came.) In the process, the values that are most dear to us, democracy, human rights, equality for women, freedom of speech and the right to publish our thoughts are being preached in a contest that has little to do with any of these. In many regions of the world, democracy, freedom and human rights are seen as cynical slogans, Orwellian double-speak, mouthed by those who want oil and other natural resources, and the strategic pathways, such as Afghanistan, that lead to these resources.

In 1900, Mark Twain wrote a warning about phony humanitarianism that rings true today. “I said to myself,” wrote Twain about the American intervention in the Philippines a century ago “here are a people who have suffered for three centuries. We can make them as free as ourselves, give them a government and country of their own, put a miniature of the American constitution afloat in the Pacific, start a brand new republic to take its place among the free nations of the world. It seemed to me a great task to which we had addressed ourselves.”

“But I have thought some more, since then…and I have seen that we do not intend to free, but to subjugate the people of the Philippines. We have gone there to conquer, not to redeem”

“And so I am an anti-imperialist. I am opposed to having the eagle put its talons on any other land.”

If Canada and the other western powers pull out of Afghanistan, what will be the consequences for that country? The struggle involving the government in Kabul, the remnants of the Taliban and regional warlords will continue. At the end of the civil war, the regime that emerges is unlikely to look much look a democracy that practices human rights. It could even be a fascistic theocracy. On the other hand, the presence of western powers, perceived in this region of the world as the forces of imperialism, will never succeed in imposing a western-style system in the country. For centuries, the Afghans have shown an ornery tendency to throw out foreign invaders. And when, years from now, the people of the West decide to pull out of Afghanistan, withdrawal at that late date could leave an even more battered country and an even more tyrannical regime in its wake.

In the 19th century, the Europeans thought it was only natural that their empires should rule much of North Africa, the Middle East and Central Asia. In the 21st century, the Americans have not yet learned that this is folly, although recent public opinion polls in the U.S. suggest that the truth is dawning on them.

Not least, Canadians should pull their troops out of Afghanistan for an old-fashioned, even politically incorrect, reason. It is not in our interest to put our young men and women in harm’s way in a struggle that will not be won.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:18 AM   41 comments

Tuesday, July 18, 2006

The Threat of a Wider War

While it’s far from inevitable, it is not unlikely that the United States, possibly in tandem with Israel, will launch a military strike against Iran in the next few months. Washington and Tehran have been trading threats and counter threats in an escalation that could end in war. Last week, the Bush White House issued its National Security Strategy report for 2006 which included the stark warning that the United States “may face no greater challenge from a single country than from Iran.” The words from Washington are ominously similar in tone and content to the language that preceded the invasion of Iraq three years ago. In a recent speech, Vice President Dick Cheney spoke of “meaningful consequences” if Iran did not back down from its insistence that it has the right to pursue a uranium enrichment program, which Tehran claims is for peaceful purposes only. The White House report stated that the U.S. “will continue to take all necessary measures to protect our national and economic security against the adverse effects” of the “bad conduct” of the Iranian government.

What makes the crisis especially worrying is that both regimes, the Bush administration and the Iranian government, are desperate in their own ways. In a recent poll, only 44 per cent of Americans approved of the president’s handling of terrorism and homeland security with only 36 per cent positive about his overall performance. With midterm elections approaching in the autumn, Republicans have been abandoning the administration on issues such as whether a firm based in the United Arab Emirates should be allowed to manage American ports. Most Americans now fear that Iraq is sinking into civil war and that the American mission there has become a quagmire.

For some neo-conservative strategists in Washington, a way out of the dilemma could be to widen the war by launching an assault on Iran’s nuclear facilities, and perhaps more importantly, on the scientists and technicians who are crucial to the country’s nuclear ambitions. With all its attendant risks, an aerial and missile attack on targets in Iran, with no land invasion, could eliminate any potential nuclear threat from that quarter and could stop the flow of aid to insurgents in Iraq that the Pentagon alleges has been coming from Iran. In the best case scenario, the assault could strengthen internal dissent in Iran, triggering the fall of its regime. Such a wider war, some believe, could win back domestic support for George W. Bush and prevent his second term from becoming a shambles.

At least as desperate is President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran who was elected last June from a restricted list of candidates, purged of opponents of the policies of the Islamic Republic. The Tehran government has faced increasing dissent from vocal critics and the rising impatience of the Iranian people. To firm up his base of support, the president has adopted a strategy of inflaming nationalist passions against what he depicts as the American threat to limit Iran’s right to pursue its own nuclear strategy. Pouring kerosene on the flames, he has described the Nazi holocaust of European Jewry as a “myth” and has declared that Israel should “be wiped off the face of the earth.” Iran has ominously threatened the United States with “harm and pain” if the U.S. tries to punish Iran through sanctions imposed by the U.N. Security Council.



Pointing out that both sides are moving toward a “point of no return”, an editorial in the New York Times concluded that U.S. efforts to get the Iran nuclear issue referred to the United Nations Security Council has “unnecessarily upped the ante.”

If European, Russian and Chinese efforts to defuse the crisis fail and the United States attacks Iran, there will be armed combat in distinct but interconnected theatres stretching from Iraq, through Iran and Afghanistan into the border regions of Pakistan. In its own way, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will be subsumed within this wider struggle.

Though this has been underreported in Canada, political analysts and governments around the world are weighing the likelihood and consequences of such a wider war. The German publication Der Spiegel has reported that the Americans have been holding talks with allies in the Middle East to prepare the ground for a possible military strike against Iran. In the event of a much more extensive conflict, Canada’s mission in southern Afghanistan would be ensnared within it.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s clichés about how Canadians do not “cut and run” and do not choose to sit “in the bleachers” do not serve us well in such a perilous hour. Now is the time to consider how Canada can help slow the rush to a wider war and whether it is in our national interest to involve ourselves in it should it erupt.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:34 PM   0 comments

Paul Martin's Legacy

As Paul Martin exits 24 Sussex Drive, he remains for Canadians a complex and contradictory character. And in that he personifies the Liberal Party, and even the country itself.

Capitalist to the core, an entrepreneur, and a believer in the virtues of the market and of free trade, Paul Martin was one of the few successful businessmen ever to reach the prime minister’s office. In 1973, he became president of Canada Steamship Lines and in 1981 he bought the company from Power Corporation’s Paul Desmarais. That risky venture made him a very wealthy man. While CSL’s headquarters remained in Montreal, its decision to expand its international operations and to fly foreign flags over many of its vessels prompted repeated accusations that the company was avoiding Canadian taxes and was paying workers much lower wages than those received by its employees in Canada.

Along with Jean Chretien, whom he royally disliked, Martin achieved power following the federal election of 1993 when he was appointed finance minister. He will be remembered as the man who cut federal social spending to the bone in a complete repudiation of the famous Red Book, the platform on which the Liberals won office. In his 1995 budget, Martin slashed social spending relative to the size of the economy to levels lower than any seen since 1951. Critics believe those cuts gravely undermined the nation’s public health care system and opened the door to the rapid growth of the private delivery of health services.

There was, however, another side to Paul Martin. He was a genuine, although cautious reformer, in the manner of that most durable of Liberal leaders, William Lyon Mackenzie King. His fiscal toughness, he would argue, turned Canada’s economy around, replacing federal deficits with surpluses. As prime minister---under pressure from the NDP, to be sure---Martin reversed the cuts to federal social spending he had made as finance minister. In September 2004, his momentous health care deal with the provinces put billions of dollars in federal funds back into the system. On the eve of the election campaign, he negotiated an historic agreement with aboriginal leaders and first ministers that pledged the spending of billions of dollars on aboriginal development in the years to come. During the election campaign, Martin announced a far reaching public, not for profit, child care program. (With Stephen Harper in office, the aboriginal program could be scrapped and the child care program is a dead duck.)

In a poem about Mackenzie King, mid twentieth century political thinker F.R. Scott captured the essence of Liberal oscillation between cautious conservatism and occasional radicalism in words that could have been written about Paul Martin: “He never let his on the one hand know what his on the other hand was doing.”

What makes Canada unusual in the advanced world is that a centre party has been its dominant political force for many decades. The norm in other countries is for powerful parties on the left and right to overshadow the centre. Because it is a two headed monster that faces both left and right, the Liberal Party is loathed by its opponents for what they see as its lack of principles. A centre party is rarely an innovator. The Liberal Party has often eaten the lunch of its foes----taking ideas for social programs from the NDP, and serving up tax cuts to keep the political right at bay.

When he was sworn in as prime minister in December 2003, Paul Martin seemed set for a long stay in power. His accession to the highest office, however, came only after a lengthy struggle waged by Martin and his followers within the Liberal Party to unseat Jean Chretien, a battle born of hubris and idealism. Determined to clean up the Liberal Party in Quebec, Martin cancelled the Sponsorship Program on his first day in office. In response to the tabling of Auditor General Sheila Fraser’s devastating report in February 2004, Martin established a commission of inquiry under John H. Gomery, a judge of the Quebec Superior Court, to investigate the mismanagement of the program.

Behind closed doors, members of the Chretien wing of the Liberal Party condemned the calling of the Gomery inquiry as a catastrophic blunder. Jean Chretien, they said, would have shrugged the whole thing off and gotten away with it. But having acknowledged the seriousness of the scandal, Martin was pummeled for it through two election campaigns by all three opposition leaders who refused to concede that he might have been acting out of a genuine determination to clean things up.

Rarely eloquent, Martin nonetheless showed real passion for Canada, and in that he was unique among the federal party leaders. He rejected the idea that Canada should participate in George W. Bush’s missile defence scheme. Martin’s frequent warnings about the dangers of American domination of Canada were airily dismissed by his opponents who saw in them the flailing of a desperate man. What they did not credit is that he had discovered on the job what previous prime ministers had learned---that it is very difficult for Canada to survive as an independent nation on the doorstep of a superpower.

Martin’s tragedy was that he took office as a Liberal leader from Quebec who hoped to win the hearts of Quebecers in a way that Jean Chretien never could. Instead, ensnared in the sponsorship scandal, Martin presided over a precipitous decline in federalist fortunes in Quebec.

The election campaign that sealed Paul Martin’s fate was conducted with all the dignity and decorum of a bare fisted brawl in a hockey arena. But even though Martin was continually bloodied by his three major opponents and by a howling pack of journalists, he did not complain. Although he left the rink battered and bruised, he did so with considerable grace.

How will he be remembered? Unlike most politicians, Martin is a good listener, with a voracious appetite for new ideas and perspectives on the world. An energetic and youthful man for his years, he will find useful outlets for his passions. As time passes, it may be realized that he grew while in office and gained a wider and deeper understanding of this complex country and its people. He may even be regarded with some affection especially as people rethink the unfairness of the shabby treatment he received at the hands of political opponents and the media.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:32 PM   0 comments

Harper's Not For Turning

A popular theory that has emerged during this election campaign is that Stephen Harper has moderated and that the former head of the National Citizen’s Coalition is no longer the hard-line conservative he once was. Some analysts have speculated that he could even end up like former Ontario Premier Bill Davis in office, a mellow, centrist who would not rock the Canadian boat.

People who make such comments are whistling past the graveyard. In recent decades, both in Canada and abroad, neo-conservatives have not moderated when they have taken office. If anything, they have become more hard-line. The records of a quartet of conservatives eloquently illustrate the point:

· In 1979, Margaret Thatcher was the first of the major neo-conservatives to come to power in a U.K. election that opened the door to what came to be called the Thatcher Revolution. Within a year of her victory, her harsh monetary policies plunged Britain into a severe recession. Many industrial jobs lost during the Thatcher years were never regained. The Thatcher government privatized telephone and electric power utilities and water distribution companies at low prices that were so advantageous to investors that former Conservative Prime Minister Harold Macmillan accused her of “selling the family silver.” During her decade in office, as under the other neo-conservative regimes of the quartet, the income gap between the affluent and the rest of the population widened appreciably. “The lady’s not for turning”, it was said of Margaret Thatcher who became known as the Iron Lady, a tribute to her refusal to compromise.

· The year after Thatcher’s victory in Britain, Ronald Reagan was elected to the White House, with a pledge that he would restore America to its former glory. The key elements of his program were tax cuts and a steep increase in military spending. Reagan’s policies drove the U.S. government to massive deficits. By the time he had been president for five years, the United States had become a net debtor nation----America owed more to foreigners than foreigners owed to Americans, for the first time since 1919. Reagan’s legacy, like Thatcher’s, was the loss of millions of jobs in the industrial heartland of the United States, jobs that were later replaced by what were nicknamed “McJobs”, low paying positions in the service sector of the economy. Genial though the Gipper was, he also believed in staying the course.

· Mike Harris rode the Common Sense Revolution to power in Ontario in 1995. During the election campaign that year, Harris pledged deep tax cuts, and promised to pay for them through steep reductions in all government programs, except for those in the areas of health care, classroom education and law enforcement. Upon assuming office, he cut the payments to those on welfare---the most hard up people in the province. He delivered on his income tax cuts, handsomely rewarding the highest income earners with savings of thousands of dollars a year. By the time his successor Ernie Eves was defeated in the election of 2003, the Conservatives had downloaded responsibilities to municipalities that couldn’t afford them and had left the educational system in a shambles. Whenever he was asked if he would moderate his programs, Mike Harris always answered that Ontarians voted for what they got.

· In his youth, the playboy son of a well-positioned father, George W. Bush seemed to have little on his mind when he ran for president in 2000. He promised lower taxes and won applause at rallies when he talked of restoring the military greatness of America. The terror attacks of September 11, 2001 gave Bush a mission and brought out the latent ideologue in him. Since that date, America has invaded Afghanistan and Iraq, and in his second inaugural address last January, Bush made this bombastic pledge: “America, in this young century, proclaims liberty throughout all the world, and to all the inhabitants thereof.” Under Bush, America’s military is mired in a war it seems unable to win, and the United States is plunging ever more into debt to the rest of the world. At home, George W. Bush has created a surveillance state in which the government spies on the people, and has made court appointments that could imperil the right of women to abortions.

Is it fair to anticipate that Stephen Harper is cut from the same cloth as the members of the quartet and that he has not moderated or “evolved” to use his own word? The signs that the Conservative leader is an ideologue with a strongly right-wing agenda are readily at hand, his recent outburst about the courts and the civil service, being only the latest example. In power, Harper will reopen the debate about Canada signing on to U.S. missile defence and is likely to cancel Canada’s commitment to the Kyoto environmental accord. He refuses to commit himself to honoring the far-reaching aboriginal development program agreed to by first ministers last autumn. He will not throw Ottawa’s weight behind the establishment of publicly funded, not for profit, childcare across the country. And, as he said on day one of the election campaign, he plans to reopen the issue of same-sex marriage.

Perhaps the best clue that Harper has not moderated comes from his commitment to resolve the so-called fiscal imbalance in Canada. In plain English that means that a Harper government would sharply reduce Ottawa’s role in setting the nation’s socio-economic agenda. That pledge, one of Harper’s top five priorities, could well become his mantra as he slashes government programs in the days to come.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:30 PM   1 comments

Mulroney's Children

Disillusioned by politics, politicians and the continuous talk of scandal, Canadians could end up voting in record low numbers on January 23. Despite the low expectations, this is looking to be an historic federal election----the election in which “Mulroney’s children” take charge of the Canadian state.

The victory of Brian Mulroney’s Progressive Conservatives in the 1988 federal election was the last hurrah of the old system of three national parties in Canada---the PCs, Liberals and New Democrats. In the election which followed in 1993, two new parties spawned from the old Mulroney coalition---the Bloc Quebecois, winning 54 seats and the Reform Party, with 52 seats, charged into parliament, changing the shape of Canadian politics forever. Reform and its successors, the Canadian Alliance and the Conservative Party of Canada (formed through a merger with what was left of the PCs in 2003) grew out of the political culture of Alberta, quickly establishing a strong base throughout western Canada. The Bloc Quebecois brought the Quebec sovereignists to Ottawa as a major force under the leadership of Lucien Bouchard, former deputy Prime Minister in the government of Brian Mulroney.

Reform, disillusioned with Brian Mulroney and his obsession with Quebec, and the BQ, furious at the failure of the Meech Lake Constitutional Accord in 1990, were Mulroney’s children----born on the wrong side of the blanket, to be sure.

Because of the size of the Liberal majority in 1993----they won 177 seats---it seemed on the surface that Canada would go on as before. Nothing could have been further from the truth. Only Ontario’s massive attachment to the federal Liberals in the elections of 1993, 1997, 2000, and to a lesser extent in 2004, kept that illusion alive. The federal Liberals clamped the lid on Mulroney’s children, but Quebec nationalism and Alberta regionalism, the two most decentralist political forces in the country, were not to be denied indefinitely.

While the regional fires burned, the Liberals and the NDP, the remaining champions of what can be called the traditional “Canadian system”, carried on as before, promoting a federalism in which Ottawa would play a key role in shaping the nation’s socio-economic agenda. It was the political fallout from the sponsorship scandal, of course, that disabled the Liberal Party, the great bulwark of the Canadian system.

The forces of decentralization seem poised to take complete charge of the Canadian state on January 23, with the Conservatives set to sweep English Canada and the BQ about to increase its dominance in Quebec. While the Conservatives and the Bloc have very different political cultures and values, what unites them is their desire to dramatically lessen the role of Ottawa. When Stephen Harper puts correcting the “fiscal imbalance” on his list of top priorities, he is doing much more than holding out an olive branch to soft nationalists in Quebec. He is being true to the essential culture of his own political movement.

People who assume that a parliament dominated by the Conservatives and the Bloc, with Stephen Harper as prime minister, cannot not last long, imagine wrongly. While a showdown between Harper and Gilles Duceppe will come sooner or later, shifting tax points to the provinces and reducing the role of Ottawa in setting national standards for social policies, creates a common agenda that can take them far as de facto allies.

Meanwhile, the Liberals and New Democrats---with important differences between them to be sure---contend against each other in a struggle that is dooming both. The Liberals do this by treating social democratic voters as a spigot to be turned on at election time, and turned off when the Grits are safely in power.

The NDP, which played a crucial role in picking the timing of the election and shaping the central issue as the scandals of the Liberals----even asking the RCMP to investigate Ralph Goodale and the Finance Department---helped Stephen Harper on his way. Fearful of being crowded out of the campaign, the NDP strategy was to continually attack the Liberals, while scarcely mentioning Harper at all. That way, it was hoped, the Liberals would be blocked from winning over soft NDP voters in the last days of the campaign.

What both Paul Martin and Jack Layton did not anticipate was how thoroughly Stephen Harper had learned the lessons of 2004. Moderating his image, he is on the verge of an historic breakthrough in Ontario. And the NDP has helped de-fang him.

The strategies of the Liberals and the NDP lie in tatters as Mulroney’s children stand ready to inherit the kingdom. For those who those who have believed passionately in the Canada in which Ottawa plays a strong role in shaping the social policies of the nation, these are dispiriting days indeed.

While not taking anything away from efforts to save what can be saved between now and election day, it is clear that the parties that favour the Canadian system will have to be rebuilt from the ground up after January 23.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:27 PM   0 comments

This Is a National Crisis

(This article was originally written in 2005)

The leaders of all three opposition parties insist that what Canadians face is a crisis of the Liberal Party, not a national crisis. Formally, they are right. The sordid spectacle at the Gomery Inquiry has exposed deep corruption at the heart of the regime of former Prime Minister Jean Chretien.

The problem is that the imminent demise of the Liberal party and government will trigger a fundamental national crisis that has been implicit in the structure of Canadian politics since 1993. Since the federal election of that year, Canadian political parties have been divided into two essential groups. First, there are the parties of what we can call the “Canadian system”, the Liberals and the NDP. These parties broadly support the present division of powers between Ottawa and the provinces and, with some important disagreements, the present role of government with respect to social programs, higher education, and the environment. They even agree, more than they like to admit, on foreign policy. Then, there are the parties of radical decentralization, the Conservative Party of Canada (much more the descendant of the Reform Party and the Canadian Alliance than of the old PCs) and the Bloc Quebecois.

An immediate federal election, with Canadians fixated on the Sponsorship Scandal, is almost certain to put the federal government and Canadian politics squarely in the hands of the two parties of radical decentralization.

Despite its effort to moderate its image, Stephen Harper and his party are committed to a dramatic reduction of the role of Ottawa in Confederation. Their pledge to implement massive tax cuts and a major increase in defence spending can only be managed through a steep reduction of federal spending on health care, social transfers, higher education and culture. The Conservatives would certainly allow the provinces to open the door to a much larger role for the private sector in the delivery of health care. They would halt any move toward a publicly operated national child care system. They would end Canada’s commitment to the Kyoto Accord. They would sign on to George W. Bush’s missile defence initiative and would take Canada down the road to continental integration on immigration and refugee policy. They would support the conversion of NAFTA to a customs union, and would favour an energy and resources deal with Washington that would designate Canadian resources as continental resources. Fully aware that Canadians don’t favour this agenda, Stephen Harper is seizing the opportunity presented by the Liberal Party’s scandal to attain power.

For his part, Bloc Quebecois leader Gilles Duceppe is the Jekyll and Hyde of Canadian politics. Most days Duceppe is a Doctor Jekyll who wants a clean political system and progressive policies for the country. That is until a crisis arises that will provide him with winning conditions in his crusade to lead Quebec out of Confederation. The demise of the Liberals will take Duceppe a long way toward his goal. After sweeping almost all Quebec ridings in the upcoming federal election, Duceppe can replace the unpopular Bernard Landry as Parti Quebecois leader. From there, his sights would be set on wresting power in the next Quebec election from the even more unpopular Jean Charest. In the persona of Mr. Hyde, Duceppe would then launch a sovereignty referendum while Stephen Harper, his current collaborator in sacking the Liberals, is prime minister. While many Quebeckers would resist the siren call of separation, Duceppe’s case would be dramatically strengthened by the presence in Ottawa of a neo-conservative government with whom Quebeckers would have little sympathy.

Meanwhile, the parties of what I called the “Canadian system” are in disarray.

The Liberals are suffering the death of a thousand cuts, cuts being inflicted as much by Liberals themselves as by their adversaries. It falls to Paul Martin, a decent and honest, though not particularly progressive, political leader to staunch the wounds and save the great party of the Canadian centre. Whether he can turn the situation to his favour in the present mood of national disgust will depend on how clear he can be in presenting an agenda for the long-term renewal of the role Ottawa plays in the lives of Canadians. At best, it’s a long shot.

Jack Layton, in the current imbroglio, is a deer caught in the headlights. The NDP is torn between the desire to join with the other two opposition parties in milking the scandal and a desire to force concessions from Paul Martin to turn the minority parliament in a more progressive direction. The long-term NDP dream has always been to replace the Liberals so that New Democrats can become one of the country’s two viable governing parties, along with the Conservatives. While the scandal provides New Democrats with the hope that they can win over disgusted Liberal voters, it also threatens to bring to office a leader who rejects everything the NDP holds dear. Jack Layton says repeatedly that Canadians should vote for what they want rather than against what they fear. He wants Canadians to focus on the benefits of electing more New Democrats and not to worry about the threat posed by the parties of radical decentralization.

Canadians have every right to be disgusted by the spectacle that has emerged from the Gomery Inquiry. They would be very shortsighted, however, to believe that this crisis is only about a corrupt governing party that has been in power for too long. Those who want to sustain the “Canadian system” need to find their voices, and their political imagination, before it is too late.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:26 PM   0 comments

America's New Civil War

(This article was originally written in 2005)

'America, in this young century, proclaims liberty throughout all the world and to all the inhabitants thereof.'

-President George W. Bush, Second Inaugural Address, January 20, 2005.

'For sixty years, my country, the United States, pursued stability at the expense of democracy in this region here in the Middle East, and we achieved neither. Now, we are taking a different course. We are supporting the democratic aspirations of all people.'

-Condoleezza Rice, US Secretary of State, American University, Cairo, Egypt, June 20, 2005.

This was the summer when global realities---mass murder in London and popular mobilization for Africa---intruded on Canadian introspection. It is scarcely believable that not so many weeks ago, we were all focused on the political drama in Ottawa. As Canadians looked inward, casting doubt that we could afford a robust foreign aid budget when our at-home health care, educational, and anti-poverty needs are so great, our elephantine neighbour to the south was looking outward, or at least outward and inward at the same time. It has no choice, which is why, these days, it would be easier to be a Canadian than an American, were it not for the growing imperative of solving the time-honoured Canadian dilemma of what to do with American appetites…for oil, water, and for winning the “war against terrorism.”

The difference between President Bush’s “proclamation” and U.S. Secretary of State Rice’s admission of failure and announcement of a “different course” is more one of degree than of kind. Both hit Jeffersonian nerves, but neither answers the troubling question: does the world, or the Middle East, want the particular brand of liberty or democracy that the United States is proclaiming or supporting? In his Second Inaugural Address, President Bush harkened back four short years, and the tragedy and brutality of 9/11 seemed to be his operational well-spring. Five months later, with the war in Iraq on-going, Condoleezza Rice, perhaps reflecting a now more sober administration, took a longer view. Of course, it must be said, that after the defeat of Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan in World War II, 1945 and the few world-altering years that followed, saw the emergence of global political internationalism in the form of the United Nations. The idea was that by gathering nation states around the table, and by forcing compromises upon them, the UN would create stability in an insecure world and would thereby keep imperialism at bay. So, why is it then that a single nation, the United States, has taken it upon itself to be both the world’s super-cop and freedom’s patron saint?

In my travels since 9/11, I have found Americans divided in their views in ways that reflect the differences between so-called red (Republican) states and blue (Democratic) states, but not necessarily in the ways people would assume. In the blue states, I have encountered plenty of liberals who excoriate George W. Bush every chance they get. But they also express concerns about the risks of terror attacks on their cities in a way that Canadians never would. And in the red states, while I find fewer people with nasty things to say about the president, I have met people with serious doubts about the war in Iraq and where it will lead. A tour guide operator in Lafayette, Louisiana, joked with me last winter about the way Parisians look down their noses at the way French is spoken in Cajun country. “I tell them, get over it,” she says “you’re not in Paris. Anyway the Parisians are not coming so much right now because they’re mad at us about the war.” Then she sighs and says she thinks it’s “the wrong war.” It’s not so much a political comment as a statement of weary resignation. There are plenty of bumper stickers and signs in windows urging people to “Support Our Troops” in south Louisiana. But the war feels like something to be endured, like bad weather, not something for which there is passionate support.

As cheerleaders and detractors now agree, the United States has assumed this global role, and, in so doing, has become an empire, the greatest since Rome. Like all empires it is compelled to act when threatened; like all empires, its work is forever incomplete, and it has fostered enemies and challengers. But as debate swirls about whether the American Empire serves the broad interests of humanity, many at home are wondering if it is even sustainable. The two debates are intertwined, and for the United States blinking is not an option. All are watching, including Osama bin Laden, who is surely enjoying the cost of American lives and the cost to the U.S. treasury that the on-going insurgency in Iraq is causing. He is also no doubt enjoying the disquiet in the heart of the Republic, America’s new civil war, a battle not over the Jeffersonian notion that freedom is a natural birthright desired by all, but a battle over whether the U.S. should shoulder the costs of exporting this birthright.

At the height of the Cold War, when there was a visible enemy seemingly just as determined as America to export its own doctrine of truth, U.S. federal tax revenue fluctuated between 17 and 20 per cent of America’s Gross Domestic Product, and few disputed the need to vanquish the “evil empire” by outspending it on military initiatives. But with the collapse of the Berlin Wall, the “end of history,” and peace and security settling in through the relatively inexpensive selling of democracy to the world’s “failed states,” one might have expected lower taxes. Right or wrong, it didn’t work out that way. During the Clinton presidencies, and during the much vaunted age of globalization, U.S. taxes increased, reaching a high of 21 per cent of GDP by the time President George W. Bush took office.

When Bush entered the White House he took aim at profligate spending (by the Democrats) and overseas gambling. Having already indicated that he would be a stay-at-home president, in June 2001, the U.S. Congress authorized Bush’s tax cut, valued at $1.35 trillion over the coming decade. That tax cut has led to a sharp drop in federal tax revenue, from 21 per cent to 16 per cent of GDP. This might be considered the good news side of the story. However, in 2000, there was a budget surplus of $236 billion, and the total debt stood at $5.7 trillion; by 2004, the surplus had morphed into a $520 billion deficit, and the debt had grown to an unmanageable $7.4 trillion. What happened?

The answer, according to an increasing number of Americans – sixty per cent, say the polls, now believe that the Iraq War, the second one, has been an unwinnable misadventure – lies in defence spending and homeland security costs. Since the end of the Cold War, American defence spending has followed two distinct trends. For the period 1991 to 2001, it remained relatively constant, fluctuating between $265 billion and $304 billion, and annually representing roughly 16 per cent of overall federal spending. Since 2001, both in terms of total dollars and as a percentage of federal allocations, spending on defence has risen by approximately $50 billion a year, and the total defence expenditures for 2005 will likely top $500 billion, or over twenty per cent of overall federal spending.

The spreading of Jeffersonian ideals and values, and the notion that the American Constitution has universal applications, has always been more a liberal than a conservative boast, and under this patina President Clinton seemed to enjoy his globetrotting. Today, as an on-going response to 9/11 it has flipped over to the Republican side, but as a consequence of overseas extravagance, President Bush’s empire is in serious disrepair at its very centre, and in his travels he is just as likely to meet foreign central bankers who have their grip on America’s fiscal lifeline, as he is celebrants of the cause of liberty. Japan and China hold over one trillion dollars in U.S. government securities, and foreigners in general hold close to four trillion dollars worth of U.S. financial assets. At the same time, having lost more than a third of its value against the Euro since 2001, and with the Chinese Yuan attracting new buyers, the U.S. dollar is failing and its position as the world’s reserve currency is in peril.

Serious observers recognize that American current accounts and government deficits are not sustainable. Unable, in fact, to pay for their wars and for maintaining their global military establishment, many affluent Americans are living in denial as the U.S. plunges ever further into debt. And on the horizon new clouds are forming. The U.S. gained a reprieve of sorts with the failure of the European Union to consolidate around core principles, but if China and India’s growth continues to out-pace all others, the time will come when their internal markets are robust enough not to be beholden to overseas buyers. At that point, and if either of these two nations have imperial aspirations, the shrewdest step possible would be to foreclose on American debts and bankrupt their imperial competitor.

The cracks in America’s imperial armour, however, are more of the moment. Despite President Bush’s late June address to the nation (appropriately from Fort Bragg, North Carolina), where he pledged to “stay the course” in Iraq, June represented the fifth consecutive month in which the U.S. Army missed its recruitment quota. With nearly 2,000 American soldiers having come home in body bags, and Iraqi replacements unready in numbers, not even lucrative sign-up inducements seem to be helping the U.S. volunteer army. New millions have been spent on recruitment drives, but in America’s heartland the idea of sacrificing your body for the slippery notion of selling democracy in the streets of Mosul and the deserts of Iraq, is simply not compelling enough. Increasingly at odds with itself and its core values, a distrustful America is now asking if this quagmire is responsible for everything from the drive to privatize social security to the questionable appointment of a unilateralist, John Bolton, as the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.

As is the case with all empires, those at the helm of the American Empire must ask the crucial question: what imperial frontiers can be sustained at a cost that is not prohibitive. The Romans decided that most Scots and Germans were not worth the outlay in blood and treasure needed to control them. In the United States, almost all serious shades of political opinion remain committed to the continuance of the American empire, but are openly divided on strategy and tactics. Multilateralists are prepared to limit the extent of the empire, and understand the need to use soft as well as hard power to achieve their goals, to cajole as well as to conquer. While under close scrutiny at the moment, unilateralists, the neoconservatives who are now in power and who believe that the stick is mightier than the carrot, might dare again to thrust the empire into exorbitantly costly conflicts on the frontiers.

While the bounties of empire are many, so too are the costs. No empire can be long sustained without a ruling class that is prepared to bear its burden. The British upper classes were willing to pay the price in the eighteenth century during their struggle against France. They paid high taxes, won, and kept their heads. The French aristocrats refused to pay, their state collapsed, and they went to the guillotine during the French Revolution. The Roman Empire also collapsed because its upper classes turned their noses up at taxes. For the British rulers there was a happy ending after Waterloo in 1815. With their enemy vanquished, they enjoyed a century of low taxation and cheap empire. Do the American upper classes, with their pronounced taste for immediate gratification, have the stomach for a protracted struggle in the Middle East, to say nothing of the coming confrontation with China?

If the first great question concerns the durability of the American empire, the second concerns its utility. A great boast of the Anglo-Americans at the end of the twentieth century was that their victories over fascism and communism had rid the world of the vicious utopianisms that had been the most dangerous feature of the century. But the collapse of the Soviet Union and its eastern European empire fifteen years ago left the US in a quandary: justified for four decades as containing communism and protecting the free world, what to do in the 1990s with its own global military footprint? Frenzied investment followed the apparent triumph of liberal democracy – to some, the capitalist equivalent of the Marxist notion that with communism the state would wither away – and the playing field was, quite suddenly, global in scope. But while U.S. reformers looked forward to scaling down costly, and now unnecessary, military instillations, for others the long battle over communism confirmed that “might is right,” and preparations had to be made for a “new American century.” Keeping military bases intact served the interests (and the level of confidence) of multinational corporations, but U.S. imperial dominion still required an overarching concept. It came in the form of the indispensable nation theory. A favourite concept of former U.S. Secretary of State, Madeleine Albright, the indispensable nation theory was serviceable enough during that transitional time, the so-called era of globalization, before more robust ideas to justify American hegemony became necessary with the terror attacks on New York City and Washington DC, in the new age of blood and iron.

And they have appeared. Like an imperial star ship, the Bush administration’s doctrine that the United States has the right to pre-emptive intervention anywhere against perceived threats, now looms over the planet. While so much ink is spilled on Donald Rumsfeld, Dick Cheney, and others supposedly contemptuous of democracy, the star ship is equally surrounded and supported by a different halo, the shining ephemera of a new liberal justification of American empire that plays the role in our world that Christian missionaries played in the days of the old imperialism. These missionary imperialists have performed a great service for the Bush administration, making its policies palatable to many who would not otherwise regard them as legitimate.

A luminary among those who support present and possibly future interventions by the United States and its allies is Michael Ignatieff, the Canadian Carr Professor of Human Rights Practice and Director of the Carr Centre of Human Rights Policy at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government, and now potential successor to Paul Martin as Liberal party leader. “It is at least ironic that liberal believers….,” Ignatieff notes in Empire Lite, “someone like me, for example---can end up supporting the creation of a new humanitarian empire, a new form of colonial tutelage for the peoples of Kosovo, Bosnia and Afghanistan.” But before you are offended by the imperial label, he cautions, you should consider that “it is an empire lite, hegemony without colonies, a global sphere of influence without the burden of direct administration and the risks of daily policing…but that does not make it any less of an empire, that is, an attempt to permanently order the world of states and markets according to its national interests.”

In a similar vein, Ignatieff further writes that “we are no longer in the era of the United Fruit Company, when American corporations needed the Marines to secure their investments overseas. The 21st century imperium is a new invention in the annals of political science….a global hegemony whose grace notes are free markets, human rights and democracy, enforced by the most awesome military power the world has ever known.”

Without an empire, proclaim today’s pro-imperial enthusiasts, there can be no peace, stability and economic development. Without empire, there would be no power that could intervene where states have failed, to deal with human catastrophes and to make possible functioning states, where market economies, democracy and the rule of law can take root. Required is a superpower, superior to all others, to ensure that the global system functions. The alternative to empire is chaos, and liberals like Ignatieff appear to have conceded the American Republican point that the United Nations has either had its day in the sun, was dysfunctional from the beginning, or is incapable of remedy and too cumbersome for a just-in-time world.

The missionary position has been adopted by a very specific species of intellectuals---liberal ideologists who were won over to the U.S. invasion of Iraq in March 2003. Such thinkers have been stirred to passion by the drive to remake the Middle East according to American values. What they find attractive about George W. Bush is not his conservatism, but his utopian liberalism. In a narrative the emperor Hadrian would have understood, the new liberal imperialists warn that the civilized world is threatened by barbarians who lash out at it for a variety of reasons. Exploiting the situation in “failed states”, where human catastrophes brought on by civil war, natural disaster, disease, genocide and religious persecution have destroyed the possibility of viable states, the enemies of civilization take root. In the world’s string of failed states, which can be likened to the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter where planets failed to form, drug smugglers, traffickers in human chattels and terrorists have set up shop. From these safe havens, they lash out at the rest of the world. Most dangerous in our age of instant communications and weapons of mass destruction are the terrorists, with al Qaeda the generic name for terrorists committed to Islamic fundamentalism, who have the capacity strike the first world as fiercely or more fiercely than they did on September 11.

In Longitudes and Attitudes, prolific author and New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman, states it frankly: “How the World of Order deals with the World of Disorder is the key question of the day.” And Friedman is clear that the forces of civilization, led by the United States, must strike at the sanctuaries of the barbarians, just as the Romans did in their time, to make the world safe.

The world is beset by the problems of failed states, Ignatieff equally asserts, citing as one principal cause the wreckage of the process of de-colonization of earlier empires in the 1950s and 1960s. Faced with the barbarians, the imperial centre has no choice but to hit back, using force where necessary, not only to protect itself against attacks, but also to occupy failed states so that they can be nurtured back to health. This process he calls nation-building. Thus, for Ignatieff, imperialism, for a time at least, is the essential handmaiden for the construction of nation states in zones of barbarism.

“The case for empire is that it has become, in a place like Iraq, the last hope for democracy and stability alike,” Ignatieff wrote in the New York Times Magazine in January 2003, noting that critics “have not factored in what tyranny or chaos can do to vital American interests.” Overlooking the point that it might just be the interests (oil, geo-strategic positioning, etc.) that is driving the agenda, Ignatieff’s work has the feel of the belle époque about it. His is a “civilizing mission, and the addition of such thinkers to the ranks of those who supported the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq has widened the political spectrum of those willing to endorse the imperial wars of George W. Bush, and, perhaps unwittingly, given credence to the religiosity of the new American mission.

There seems a paradox here. Following his own logic and historical analysis – the wreckage left by earlier empires, and the fact that empire always produces resistance – it cannot be, for Ignatieff, that empire as such is necessary. If the goal is peace, security, and freedom can this not only be achieved through some form of political internationalism (albeit, like democracy itself, messy) where there is no direct imposition of values from one state to another?

The acclaimed Scottish historian Niall Ferguson goes much further than Ignatieff in presenting the case for empires, insisting, for instance, that the British Empire, despite its warts, was a boon for humankind and that the American Empire is needed to play that role in the 21st century. With brutal honesty, Ferguson writes in Empire: The Rise and Demise of the British World Order and the Lessons for Global Power, “The obvious [lesson the United States can learn from the British experience of empire] is that the most successful economy in the world---as Britain was for most of the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries---can do a very great deal to impose its preferred values on less technologically advanced societies….No doubt it is true that, in theory, open international markets would have been preferable to imperialism; but in practice global free trade was not and is not naturally occurring. The British Empire enforced it.”

The case for the American Empire rests on a singular conceit that dates back to the American Revolution, the presumption of American exceptionalism, that the United States can intervene in the world, while remaining a force for good. American exceptionalism is the chauvinist twin of American democracy. While American democracy has made an immense contribution to the world, American exceptionalism has coloured the way Americans analyse the use their nation makes of its global power. Since even before 1776, Americans have pictured their society as a “city on a hill”, which must either be preserved against outside contamination or from which Americans, armed with truths held to be “self-evident,” must sally forth to save the rest of humanity. A noteworthy example of American exceptionalism is to be found in an acclaimed history of American foreign policy by historian Walter Russell Mead. In his book Special Providence---an exceptionalist title is there ever was one---he is both frank and disingenuous in his discussion of how Americans project power in the world: “The United States over its history has consistently summoned the will and the means to compel its enemies to yield to its demands. Attacks on civilian targets and the infliction of heavy casualties on enemy civilians have consistently played a vital part in American war strategies.”

To make the world safe for American power and to safeguard the corporate and personal property of Americans and to ensure access to strategic resources, the United States has undertaken hundreds of interventions abroad, involving full scale wars, undeclared wars, punitive military expeditions, illegal support for the pro-American side in civil wars, the training and funding of death squads, support for plots to overthrow democratic governments, and illicit interventions in democratic countries to sway the results of national elections. Millions have died as a result of these American interventions. A short list of countries scarred by American operations includes: Mexico, Guatemala, Colombia, Panama, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, Brazil, Chile, Grenada, the Philippines, Greece, Iran, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, the Congo, Jamaica, and Iraq, and last and not least, the intervention in the Italian elections in 1948.

Humanitarian motives in American interventions have been hard to find, much more served up to satisfy liberals at home, than to launch free societies abroad. A final case made by the empire enthusiasts of our time is that only the military power of an empire will suffice to bring humanitarian relief where it is most needed, and Ignatieff impresses with his dissection of the problems of people in places such as Bosnia, Kosova and Afghanistan. But his invitation for us to join him in backing the new imperialism places more weight on our enthusiasm for his liberalism than it can bear. To rely on the American empire to serve the interests of humanity is to look in the wrong place, and Ignatieff himself sees the essential problem when he writes that “it is entirely unsurprising that America and Europe invest in these zones of danger for motives that include just as much callow self-interest as high humanitarian resolve.”

That the United States uses its power to promote stability and order is true. On that we can agree with Ignatieff and the other empire enthusiasts. More to the point, the United States uses its power to promote its version of order, which more often than not is highly destabilizing.

And the American Empire poses a deadly threat to American democracy just as the British Empire once attenuated British democracy by sustaining aristocratic power long into the age of democracy. The appointment, as Attorney General, of Alberto Gonzales, architect of Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo and of the burgeoning U.S. Gulag across the world, shows how empire strikes back at the vitals of America itself. The potent interests, military, corporate, political, that gain their sway in America as a consequence of empire are the enemies of democracy at home. Perhaps America will be more successful than Rome was in fending off the threats to a republic, that have been generated by the rise of an empire, but that is no sure thing. The struggle for democracy and the rule of law takes place not only in failed states but in the imperial states themselves.

Across the world, as Ignatieff reminds us, we observe a plethora of human catastrophes, and a great dilemma faces those who want to find ways for the international community to intervene in cases where states that theoretically exercise sovereignty in crisis torn regions cannot or will not act, or where indeed, the state itself may be a major source of the oppression. But must the world rely on empire to address humanitarian crises? Is it possible in a world dominated by an empire, and its potential challengers, to find ways to address humanitarian catastrophes that are not bound to end up simply opening the way for the achievement of imperial aims? In the 21st century, is humanitarian intervention nothing more than the equivalent of missionary efforts in the 19th and early 20th centuries that provide a fig leaf for imperial aggression? Must we face the hard truth that humanitarian interventions cannot be conceived in good faith until empires have been reconciled with nation states and international law? And will this predicament become worse as the American Empire faces increasing challenges from China and other actors over the next twenty or thirty years?

If the American Empire is not the answer, two other possibilities remain: reform of the global system from above; or transformation of the system from below. Should reform from above, to which we will return, prove a failure, as well it may, that leaves transformation from below as the road ahead. Uncertain, uneven, and explosive, upheaval from below will erupt in those cases where poverty, exploitation and authoritarianism, as well as ethnic and religious oppression, can be effectively countered by force. Where and when such volcanic eruptions may occur in Latin America, and parts of Africa and Asia, the one certainty is that the consequences will not be those that warm the hearts of liberal democrats, with their preference for pluralism, the rule of law, civil liberties and fair elections. But where liberals have made themselves the allies of global corporations and obscene income and wealth inequality, the pale light of their abstract quest for justice will scarcely bring warmth to those who suffer. Liberals could well end as sponsors of justice the way medieval churchmen were sponsors of charity.

What then of reform from above?

The United Nations was founded on a vision that transcended the idea of state sovereignty on behalf of a more embracing conception of humanity. But the vision and the structure did not mesh. From the beginning, the UN has been hobbled by the unwillingness of the most powerful global actors to transfer effective power to it so as to make it more of a supranational authority and less of an intergovernmental organization. The five permanent members of the Security Council (P5), armed with vetoes, have always been, and remain today, jealous of the clout this gives them. Efforts at transforming the UN have been undertaken many times in the past, but they have always foundered on the contradiction between vision and structure. Topping this off, the United States, once a strong backer of the UN, now is unwilling to submit to any international regime or regulation that Washington sees as threatening its retention of full sovereignty.

One could conclude that that is the end of the matter.

In a world where empire and imperial rivalries remain all too potent, it is with humanitarian initiatives that the first real steps toward supranationalism in the global system are most likely to be taken. It is at least hopeful that initiatives to reform the UN to enable it to be much more effective in delivering humanitarian aid are being seriously pursued in a number of places including official Ottawa. If the great powers can be convinced to pool sovereignty at all, it will be in the area of humanitarian aid, an arena which from their point of view is much like the cleaning of the stables---necessary, but hardly glamorous. It should not be forgotten that the European Union---present crisis notwithstanding---began with a decidedly unglamorous free trade deal in coal and steel. Pooling of sovereignty in one area, as the EU experience shows, can “spill over” into other areas over time.

Let us explore one, admittedly utopian, possible way forward.

As potential actors for the provision of humanitarian assistance, hope lies with a number of countries that are relatively wealthy, but that lack the capacity, military and economic, to vie for global power. What is needed is a system for undertaking humanitarian interventions that is as insulated as possible from imperial power rivalries. Of course, perfection in this regard is unattainable. Let’s concede, at once, some of the limitations. Humanitarian interventions are not possible in regions that are directly controlled by great imperial states (for example, Tibet, or Panama or Colombia.) And they are not likely to be possible in zones in which rival imperial powers are in active contention with each other.

In other cases, however, it could be possible to launch a system, under the auspices of the United Nations, in which the notion of the Responsibility to Protect can be acted on in clearly defined cases of humanitarian catastrophe. Second tier countries, while often closely tied to imperial powers---as Canada is to the U.S.---also have their own interests and aspirations which include a desire not to be completely subsumed within the weltanschauung of the world power. It is worth investigating the proposition that an international role for such countries as purveyors of humanitarian interventions, acting through UN mandates under the rubric of the “Responsibility to Protect” could be established. For such countries to invest their treasure and their manpower in these missions would carve out a significant global role for them. Further, it would, in many cases at least, remove the taint of imperial aggression from such interventions.

No one ought to contend that such missions would much reduce the spheres of imperial power in the world. Indeed, such a role for second tier states would deal with situations the U.S. and the other imperial powers would rather avoid. This point is crucial, because it means that a space could be found for action that does not imply a direct confrontation with the power of the United States and its major competitors.

What countries could fall under the heading of second tier countries that could be recruited to play such a role? The criteria for inclusion could be rather broad. First, there ought to be a crucial restriction. The list should not include powers that possess nuclear weapons. Obvious candidates for the list would include Canada, the Scandinavian countries, the Netherlands, Belgium and Spain, Australia and New Zealand. Poland, the Czech Republic, Italy, Mexico, Brazil, South Korea and South Africa could qualify. More controversial would be Germany and Japan.

What could emerge from this sort of initiative could be a new layer of power directed at alleviating humanitarian crises. This international mission could reduce human suffering, and arguably, could contribute to a safer world. Or, perhaps this is all a pipedream, a utopian vision whose time will never come.

Even if such an initiative were to bear fruit, it would not of course, provide insurance against the perils of inter-imperial rivalry, primarily between the United States and China, but also including other major actors such as Europe, India, Japan, and Brazil.

Finally, what perspective should Canadians have on the American Empire and on the urgent need to find ways to deliver humanitarian intervention when and where it is needed?

While perhaps now at a low ebb, in the last two or three years, there has been a debate about Canada’s place in the world. The case has been made in books, speeches and editorials that Canada has lost its once seminal position as a middle-power. In his recent book, While Canada Slept: How We Lost Our Place in the World, Andrew Cohen, argues that for the past two generations Canada has attempted to live off its once stellar reputation, but is in fact ignored by most of the world. Often, the not-so-hidden purpose of such laments is to convince Canadians that we ought to gear up our military in order to participate in American military missions, such as the one in Iraq, and to be responsible global citizens.

Enter Paul Martin, whose government has now finally completed its interminable review of Canadian foreign policy. Two decisions, highly popular with Canadians, have opened up elbow room for Canada in the arena of international relations. The first was the Chrétien government’s decision in 2003 to stay out of the Iraq war. The second was the Martin government’s recent determination that Canada would not participate in the Bush administration’s national missile defence program. While the Liberals have mapped out no new global strategy for Canada, they have at least created the space in which one could operate.

Yet Canadians are being urged by powerful actors, such as former Deputy Prime Minister John Manley, and the president of the Canadian Council of Chief Executives, Thomas D'Aquino, to link up, even more than we have, economically, socially and militarily with the American Empire. Their goal, as always, is the continentalism that is being driven by business lobbies in all three NAFTA countries.

Quite a different role in the world for Canada is possible, however, but it too would require a stronger Canadian military. In an age of empire, Canadians are being urged by many, in ways quite reminiscent of the pro-British imperial fervour in English Canada a century ago, to link up economically, socially and militarily with the American Empire. Canadians, who have never lived without the shadow of empire upon them at any time during the past four centuries, will not live without the shadow of the American Empire anytime soon. But they do, nonetheless, have a basic choice to make. The virtue of the pro-imperial faction in Canada is that its adherents have mapped out a clear position for themselves, albeit one to which we take strong exception. That much cannot be said for much of the liberal and social democratic left in Canada.

What the left, broadly defined, has not faced up to, is that a moderate degree of foreign policy independence from the American Empire will cost Canada a great deal of treasure. There are two important reasons for Canada to significantly increase the capabilities of its armed forces. The first is that Canada needs a larger force and a major upgrade of aircraft and naval vessels to adequately patrol Canadian territory, particularly in the Arctic where the U.S. actively disputes Canadian sovereignty over Arctic waters. The second is that Canada’s capacity to participate in UN sponsored peace keeping and humanitarian missions in the world requires a much enhanced military. The ability to act independently costs money as both the Swedes and Swiss, two neutral countries, have long understood. Progressive Canadians have every right to insist that the international table we wish to sit at should not be a piece of furniture in an imperial palace. But sitting at a table with other self-respecting nations will cost us more than we have hitherto been prepared to pay.

Canada can survive the age of the American Empire as it has survived the imperial ages that came before it. But, given the pro-imperial enthusiasm among the powerful in our midst, this will be no easy task. Imagine how much worse off we would have been had the pro-imperial federationists a century ago won the day and tied Canadians to membership in an Imperial Parliament sitting in London.

One of the great Canadian talents has been that of leaving sinking imperial ships at the right moment, although in truth it has really been a matter more of luck than of talent. Canada’s departures from the French and British empires were admirably timed. The drive for North American union has lost energy and along with that, whatever legitimacy it ever had. Last winter’s meeting in Texas of the three amigos---Paul Martin, George W. Bush, and Vicente Fox---was a tired affair. Asia is beckoning and Canada’s resources are now being sought by a rising China, as well as by India and Japan. While Canada should not sign on to the new empire in the east, it can use the rise of Asia to find more room for maneuver, as it once did in the days when it sought advantage by balancing between a rising America and a stumbling Britain.

The idea that empire is a part of the solution to the problems of our age is a chimera. The best of the western tradition has always held that a universal state must be a tyranny and that any major step in the direction of a universal state can only place us on the road to tyranny. Even the barriers placed in the way of the realization of the universal state by relatively modest powers such as Canada are highly important as humanity struggles to come to terms with its fundamental problems and to move beyond empire. It is often tempting to believe that the world’s most pressing tribulations could be addressed if only a superpower would step up and send its forces to Rwanda or Sudan when a human catastrophe is in the making. But imperial powers act when it is in their interest to act. And the interests of empires and those of humanity do not often overlap. The search for solutions leads elsewhere. The first step in that search is to have done with illusions.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:23 PM   0 comments

America: Two Years After September 11

(This article was originally written in 2003)

As we approach the second anniversary of the terror attacks on New York City and Washington D.C., beyond the remembrance of the victims, there is the question being asked around the world. Is America, in part spurred by September 11, in transition from a Republic to an Empire? And can Canada survive the transition?

Two years and two wars after September 11, the relationship of the United States to the rest of the world has been transformed. Armed with a military whose budget constitutes nearly half the military spending in the world, and a doctrine of pre-emptive war that was put into effect in Iraq, the Bush administration has dispensed with the fiction that the United States is no more than "first among equals" in the ranks of the world’s democracies. Almost as shocking, leading American thinkers and their acolytes in other countries, are speaking openly of the existence of an American Empire, and doing so in approving terms.

At the end of the Cold War, the fashionable discourse was about the End of History and the Borderless World. Now the question of the hour is whether or not we should welcome the existence of an American Empire. In his new book, Empire Lite, Canadian global analyst Michael Ignatieff advocates a lengthy occupation of Iraq by the Americans and the British. He concludes that "the only form of empire that is compatible with democracy is temporary empire, but it is empire nonetheless." Similarly, in his highly acclaimed book, Empire, British historian Niall Ferguson sings the praises of the British Empire and recommends it as a model for Americans to follow. The obvious lesson of the British experience, according to Ferguson, is that "the most successful economy in the world….can do a very great deal to impose its preferred values on less technologically advanced societies….the Americans have taken our old role without yet facing the fact that an empire comes with it."

American ideologues and geo-strategists are also stepping forward to make the case for the American Empire. Among these are Zbigniew Brzezinski and Joseph S. Nye Jr. A number of key thinkers and political actors, who are closely tied to the Bush administration---including Robert Kagan, William Kristol and Paul Wolfowitz----have authored a body of work that presents strategies for the United States to preserve its status as the world’s hegemonic power.

Throughout the ages, and it is no different with the Americans today, the rationale for imperial rule has rested on the claim of a particular leader or people that he and they represent the forces of civilization against the forces of barbarism. In the final analysis, George W. Bush’s invasion of Iraq in 2003 was justified on this basis. Closely related to the notion of civilization versus barbarism is the recurrent idea that some peoples are naturally suited to self government and democracy while others are not, and that it is the right of the former peoples to rule the latter. The British, and not just Rudyard Kipling, were fond of making this case to underwrite their claim that they ruled an ethical empire.

Enthusiasts for its global sway make the case that the United States is a populist democracy that is endowed with a culture that is uniquely attractive to the peoples of the world. People everywhere, so it is said, love American movies, television, music and clothes and aspire to live the way Americans live, in a competitive capitalist economy where merit and ambition are rewarded.

Those who are attracted by the idea that the Americans have a "civilizing mission" to perform in the world ought to pay heed to the fate of earlier empires that took up this vocation.

The consequence of Rome’s militarism and its conquests was the undoing of the Roman Republic in the first century B.C. and its replacement by the Roman Empire. An argument that defenders of the American Empire regularly make is that because the United States is a democracy in which the rule of law and human rights are unshakably embedded, the U.S. can be counted on to promote these practices and values in the countries it dominates. What they rarely consider is the corroding effect that empire can have, is already having, on American democracy. As in the case of Rome the existence of an American Empire has been altering the nature of the American state and the balance of power between its ruling elites and the American people. The interests, corporate and military, that engorge themselves and grow stronger as a consequence of empire, also hollow away the body and the sinews of American democracy. Far from extending democracy, the rule of law and human rights to others, the American Empire weakens those features of American society at home.

The rise of Rome’s sway over much of the Mediterranean fatally upset the Roman State and its governing arrangements. This led to decades of political turmoil and civil war and ultimately the demise of the Roman Republic. While the transition from Republic to Empire was underway, there was scarcely any awareness of this among Rome’s thinkers and political leaders. Indeed, Augustus, the first emperor, shrewdly cloaked his new imperial state in the claim that he had restored the Republic.

Is America sleep-walking through a similar transition today?

The question has sharp relevance for Canadians who urgently need to re-think how to live next door to the supernova to the south. The traditional Canadian strategy---- muddling through and attempting to offset naked American power by encouraging multilateralism---lies in tatters. Sustaining Canadian sovereignty will require clear thinking and the exercise of considerable political will. What makes the exercise worthwhile is that the large majority of Canadians want Canada to survive as an independent country with its own political values and its own social system.

If we listen to our home grown continentalists, we would believe that any assertion of Canadian sovereignty would mean economic disaster for Canada---that the Americans would retaliate against us. What is completely ignored in this counsel of helplessness is that American interests are deeply entrenched in Canada because it is hugely profitable for them to be here. Our freedom of maneuver---as we showed in the decision to stay out of the Iraq war---is much greater than our timorous elites imagine.

The lesson of history teaches that nations outlive empires. During the centuries of our national story, we have survived the decline and fall of the French and British Empires. What destroys empires is imperial overstretch, the unwillingness of rulers to understand the limitations of their sway. That is the likely fate of the American Empire in the 21st century. With judicious realism, Canada has every prospect of surviving as a country and not merely as a geographical expression.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:21 PM   0 comments

Why Canada Should Not Fight in Iraq

(This article was originally written in 2003)

The Chretien government has been trying to smother debate about whether Canada should fight in the event of a U.S. invasion of Iraq. When Canada’s Defence Minister John McCallum recently met U.S. Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld in Washington, he suggested that Canada might participate in an attack on Iraq even without the sanction of the United Nations. At a press conference in Ottawa a few days later, the Prime Minister seemed to lean against involvement in any unilateral U.S. strike, but he left his options open. The government is sowing confusion about the course it will take.

The Prime Minister likes to act as though consideration of a possible war is merely a hypothetical question, something not to focus on until the crunch comes. That’s what he did in the autumn of 2001, in the weeks preceding the U.S. assault on Afghanistan. He sat firmly on the fence until Washington attacked and then he announced that Canada would join in the attack. On Iraq, we need a debate in Canada while there is still time. Waiting for George W. Bush to announce that the marines are on their way is not good enough.

In recent weeks, George W. Bush’s case for war has been collapsing for all but true believers to see. For the past year, as the administration beat the war drums, it claimed that action against Saddam Hussein was urgent because Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction that could be used in a strike against the United States or its allies. A parallel claim had it that the Iraqi regime could supply terrorists with weapons of mass destruction for attacks against America.

The White House was insisting that the system put in place to contain Iraq was failing. Despite harsh economic sanctions, continual air surveillance by the U.S. and Britain, and a U.S. naval shield that prevents banned shipments from reaching Baghdad, Saddam was growing ever more dangerous. Failing to invade could mean that the first visible evidence of the Iraqi threat might take the form of a mushroom cloud, as Condoleezza Rice, Bush’s National Security Advisor, graphically warned. It appeared that the American possession of the world’s greatest store of weapons of annihilation, which had contained the Soviets for decades, was not enough to keep Iraq in check.

So far, the U.N. weapons inspectors in Iraq have found scant sign of chemical or biological weapons and no evidence of an ongoing nuclear weapons program. From his ranch in Texas and the White House, George W. Bush continually utters one-line threats, warning that he is running out of patience, and that if Saddam doesn’t disarm forthwith, force will be used to disarm him, with or without U.N. sanction.

Meanwhile a second member of Bush’s "axis of evil", North Korea, has admitted it has been secretly pursuing a nuclear weapons program and has started up a nuclear reactor that can produce more plutonium and more nukes. In addition, Kim Jong Il’s regime has announced that it is withdrawing from the nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty. In response, the Bush administration insists that what is happening in the Korean peninsula is not a "crisis", but rather a "situation" that remains amenable to diplomacy.

In his state of the union address last year, Bush warned the "axis of evil" countries that the United States "will not permit the world’s most dangerous regimes to threaten us with the world’s most destructive weapons."

According to that yardstick, North Korea poses a much more dangerous threat than does Iraq, and yet the Bush administration plainly wants to avoid war with Kim Jong Il, and for plenty of good reasons. A war with North Korea could devastate Seoul, the South Korean capital, which is close to the Korean Demilitarized Zone. In addition, the U.S. calculates that with the diplomatic collaboration of Russia, China, Japan and South Korea, it may well be able to convince North Korea to abandon its nuclear program in exchange for much needed economic aid. In the final analysis though, America’s trump card is the same as it always has been, its own storehouse of nuclear missiles that can blast North Korea off the planet at a moment’s notice. Containment---now a dirty word in Washington---can keep North Korea at bay. That’s why a pre-emptive strike is not needed.

By the same token, given its ample means for containing Saddam, why does the Bush administration so clearly want war with Iraq? The answer is that the issue of weapons of mass destruction has always been a subterfuge, used to camouflage the geo-strategic reasons Washington wants war. Yes, Washington wants to ensure that Iraq’s oil is freely available to the industrialized world and to U.S. oil companies. But it’s not as simple as that. What Bush’s key advisors want is a U.S. military base in Iraq that can keep an eye not merely on a subservient, pro-U.S. government in Baghdad, but on the surrounding region. That includes, Saudi Arabia, seen as unstable in Washington, Syria, and the third member of the axis of evil, Iran. A great deal of planning has already gone on in Washington about how the United States will manage post-war Iraq.

With the blessing of the U.N. Security Council, if possible, but without it if necessary, the U.S. looks almost certain to act. By mid February, George W. Bush will have the forces he needs in the region to wage war. All that will then be missing will be a last minute, dramatic U.S. claim that it has proof that Iraq has been hiding banned weapons. That trigger, which may be based on truth, half-truth or complete fabrication, is highly likely to serve as the justification for unleashing an assault.

Canadians have every reason to stay out of an unjust and foolhardy U.S. war that threatens, among other things, to render us more insecure from terrorists. As the rationale for war has been stripped bare, Canadians who are determined to support Bush have been reduced to arguing that we should stand with the Americans because they are our kith and kin.

The true course of friendship with our neighbours is for Canada to say no to this senseless war before it’s too late.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:19 PM   16 comments

How Evil Triumphs

(This article was originally written in 2003)

Three score and ten years---the traditional reckoning of a lifetime---that’s how long it’s been since Adolf Hitler was sworn in as Chancellor of Germany on January 30, 1933.

Hitler took the helm with an extremely clear idea of how he would mobilize the nation to achieve the program he had in mind. His goal was to enable Germany to throw off the shackles imposed on it by the Treaty of Versailles at the end of World War I and to achieve German domination of Europe from the Atlantic to the Ural Mountains.

In the wreckage of Germany in the years following the armistice of 1918, Hitler cobbled together the political philosophy he clung to for the rest of his life. Force mattered most in deciding things, Hitler believed. To him, notions of overcoming the injustices suffered by some peoples at the hands of others through negotiation, reason and internationalism were nothing but sophistry. Worse, such ideas were fetters whose purpose was to keep those who ruled the earth in their positions of power. Germany would realize its rightful place in the sun only when Germans hardened their hearts against other peoples and forged an implacable unity under the direction of an uncompromising leader.

Race was at the heart of Hitler’s distinctly unoriginal world view. The world’s races, he held, were locked in a struggle for survival, one against another. The Germans constituted a master race, superior to those around them, in particular the Slavs. Only the Jews, Hitler thought, could thwart the German march to supremacy. The Jews---Hitler and the Nazi racial theorists believed---constituted a bacillus that had to be excised from the blood stream of Germany and Europe. This idea, for decades the subject of the ranting of the politically demented in flop houses and beer halls, ultimately became the basis for the murder of six million in the Holocaust.

There was nothing inevitable about Hitler’s rise to power in Germany. He became Chancellor for the very good reason that his party won the largest number of votes in free elections. But without the active scheming of members of Germany’s ruling elite, he never would have been sworn in on that fateful January day. Hitler’s electoral support was actually slipping on the eve of his accession to power. While the Nazis won 37.4 per cent of the vote in parliamentary (Reichstag) elections in July 1932---their highest ever total in a free election---this proportion fell to 33.1 per cent in November 1932, in Germany’s last free parliamentary election.

It took Hitler just over a year and a half to acquire absolute power after becoming Chancellor. One would like to be able to record that as Hitler established concentration camps, set in train the highly visible and ferocious persecution of the Jews, and built a military force with the plain goal of assaulting neighbouring countries, that Germans soured on their leader. The reverse was true. Hitler’s rearmament put unemployed Germans back to work. He sailed from triumph to triumph in foreign policy, swallowing Austria and Czechoslovakia without war. On the eve of the second world war, historians agree that Hitler’s popularity with the German people was immense, that he was the most idolized leader in the world with his own people.

Germany’s early victories in the Second World War convinced Hitler’s adoring public that he was a military as well as a political genius. It was his inability to accept that he and Germany were subject to any limits that brought him down. Invading the Soviet Union in June 1941 and recklessly declaring war on the United States four days after Pearl Harbour in December 1941, sealed his fate. On January 30, 1943, ten years to the day after Hitler was sworn in as Chancellor, Hermann Goering, the Nazi air force chief, broadcast to the German people a "funeral oration" for the doomed German Sixth Army at Stalingrad. Twenty-seven months later, the Soviet Army was in Berlin, the western allies were closing in, and Hitler had shot himself in his bunker.

If Hitler’s totalitarianism and his maniacal drive to remake the world in his own image have a distinctly 20th century feel about them, they also remain a stark warning in our new century. A lifetime after he took power exclusionism, ethnic cleansing, genocide, and the idolization of leaders who seem to be able to solve problems through force, are very much a part of our world. And the weapons Hitler deployed were mere toys in comparison to the weapons today’s great states possess.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:15 PM   0 comments

New Europe

(This article was originally written in 2003)

Nice, France: U.S. Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld hit a raw nerve when he recently dismissed France and Germany as "old Europe". In Berlin, last Saturday, demonstrators carried the epithet "old Europe" on their signs as a badge of honour. The problem for Washington is that Rumsfeld got it exactly wrong.

What is confounding both the Bush administration and the Blair government in Britain is precisely the emergence of a New Europe with Germany and France at its heart. From a diplomatic standpoint, what is truly novel is the position being taken by Germany. For decades, it has been commonplace for France to pursue its own foreign policy and to take stands counter to those of the United States and Britain. But during those spats, the Federal Republic of Germany has either taken the U.S. side or has lined up somewhere between the Americans and the French.

What changed this was Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder’s razor thin electoral victory last September on a platform that promised to keep Germany out of a U.S. led war against Iraq. Schroeder’s victory demonstrated that opposing Washington can be popular with the electorate. More importantly, it locked Germany into a position that was even more at odds with the United States than the position taken by France.

This diplomatic revolution at the heart of Europe has immeasurably strengthened the hand being played by French President Jacques Chirac. That accounts for why we have been seeing so much of Chirac’s Gaullist side lately. The French President knows that he has the leaders of the French right, centre and left firmly in his camp in his effort to block a U.S. invasion of Iraq. Moreover, he knows that the overwhelming majority of the French people oppose unilateral U.S. action, as do majorities in Britain, Italy, Spain and other countries that have been backing Bush in the diplomatic standoff. Italy’s Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, under pressure from the anti-war position of the Italian people has backed off his pro-American rhetoric and is now saying he will support military action against Iraq only if it has the blessing of the UN.

Despite Rumsfeld’s bluster about old Europe, Germany and France constitute the engine of the European Union and of its currency, the Euro. With Germany lined up so that it has to oppose Washington on Iraq, France now speaks for much more than itself as a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council. With Germany behind it, France becomes a genuine great power, much more able to wield the threat to use it veto than in the past.

The spectacle of European toughness has driven some American analysts into paroxysms of incomprehension. "France, as they say in kindergarten," spluttered New York Times columnist Thomas L. Friedman in a recent article, "does not play well with others." He was missing the point that playing on the same team as Germany in a squabble with Washington has made France much more formidable.

The politician whose neck really is on the chopping block is Tony Blair, George W. Bush’s one indispensable foreign ally. Most of the active members of Britain’s governing Labour Party strongly dissent from Blair’s position at Bush’s side on Iraq. Blair lightly dismissed the significance of the demonstration by one million people in London in opposition to his Iraq policy. What he must fear though is the possibility of a parliamentary revolt from within his own party. If Blair were to side with Bush in an attack on Iraq, not authorized by the UN, he could face a non-confidence motion in the British House of Commons. Considering that his position is so much at odds with his country’s public opinion, Blair could even be forced out of office. Don’t forget that in 1990 in a spat over Europe, British Tories pushed out Margaret Thatcher although she headed a majority government at the time.

However the current diplomatic standoff turns out, the lesson of the past five decades is that when France and Germany stand together, they ultimately get their way inside Europe. The British, on the other hand, usually bet on the horse that loses.

It is likely that George W. Bush has committed himself so completely to an assault on Iraq that he will not reverse course, allies or no allies. Europe’s diplomatic revolution, however, could mean that Bush’s much touted "coalition of the willing" could amount to the United States and few others.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:12 PM   0 comments

Living with an Empire

(This article was originally written in 2003)

Just over a century ago, Canadians were embroiled in a passionate debate that was very similar to one being conducted today. How do we live with a world girdling empire?

In those days, the superpower pursuing a policy its leaders called "splendid isolation" was Great Britain, on whose possessions the sun never set. The British navy, greater in size than the next two navies combined, was the arbiter of global power. In 1899, the British went to war against two Afrikaner Republics, the Transvaal and the Orange Free State.

The Boer War was an imperial venture and it engendered the wrath of the European great powers. But, far from united themselves, the Germans, the French and the Russians, were unable to take advantage of Britain’s faraway war. Moreover, whatever the Europeans thought, they were no match for the British navy.

Although they were militarily supreme, the British keenly felt the rising antagonism against them, and they turned to their self-governing colonies, Canada among them, for political and military support. What London wanted from Canada was a commitment of Canadian troops to fight in south Africa. The Boer War laid bare the deep divisions within Canada. French Canadians---Prime Minister Wilfrid Laurier among them---felt no inclination to fight under the Union Jack in a war thousands of miles from home. But Laurier was under tremendous pressure from a wing of English Canadian opinion---the strident voices of pro-imperial sentiment.

The pro-imperialists condemned as disloyal anyone not ready to stand shoulder to shoulder with the British. The tory-imperialist Toronto News condemned those who opposed sending Canadian troops as people whose ideas "are not those of the Anglo-Saxon. They would cast off their allegiance to Britain’s Queen tomorrow if they dared."

Hoping to find a compromise that would keep everyone happy, Laurier decided to send a contingent of Canadian troops that would be recruited in Canada and paid for by the British. He later followed this with a second contingent. As it turned out, this was too little to satisfy the imperialists, but too much to protect him from the wrath of those who opposed sending Canadian troops.

The pro-imperialists of the day favoured a grand bargain with the Mother Country that would promote the much tighter political and economic integration of the British Empire. What they wanted was an imperial federation in which Canadians would elect a few members to a new imperial parliament to sit in London. Two years before the outbreak of the Boer War, it briefly appeared that they had won Laurier over as a convert to their ideas. At Queen Victoria’s Diamond Jubilee in London, Laurier declared that it would be the proudest moment of his life to see a French Canadian take his place in an Imperial Parliament at Westminster.

Back home, Laurier thought better of this heady rhetoric and steered a course whose goal was to maximize Canadian autonomy within the Empire. Fortunately for Canadians the pro-imperialists never managed to entangle the country in an Imperial Federation that would have blocked the road to full self-government.

Today, Canada is again divided about how to live with an Empire, this time the American Empire. With much of the world antagonized by the Bush administration’s intention to invade Iraq, with or without the sanction of the United Nations, today’s Canadian pro-imperialists are denouncing those who oppose taking America’s side in the war. Moreover, they are calling for deep integration, both economically and politically with the United States.

In a paper written for the C.D. Howe Institute last year, historian Jack Granatstein argued for a much tighter military alliance between Canada and the United States. Granatstein’s argument is that in the wake of September 11, the United States is determined to defend itself, with or without the cooperation of Canada. Therefore, "there is no choice at all: Canada must cooperate with the United States in its own interest." Dismissive of what he calls the Canadian penchant for "poking the Americans with the sharp stick of supposedly superior Canadian morality", he is sympathetic to the U.S. view of things. "The superpower neighbour," Granatstein writes "has global responsibilities and burdens, and it often tires of Canadian caution, endless remonstrances, and prickly independence when what it wants and needs is support."

Last spring, Wendy Dobson, Director of the Institute of International Business and Professor at the Joseph L. Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, authored a paper, again for the C.D. Howe Institute, that argued that Canada ought to seek much deeper economic integration with the United States. To make what she called this "Big Idea" fly in Washington, Dobson concluded that Canada would be required to propose steps that Washington would find attractive in the following areas: border security, immigration, defence, and energy security.

Those who want deep integration with the United States are today’s counterparts of the advocates of Imperial Federation a century ago. They desire a union with the United States that would effectively extinguish Canadian sovereignty. They believe that when America is at war Canada must also be at war.

A hundred years ago, Henri Bourassa, the founder and editor of Le Devoir in Montreal wrote the rejoinder to the imperialists that ought to stand in our time: "What I should like is this, that between the old British frigate which threatens to founder on the rock of Imperialism and the American corsair, making ready to pick up her wrecks, so cautiously and so steadily should we steer our bark that we shall neither be swallowed up in the abyss with the former, nor be carried away in the track of the latter."

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:10 PM   0 comments

Coming to the Aid of "Family"

(This article was originally written in 2003)

When U.S. Ambassador Paul Celucci said that his country was disappointed because Canada was not at America’s side in the Iraq war, he claimed that if Canada faced a security threat "there would be no debate. There would be no hesitation. We would be there for Canada." That’s the way things ought to be when you’re dealing with "family", the ambassador told a Toronto business audience.

The idea that the United States would rush to our side is touching. The only problem is that there has not been a single case to which anyone can point when the U.S. has come to our side to meet a security threat to Canada since the Thirteen Colonies declared their independence in 1776.

The two countries have been allies in previous conflicts when Washington and Ottawa decided that their interests were parallel. In the two world wars, the Americans sat out the first couple of years of the conflicts while Canada was at war. Indeed, during the First World War while it was still neutral, the United States continued to export Canadian nickel to Germany. As an Ontario Royal Commission later reported, some of that nickel went into the production of munitions that were used against Canadian soldiers in the trenches. Early in the Second World War, when Canada dispatched an RCMP vessel to Greenland to ensure that the island not be taken over by the Nazis, the Americans, perhaps fearing the rise of a Canadian empire, issued a stiff official complaint to Ottawa. Later, in the war, the U.S. occupied Greenland.

By no stretch of the imagination could anyone claim that the United States entered any of its many foreign conflicts over the past two centuries out of concern for the security interests of Canada. Indeed, the truth is that the United States has relentlessly stood up for its own interests in a long list of security conflicts with Canada.

Several acute boundary disputes between the two countries---on the east coast, the west coast, and over the Alaska boundary---came close to generating military conflict between Canada and the U.S. At the end of the American Civil War, the U.S. Secretary of State suggested that Americans would get over their hard feelings toward the British for selling naval vessels to the Confederacy if Britain would hand over Canada to the United States. Indeed, there remains a very potent territorial dispute between the United States and Canada over the question of Arctic waters. While Canada claims the waters of the High Arctic as Canadian territory, the U.S. rejects that claim, insisting that the North West Passage is an international waterway. Twice the United States has sent warships through that passage, without seeking the permission of Ottawa, to keep its claim alive.

In his speech to the Economic Club of Toronto, Ambassador Celucci said "we’ll have to wait and see if there are any ramifications" as a result of the current squabble. Analysts and right-wing Canadian politicians who have warned darkly of the economic consequences that could flow from offending our largest trading partner, apparently have not given much thought to the nature of Canadian exports to the U.S. The overwhelming bulk of our exports to the U.S. are autos and auto parts, pulp and paper, nickel, oil and natural gas, and other primary products----most of this shipped south by U.S. owned corporations. To punish Canada, Washington would have to shoot itself, or more exactly, General Motors in the foot. In the few acute trade disputes Canada has with the U.S., it seems not to make much difference how Canada behaves. Sending Canadian troops to serve under a U.S. commander in Afghanistan did nothing to win Washington over to Canada’s position on softwood lumber.

The Chretien government decided that it was not in the interest of Canada to participate in an arguably illegal assault on a small country that poses no direct threat to the United States. For a middle size country like ours, multilateralism and respect for international law are essential to our survival as a sovereign country. The government of Canada was acting in our national interest.

Paul Celucci was not wrong when he suggested that the United States and Canada are like members of a family, although a rather dysfunctional family. The older sibling left home early, while the younger sibling stayed home hoping that mom would help fend off assaults from big brother. In practice, living next door to a superpower means that the superpower can be counted on to defend you against everyone except itself.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:08 PM   0 comments

Canada Should Stay Out Of Missile Defence

(This article was originally written in 2003)

Liberal leadership front runner Paul Martin and his followers are trying to sell Canadians on two propositions with respect to George W. Bush’s proposed missile defence system. The first is that the system is defensive in nature and therefore does not pose a threat to global stability. The second is that Canadian participation in the scheme will give us a meaningful say in its design and use.

They are mistaken on both counts.

The distinction between defensive and offensive weapons is a phony one. That is because the deployment of a defensive weapon that negates a potential foe’s offensive weapons, upsets the military balance and can trigger an arms race. What the Bush administration has in mind with missile defence is precisely to change the military balance in its favour.

The Bush administration believes that if the United States is successful in developing and deploying a system that can reliably shoot down approaching enemy missiles, it will protect the U.S. from attack. But it will do much more than that. A workable missile shield would liberate the United States to do what no power has been willing to do since the last days of the Second World War---use nuclear weapons as a viable policy in certain extreme circumstances.

In March 2002, the details of a secret Pentagon report were revealed on the front page of the New York Times. In its Nuclear Posture Review, the Pentagon pointed to the need to produce new nuclear weapons with a lower yield than strategic nuclear weapons, weapons that would produce less radioactive fallout. The Review spelled out the possible use of nuclear weapons by the United States against non-nuclear powers, such as Iraq, Iran, Syria and Libya, all of them signatories to the nuclear non-proliferation treaty. What made this so shocking is that the Review countenanced an explicit violation of the treaty, which was signed by 182 countries, including Canada.

In 1978, to give nations an incentive to sign the non-proliferation treaty, the United States, the Soviet Union and Britain formally pledged never to launch a nuclear attack on signatories to the treaty, except in a case where a non-nuclear state attacked a nuclear state in tandem with another nuclear state. Again in 1995, France and China joined these three states (with Russia in place of the Soviet Union) in reiterating this pledge. As former U.S. Defence Secretary Robert McNamara and Thomas Graham Jr. wrote in a newspaper column "the Pentagon plan undermines the credibility of that pledge, which underpins the Nonproliferation Treaty. To strike directly at this pledge of nonuse is to strike at the treaty itself." "If another country were planning to develop a new nuclear weapon," said the New York Times in an editorial "and contemplating preemptive strikes against a list of non-nuclear powers, Washington would rightly label that nation a dangerous rogue state."

To develop new nuclear weapons that can be used with impunity behind the protection of the missile shield is the reason the Bush administration opposes the U.S. signing on to the nuclear test ban treaty. Make no mistake about it----the deployment of a missile defence system is being done largely for offensive, not defensive, reasons.

The second proposition, that Canada needs to have a seat at the table on missile defence, is equally specious. The idea is that if Canada participates in the scheme, most likely through NORAD, Ottawa could influence U.S. behaviour in a future high stakes showdown, with say North Korea over that country’s possession of nuclear weapons, or China over the Taiwan issue.

One of the lessons of the Iraq crisis, is that no one, including Britain’s Tony Blair, exercised any influence over Washington’s decision to launch a military assault on Iraq. About all having a seat at the table got Blair was an invitation to Bush’s ranch in Crawford, Texas. No serious person could argue that participating in missile defence would give Canada any influence over whether the Bush administration decided to go to war against a potential foe. Instead we would become bound and blind folded passengers on an American rocket. America’s foes would automatically become our foes. In an age when American military doctrine features the right to launch pre-emptive assaults on other countries---without United Nations authorization, if necessary---that would make Canada more, not less, vulnerable to terror or state sponsored attacks.

Finally, it would make it much harder in the not unlikely event of a future American military adventure, to stand aside as we did in the case of Iraq. Apparently Paul Martin has decided to begin his career at the nation’s helm by embroiling Canada in a scheme of military deep integration with the United States that will limit our sovereignty and thereby lesson our capacity to play an autonomous role on the global stage. He ought to reconsider.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:05 PM   0 comments

Challenging the Empire on our Own Turf

(This article was originally written in 2003)

Many who fought against Brian Mulroney’s free trade initiative in the 1980s believed that the deal with Washington would vastly diminish Canada’s ability to make its own economic policies and would lead to the Americanization of Canada, socially and culturally. While their forecast about economic policy making was bang on, their prediction about the rapid social and cultural Americanization of Canada was spectacularly wrong. The cultural and social division between Canada and its superpower neighbour is wider than at any time in the decades since the Second World War.

While the United States aligns itself with the most retrograde of states on the issues of capital punishment, gun control, and arms control, Canada has consolidated its positions in opposition to executions, the uncontrolled spread of firearms and the deployment of land mines. While Americans wander in the desert of private health care systems that leave millions with inadequate care, Canadians have shown that even health care cutbacks by right wing governments cannot drive them from their conviction that a public health care system is best. While most Americans (with honourable exceptions) have followed their jingoistic president down the road to the new imperialism, Canadians fought and won their battle to stay out of the Iraq War. While a reactionary, patriarchal administration in Washington assaults the rights of women and gays, Canadians are winning the battle for reproductive rights and for same sex marriage. While American jails are overcrowded with people jailed for drug possession, Canada is moving to decriminalize possession of small amounts of marijuana. While the American trade union movement is weak and full of those who collaborate with capital, the Canadian trade union movement has kept up its numbers and has clung to its progressive ground.

This is no time to contemplate abandoning the struggle for a sovereign Canada, a country now flowering with humane impulses that are dramatically absent in the America of George W. Bush and John Ashcroft. While the gains of Canadians I have listed are real enough, they are also fragile and subject to reversal, as anyone who has observed the first weeks of the Martin government will recognize. A great struggle has taken shape in this country and the left will be measured by whether it enters the struggle or stands to one side. The struggle is for the survival of the country. At stake is whether Canadians will create a more vital democracy as they fight to govern themselves or whether they will end up in fractured sub nations living on the northern edge of manifest destiny.

Taking the initiative are the ideological voices of the multinationals and their Canadian capitalist allies who are resolved to drain Canadian nationhood of its meaning. The same forces that brought us free trade in the1980s have set out to finish the job. The C.D. Howe and Fraser Institutes, the Canadian Alliance, and much of the federal Liberal Party, including large portions of Paul Martin’s cortex, are determined to make a Grand Bargain to achieve Deep Integration with the United States. The Deep Integrationists want to convert the free trade area into a customs union. They want a single North American currency----let’s call it the U.S. dollar. To gain unfettered access to the American market for Canadian exports, they would redefine Canadian resources, including water, as continental resources, making them ripe for the plucking by U.S. multinationals. To get inside Fortress America, they would abandon Canada’s right to its own immigration and refugee policies and they would sign on to George W. Bush’s missile defence and his future wars.

Over the past decade, the focus of the left in Canada has been on matters local and global, while there has been little focus on questions national. Over the next decade, this must change. It will be the national struggles that will be decisive. Lose on this front and it will not much matter how well this or that committee or NGO fares at a conference in some far away place. Our battle is right here.

Among the nations of the advanced world, Canada’s situation is unique. Canadian capitalists, large and small, have gone over almost completely to the Deep Integration agenda. That leaves wage and salary earners, the vast majority of Canadians, as the bulwark on which Canadian nationhood rests. The consequence of this is that the battle for Canadian sovereignty, for Canadian democracy, is of necessity a social battle as well. It necessarily takes on the character of a struggle to advance the interests of wage and salary earners. Whether a country whose capitalists have opted for national self immolation can survive is something we will discover in the years to come. No one has traveled this terrain before. In this period of open history in Canada, the possible outcomes vary tremendously. We need to take as our starting point the plain fact that

Canadians are in no mood to abandon their nation.

Those on the left who begin from the premise that Canada is finished and that we are now involved in a continental struggle for social justice will end up as exotic allies of the powerful forces in the Canadian business community who are plotting the nation’s demise. Those who are enamoured of the idea of forging ties for a common struggle with progressive Americans, need to consider the reality that for the most part imperialism puts Americans and Canadians on opposite sides of the fence. Most Americans, it is a plain fact, identify with the American imperial project. That does not mean that the political struggle in the U.S. is hopeless, but it is very different. Why the mass of the people who live in great imperial nations take sides with the empire and not with the struggles to resist it is a complex question that is beyond the scope of this short article. What is clear though is that the majority of Americans embrace the unilateralism and the militarism that are the hallmarks of their country’s role in the world. They are full of the idea that theirs is the greatest country on earth, the world’s natural leader. Even many American progressives suffer from their own variation of this delusion.

In their attitude to the American Empire, Canadians are much closer to Europeans and Latin Americans than they are to Americans. We should march to the beat of our own drummer on this side of the border. The drummer on the other side, even the progressive drummer, is playing a different tune and it is one that is not much use to us.

Empires since the dawn of history, and this is no less true of the American Empire today, are affairs of blood first, last and always. They are about conquest and domination and the use of force to extinguish the rights of others. Canadians were the first people in the world to come up against an expansionist America, the first to resist it. This is not the time to close the page on this chapter in our history.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:03 PM   0 comments

The Arar Case: Canadian Hypocrisy

(This article was originally written in 2003)

The rush of politicians to embrace the cause of Maher Arar, the Canadian who was imprisoned and tortured in Syria, is a wondrous display of Canadian hypocrisy. According to U.S. sources, Arar’s name was passed to American law enforcement agencies by the RCMP. But Canadian responsibility for what happened to Arar extends beyond the Mounties to the Liberal government, and even to the opposition parties.

Two weeks ago, Prime Minister Jean Chretien insisted that the decision to deport Maher Arar to Syria was made in Washington, not in Ottawa. He’s only half right. Canadian blame in this sorry matter cannot be ducked so easily.

In the aftermath of the terror attacks on September 11, 2001, the Liberal government, relentlessly pushed by the Canadian Alliance, and to a lesser extent by the Progressive Conservatives, was desperately anxious to convince the Bush administration that Canada was onside with the Americans in the war on terror and was taking every possible measure to ensure North American security.

To win merit points in Washington, the government played fast and loose with the rights of Canadian citizens. Sooner or later, there was bound to be a victim.

The Anti-Terrorism Act was rushed through Parliament in the autumn of 2001, alongside the Patriot Act that was enacted by the U.S. Congress. These pieces of legislation gave Ottawa and Washington enhanced powers to lock up people suspected of having terrorist links without charging them with an offence. The acts did an end run around the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms and the U.S. Bill of Rights.

In December 2001, Foreign Minister John Manley and U.S. Homeland Security chief Tom Ridge signed the Smart Border Declaration in Ottawa. Among other things, Ottawa and Washington agreed to increase intelligence sharing between the two countries, in particular with respect to high risk travelers. What that meant was that Canadian authorities undertook to alert the Americans to persons about whom they had security concerns.

Members of the Liberal government cannot now claim, with any credibility, that they did not understand what this could mean for Canadian citizens, especially those of Middle Eastern origin. The mood in the United States in the aftermath of September 11 was unmistakably vengeful toward anyone suspected of having a link to terrorism. In the year before Maher Arar was arrested in New York City in September 2002, following a flight there from Zurich, there was public discussion about the merits of torture to extract information from terrorism suspects. Some Americans, regarded as liberals and civil libertarians, such as lawyer Alan Dershowitz, argued that the U.S. should consider establishing a judicial process for the use of torture in appropriate cases.

Long before Maher Arar was arrested in New York, commentators recognized that there was an obvious alternative to Americans doing the torturing themselves. The dirty stuff could be farmed out, it was reported in media interviews with unnamed officials in the Bush administration, to countries whose regimes were not at all squeamish about extracting information through the use of torture.

And while the Liberals were passing legislation and signing accords with Washington that threatened the civil liberties of Canadians, the official opposition, the Canadian Alliance, was pouring fuel on the flames. Far from warning the government that the rights of Canadians should not be jettisoned, even in the face of a terrorist threat, Alliance members repeatedly accused the government of not going far enough. In the fall of 2001, Stockwell Day, then leader of the Alliance, warned the Commons, while providing no evidence, that "we hear reports continually about suspect terrorists hiding in Toronto, or in Fort McMurray or simply roaming the countryside." Day demanded that the government abandon its "go-slow approach" and act to create a Canada-U.S. security perimeter to "enforce security and screening standards" to better protect North America. When he took over as opposition leader in the spring of 2002, Stephen Harper, accused the Liberals of not having "adequately addressed the matter of security in the context of continental security." As a consequence, Harper declared that "we continue to be subject to unique internal security and continental security dangers."

When the government, with the opposition egging it on, adopts a posture that signals the RCMP and CSIS that security matters more than civil liberties, someone is certain to end up as the fall guy. Maher Arar became just that when he stepped off the plane at JFK Airport. By then the trap had been set for him by the Canadian government and the opposition.

We need a public inquiry into the Arar case. What we don’t need are politicians pretending they are shocked by what has happened.

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posted by James Laxer @ 11:00 PM   0 comments

Farewell to the Party of Sir John A. Macdonald

(This article was originally written in 2003)

However Peter MacKay spins the story, he has agreed to the takeover of the Tory Party by the Canadian Alliance. If he is not stopped in the courts or by members of his own party, his deal with Stephen Harper will be consummated on December 6. What the proponents of the new Conservative Party of Canada have set out to kill is the political party that John A. Macdonald founded.

Why should Canadians in general, and not just those on the political right, be alarmed by this development?

Macdonald’s party was the great nation-building political instrument that fashioned Confederation and elaborated the National Policy, the economic doctrine that created a transcontinental Canadian economy. The Canadian Tory tradition, inseparably linked to the culture, ideas and policies of John A. Macdonald, shaped Canada in its formative decades. Macdonald’s deepest commitment was to the creation of a Canadian nation that would be able to sustain itself separate from the United States.

While pragmatic and capitalist, Macdonald’s political philosophy contained an element of paternalism and the belief in the large state that was strange on a continent where individualism and the market were the true deities. The state Macdonald constructed was imbued with these Tory notions. To build a railway across the country and to have institutions in place to receive hundreds of thousands of new settlers would require strong government intervention.

The Tory idea proved highly useful to Canadians for generations in their efforts to compete with the powerful nation to the south. In the first decade of the twentieth century, under the leadership of Adam Beck, a manufacturer from London, Ontario, the province of Ontario drew on the Tory creed when it created a publicly owned hydro-electric system. The inspiration behind Ontario Hydro, at the time the largest public utility on the continent, was that a public corporation could provide electricity at cost to consumers and businesses alike. Later, Tories established the Canadian National Railway, the Bank of Canada and the CBC.

To free market purists, the idea of the state acting to improve Canadian productivity and the promotion of Canadian culture is incomprehensible. They cannot help but see this as a statist heresy, or even as a diabolical leftist scheme. In truth, the idea had everything to do with the Tory view of the proper relationship between the state and society.

By contrast, the origins of the political culture of the Canadian Alliance are to be found in the unique social landscape of southern Alberta. In the last years of the nineteenth century, southern Alberta was the "last best west," the frontier that was still open to settlers after the American frontier was officially designated as closed. A much higher proportion of those who settled in this region of Alberta came from the United States than had been the case in Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Many of the Americans who settled in southern Alberta brought with them an evangelical Protestant outlook. That outlook served as the cultural foundation for the development of important political movements that had an impact on Alberta and national politics.

Both on the left and the right, Alberta was to have its own brand of populist politics, heavily spiced with the views of American immigrants. In the depression years of the early 1930s, a charismatic political leader by the name of William Aberhart founded the Alberta Social Credit, the political movement to which the Reform Party and the Canadian Alliance trace their roots. A native of Ontario, Aberhart moved to Calgary where he taught mathematics in a major high school and then became its principal. What he shared with many southern Albertans was Protestant fundamentalism.

Armed with the idea that Alberta needed an injection of "social credit", in the form of a dividend to be paid by the government to Albertans, Aberhart built a party that propelled him into the premier’s office in the 1935 election. With Aberhart’s election, Alberta’s populism became entrenched on the political right where it has remained ever since.

With Alberta’s major oil discoveries, beginning in the late 1940s, the province shifted from being Saskatchewan’s economic twin, to becoming a mighty petroleum power. A new populism, tailored to Alberta’s metropolitan stature as Canada’s petroleum power, emerged in the 1970s with the election of Peter Lougheed as premier in 1971. From Lougheed, with his wars with Pierre Trudeau over oil revenues, to Ralph Klein’s struggles against Jean Chretien over health care, the Kyoto Accord, and even the Iraq War, Calgary and rural southern Alberta have been the locus of power in the province.

And out of the culture of southern Alberta has come the newest power in Canadian federal politics, first the Reform Party and now the Canadian Alliance. Here the link goes straight back to the populism of William Aberhart and the Social Credit. Ernest Manning, a young man from a rural family in Saskatchewan, walked into Aberhart’s Prophetic Bible Institute in 1927 and enrolled in the Institute’s one year course in bible studies, becoming its first graduate. It was the most fortuitous choice of a course ever undertaken by a student in Canada. When Aberhart died in 1943, Manning succeeded him as premier and held that post until 1968.

His son Preston was the mastermind behind a new political vision of Canada and the place of the West in Confederation. His brainchild, the Reform Party, and later the Alliance pushed aside the Progressive Conservatives, to become the leading vehicle of the Canadian right. It is no accident, given its origins and its history in the "last best west", that the Canadian Alliance is the political party with the most natural affinity for American values and is the most pro-American party in Canada.

For the party of John A. Macdonald, John Diefenbaker, and Joe Clark to be taken over by a sectionalist, pro-American party that is politically dead east of Manitoba is a shocking development. It is a loss to all who believe the Liberals ought not to be the only party to whom Canadians can turn to form a national government.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:56 PM   1 comments

Surviving American Imperialism

(This article was originally written in 2002)

The question of the hour for Canadians is how our country will survive the age of imperial America. All the other issues---globalization, the environment, the fate of medicare, control of our fresh water, the struggle for Canadian sovereignty in the high Arctic---are subsets of the dominant issue. In this country, real politics is waged between continentalists and nationalists. So far the continentalists are winning.

It is no longer controversial to assert that the United States is the global successor to the British Empire and Imperial Rome. The gap between American military prowess and that of any other power is so huge that would-be allies vie for admission to the Bush administration’s coalition rather than being courted by Washington. The long term effect of September 11 has been to expose to the world an old fashioned military empire that no longer bothers with the niceties of international covenants. That is the real import of George W. Bush’s unveiling of the concept of the "Axis of Evil", the reference to Iraq, Iran and North Korea, in his State of the Union address. The Bush II administration is determined not to repeat the mistake of Bush I. The current war will be kept going, at least until the economic downturn is over, and likely much longer than that.

The traditional Canadian strategy----attempting to offset naked American power by encouraging multilateralism and by participating in structures such as NORAD that provide at least a nod to Canadian sovereignty----lies in tatters. In the new American command structure for homeland defence, Canada will be cut very little slack. We either place our forces under American command or we’re left out.

A century ago, a British General who was appointed by the British government commanded the Canadian militia. Unless we are prepared to sink back to that level of formal colonialism, we are going to have to think through a strategy for sustaining sovereignty.

The Liberal government’s practice of talking loudly and carrying a small stick will not do, on a whole range of matters including national defence. Since September 11, the Chretien government’s strategy has been to curry favour with the Americans on border issues, refugee and immigration policy and by participating in America’s new war. Canada’s illiberal anti-terrorism law was explicitly drafted with one eye on Washington. And what has been the payoff for all this pandering? Precisely nothing. On softwood lumber, the U.S. is as implacable as ever. On streamlining commercial traffic across the border, there has been no change since September 11. On the status accorded to prisoners taken by Canadian or U.S. forces in Afghanistan, or on whether the U.S. is to invade Iraq or one of the other "Axis of Evil" powers, Washington cares not a bit what the Chretien government thinks.

Jean Chretien and John Manley have been trying to delude us into believing that if we do something the Americans want us to do, before they insist on it, we are somehow exercising Canadian sovereignty. During the Cold War, that kind of politics was derisively called "Finlandization" for the way the government of Finland tailored its policies to give no offence to their powerful Soviet neighbour.

The continentalists, who have dominated Canadian politics for the past two decades, can point to few ways their years at the helm have benefited Canadians. In terms of the trend of living standards, the 1990s, the decade that followed the free trade deal with the U.S., was the worst of the twentieth century for ordinary Canadians, with the exception of the 1930s. Instead of the stronger, wealthier, more productive country the continentalists promised Canadians, we have become more marginalized, relatively less productive, the fall of our dollar symbolizing what has happened. Putting us in an economic strait jacket where we can no longer fashion government programs to foster the excellence of Canadian companies has been a disaster for Canada. The continentalist cure for the ills they have wrought is to call for yet more integration with the U.S., the scrapping of the loonie and lower taxes that will render our social programs unsustainable.

The nationalists need to fashion policies in the interest of the majority of Canadians who have been left behind since the 1980s. That means dropping the free market religion that followed to its logical conclusion will reduce most of Canada to northern versions of Wyoming and Maine. Raising the living standards of Canadians, protecting medicare and widening access to higher education can never be entrusted to an economic regime that believes that markets and multinationals automatically act in our interest. On national defence, our priority should be to rebuild the Canadian forces to patrol our immense coasts, in particular our Arctic waters, which the U.S. insists do not belong to Canada. Placing our forces under a continental American command structure will reduce, not enhance, our sovereignty.

We will do better with Washington by defining our interests and pursuing them prudently. American companies make billions every year in Canada and ship over fifty per cent of our exports to the U.S. That gives us more freedom for maneuver than our timorous elites imagine.

Since 1993, a sizable proportion of voters has backed the Liberals as the party of Canadian integrity, the party that can provide a realistic defence of Canadian values. For such voters, the priority has been to keep out the parties of the right whose policies point the way to national dissolution. The recent Liberal cabinet shuffle however, has put new power in the hands of the continentalists, while the nationalists have been downgraded.

For those who want this country to survive, the first priority must be to find a pro-Canadian political party. The Liberals are no longer it.

The lesson of history teaches that nations outlive empires. During the centuries of our national story, we have survived the decline and fall of the French and British Empires. What destroys empires is imperial overstretch, the unwillingness of rulers to understand the limitations of their sway. That is the likely fate of the American Empire in the 21st century. With judicious realism though, Canada has every prospect of surviving as a country and not merely as a geographical expression.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:55 PM   0 comments

Good Will Squandered

(This article was originally written in 2002)

In the nearly six months that has passed since September 11, what is remarkable is how quickly the Bush administration has squandered the immense good will felt by the peoples of the world toward Americans in the immediate aftermath of the terror attacks. Famously, the day after the attacks, Le Monde, the influential Paris daily, carried the headline "We are all Americans." These days, anxiety about what the Bush administration will do next has replaced sympathy as the predominant emotion in many countries.

The respected British newspaper, the Observer, reported a few days ago that George W. Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair will meet in Washington in April to set plans for a military assault on Iraq. "The meeting will be to finalize Phase Two of the war against terrorism," a senior official in Blair’s office was quoted as saying. "Action against Iraq will be at the top of the agenda."

Although Blair remains on side with Washington despite rising unease about his position in Britain, other Europeans have moved very far from their initially warm support for Washington’s war on terrorism. For their part, in the aftermath of the rapid, relatively low cost, military victory in Afghanistan, the Bush administration and a vast number of Americans appear to have concluded that allies, particularly those who are opinionated, are dispensable.

When French Foreign Minister Hubert Vedrine critiqued George W. Bush’s "Axis of Evil" label for Iraq, Iran and North Korea as "simplistic", Secretary of State Colin Powell replied that his French counterpart was suffering an attack of "the vapors". President Bush appeared to welcome the differences between U.S. and European attitudes toward his concept of the "axis of evil". He was reported to be fuming in private about weak-kneed "European elites" and Arab leaders, who he believed, lacked the courage to stand up to regimes that could someday provide terrorists with nuclear or biological weapons.

The dismissive tone toward the Europeans was based on the Bush administration’s calculation that the U.S. could deal with its foes in the world, with or without the support of its allies. The thinking behind the tone was revealed in a luncheon speech delivered by Vice President Dick Cheney to the Council on Foreign Relations. Cheney, who had been out of public view much of the time after September 11 told the Council: "America has friends and allies in this cause, but only we can lead it. Only we can rally the world in a task of this complexity against an enemy so elusive and so resourceful. The United States and only the United States can see this effort through to victory."

The administration’s stance reflected a muscular triumphalism that is widespread in American thinking in the aftermath of the military assault on Afghanistan. "America won the Cold War," wrote columnist Charles Krauthammer in the Washington Post "pocketed Poland and Hungary and the Czech Republic as door prizes, then proceeded to pulverize Serbia and Afghanistan and, en passant, highlight Europe’s irrelevance with a display of vast military superiority. We rule the world culturally, economically, diplomatically and militarily as no one has since the Roman Empire."

Steps taken in the last few months reveal the extent to which unilateralism is in and allies are out in the White House. In November, Washington announced that the U.S. would abrogate the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty. Then came Bush’s decision to seek $48 billion in added spending on the military next year (more than Russia’s total military budget) to be added to $325 billion already allocated by Congress.

Finally, there was the adoption of the "Axis of Evil" doctrine. The label signalled a dramatic widening of the Bush approach to the war against global terror from that first conveyed in the president’s speech to Congress the week after September 11. Initially the doctrine pointed to a lengthy struggle against globally significant terrorist movements and the states that harboured them. With the "Axis of Evil" thesis, however, it appeared that states hostile to the United States that possessed or aspired to possess weapons of mass destruction could be legitimate targets for pre-emptive military strikes by the United States. Any demonstrated connection to September 11 no longer seemed to matter.

What has truly unnerved European governments is that the Bush administration has twisted the right of nations to self-defence into the right of Washington to attack countries on the ground that they may pose a future threat to the United States. What the Europeans fear is that this "rogue" notion completely undermines international law, returning the world to the law of the jungle.

Joschka Fischer, Germany’s Foreign Minister spoke for many, and not just Europeans, when he warned Washington that "an alliance partnership among free democrats can’t be reduced to submission. Alliance partners are not satellites."

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:54 PM   0 comments

Casus Belli

(This article was originally written in 2002)

While the Bush administration insists it has not yet decided on a U.S. invasion of Iraq, the president and his closest advisors are clearly leaning in that direction. Next month, George W. Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair, also a hawk on Iraq, will meet at the president’s ranch in Crawford, Texas, reportedly to draw up plans for a military assault on Saddam Hussein’s regime.

In the run-up to the next phase in George W. Bush’s "war on terrorism", we should be on the lookout for efforts to find a casus belli, a triggering cause for war against Iraq. The underlying reason the administration wants to overthrow Saddam Hussein is to alter the balance of power in the Middle East by installing a pro-Washington regime in Baghdad. A tamed Iraq could serve as a future base for the U.S. military, which would provide valuable reinsurance right next door to Saudi Arabia. The critical oil producer in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia has been the source of much of the funding for terrorists and is also the country that spawned most of the September 11 hijackers as well as Osama bin Laden himself. The Saudi regime has been rethinking whether it wants U.S. forces to retain their bases in the Kingdom.

For obvious reasons, the U.S. cannot own up to such geo-political motives for invading Iraq. Instead the Bush administration, in the absence of any evidence of Iraqi involvement in the September 11 attacks, has developed the case that Saddam Hussein is a threat to the United States and its friends because it is developing weapons of mass destruction. A preemptive strike, it has been argued, would excise this tumour from the international body politic.

The problem with this as the only stated reason for assaulting Saddam is that it is rather antiseptic. Intelligent people have always doubted that Saddam (a wicked though not a stupid man) would be reckless enough to invite nuclear annihilation in retaliation for his use of weapons of mass destruction.

Throughout their history, Americans have shown that they prefer more emotionally compelling reasons for attacking other countries, reasons that often turn out in retrospect to have been based on fabrications.

A decade ago, as the first Bush administration mobilized to push Iraq out of Kuwait, which had been occupied by Saddam’s forces, the American public was fed a rancid morsel to whip it into a state of fury. A Kuwaiti teenager testified before a U.S. Congressional committee that she watched in horror as Iraqi troops tore respirators from premature babies in a Kuwaiti hospital, allowing them to die. After this, President George Bush spoke of "babies pulled from incubators and scattered like firewood across the floor."

The only problem was that the whole story was false. No respirators had been torn from babies. The Kuwaiti teenager who had testified using only her first name, Nayirah, was actually the daughter of Kuwait’s ambassador to the U.S. The U.S. advertising Agency, Hill and Knowlton, had set up her appearance before the committee.

A comparable emotional trigger was used to win Americans over to a vast escalation of the U.S. role in the Vietnam War. On August 4, 1964, President Lyndon Johnson announced on national television that he had ordered U.S. air strikes against North Vietnam in retaliation against an attack on a pair of U.S. ships by North Vietnamese gunboats in the Gulf of Tonkin. As in the case of the mythical premature babies, there was no North Vietnamese attack. Two days earlier, the U.S. destroyer Maddox, which had been involved in aggressive intelligence gathering maneuvers in the Gulf, in coordination with attacks on North Vietnam by the South Vietnamese airforce, had had a run in with North Vietnamese gunboats. Then came Johnson’s claim two days later of the unprovoked North Vietnamese attack.

Today no one believes Johnson’s account of events. James Stockdale, a Navy pilot and squadron commander who was later a POW in North Vietnam, reported that when he flew overhead on the night of the incident, he had "the best seat in the house." "Our destroyers were just shooting at phantom targets," he recalled. "There were no PT boats there….There was nothing there but black water and American fire power."

A year later, having got the escalation he wanted, Lyndon Johnson himself, commented: "For all I know, our Navy was shooting at whales out there."

Apparently perennial believers in the truthfulness of their government and mass media, Americans were similarly enflamed by a famous incident at the end of the 19th century when a U.S. warship was blown up in Havana harbour. In 1898, Cuba was one of the last bastions of Spain’s empire in the Western Hemisphere. The U.S., which had been eyeing Cuba for decades, sent the battleship Maine to Havana to keep watch on whether the Cuban drive for independence could result in war with Spain.

On February 15, 1898, a giant explosion tore the Maine apart, killing 266 of the 350 men on board. The American press, with William Randolph Hearst’s chain in the lead, was quick to blame Spain for having blown up the ship with a mine or a torpedo. ‘Remember the Maine’ was the slogan as the U.S. Congress voted $50 million for national defence and President William McKinley led the U.S. into war against Spain.

While the fate of the Maine is still debated, in 1976, Admiral Hyman Rickover of the U.S. Navy undertook an investigation of the cause of the explosion. His team of experts concluded that the blast was self-inflicted, probably the cause being a fire in a coal bunker.

In 1846, U.S. President James Polk was intent on wresting California and New Mexico from Mexico, if necessary by force. He got his casus belli when he sent a U.S. military force into southern Texas (still regarded by Mexico at the time as a renegade Mexican state). Mexican shelling of a Texas border fort followed skirmishes between U.S. and Mexican forces. President Polk told the American people that the Mexicans had thereby invaded U.S. territory. He got his war and with it two-fifths of Mexico, including California and New Mexico.

Today, the game is afoot again. The U.S. administration appears to be bent on finding a cause to ignite American feeling in favour of an invasion of Iraq. In recent days, the story of Navy Lt. Commander Michael Scott Speicher has been getting a lot of air time on U.S. television. Speicher’s F-18 was shot down over Iraq on January 17, 1991, the first night of the Persian Gulf War. Now the claim is being actively revived that Speicher is alive and has been held prisoner in Saddam’s Iraq for the past decade. While the evidence that the pilot is alive is sketchy, a few days ago President George W. Bush expressed disgust at Saddam Hussein "who would be so cold and heartless as to hold an American flier for all this period of time without notification to his family."

The missing aviator may or may not be a part of the casus belli this time. Perhaps a new and even more riveting story will be told. Stay tuned and skeptical. The first casualty of justifications for war is truth.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:51 PM   0 comments

Where Have All the Tories Gone?

(This article was originally written in 2002)

With Canadian Alliance leader Stephen Harper and Progressive Conservative leader Joe Clark poised for talks, the struggle to reshape the Canadian right reaches a new stage. All Canadians, not just conservatives, have an interest in the outcome. The Liberals are not going to stay in power forever. Someday, the reconfigured right will form a government. When that day comes, what manner of conservatives will take the helm?

In the past, conservatism in Canada was associated with the quest for order and stability, respect for tradition and love of country. While conservatives were pragmatic, they were suspicious of innovation for the sake of novelty. Above all, they shunned blind adherence to systems of thought, which might be attractive in theory, but were unproved in practice.

Tories of this ilk were the prime builders of Canada. Read the British North America Act, our constitution before Pierre Trudeau got his hands on it, and you will see what I mean. The first line of the BNA Act reads: "An Act for the Union of Canada, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick, and the Government thereof: and for Purposes connected therewith." Our Tories shunned all that 18th century American rhetoric about "We the people" and forming "a more perfect union".

Likewise our Tories did not get into a lather about whether to rely on the state or the private sector to build the country. Whichever worked was fine with them. Tories heavily subsidized the construction of the Canadian Pacific Railway, created a publicly owned Hydro system in Ontario, nationalized the Canadian National Railway, took the first step toward establishing the CBC, and set up both the Liquor Control Board of Ontario and TV Ontario. None of this signaled a secret predilection for socialism. Every step was taken to build the nation, and to strengthen Canadian business, which profited immensely from the transcontinental railway and the cheap electric power.

John A. Macdonald, the greatest of our prime ministers, built a party that brought together Ontario Orangemen and Quebec ultramontane Catholics, presided over the shaping of our constitution and fashioned an economic strategy to make a single country of our disparate regions. He used tariffs, subsidies, tax breaks and climbed into bed with business---for which he lost office in the Pacific scandal of the 1870s---to get the job done. Macdonald cared little for theory. Had he been an American laissez-faire liberal, imbued with a principled opposition to using the state to build the country, Canada would have disappeared long ago.

And that’s where the problem arises about the kind of political right the country is to have. The one thing Macdonald was unswervingly passionate about was the preservation of Canada. In his final address to Canadians in 1891, he attacked Liberal free traders, throwing down the gauntlet against "this veiled treason, which seeks with sordid means and mercenary proffers to lure our people from their allegiance."

Today, what passes for the political right displays little passion for the preservation of Canada. Canadian Alliance leader Stephen Harper saves his enthusiasm for extending the market and limiting government. His vision of Canada is so decentralist that it is not unfair to compare his ideas to those of the Bloc Quebecois. While serving as president of the National Citizens’ Coalition, Harper wrote an article advising Albertans to build "a much more autonomous Alberta" "It is time to look at Quebec," he continued, "and to learn. What Albertans should take from this example is to become ‘maitres chez nous’." He concluded: "Such a strategy across a range of policy areas will quickly put Alberta on the cutting edge of a world where the region, the continent and the globe are becoming more important than the nation-state."

Those who value the Tory nation building tradition can only be extremely alarmed at the prospect of Stephen Harper becoming Prime Minister of Canada. Both Harper and Stockwell Day, his predecessor as Alliance leader, are far more comfortable with American ideas about the state and the economy than they are with Tory ideas. Harper and Day, are old fashioned American style liberals, not Tories.

What made our Tories true conservatives is that they came out the stream that rejected the American Revolution and its 18th century liberal notions of government and society. Having avoided atomistic individualism, they preserved a conception of the importance of community, above all the national community.

Having escaped the revolution, Canada is a quirky place, where the past and the future cohabit. America, the land of perpetual bourgeois liberalism, is, paradoxically, also a land of stultifying conformity. A fugitive in the United States, idiosyncrasy has found a refuge in Canada. Americans are believers, Canadians skeptics. In the absence of a creed that is a national religion, liberty and personal privacy thrive in Canada. In the United States, freedom is boasted of most when it is practiced least. In North America, the smaller nation occupies the larger cultural space. The United States espouses equality. But Canada, which has espoused equality less, has been more successful in its attainment.

Joe Clark is something of an enigma. Although the PC leader has leaned far in the direction of the Alliance, he is etched with a streak of the old Canadian Toryism. Reminiscent of John Diefenbaker, he retains a passion for a sovereign Canada. He is much less inclined than Harper to press Canada on the procrustean bed of a sterile ideology.

In a country in which Tory sensibilities are deeply rooted, Clark should not make deals with ideologues whose ideas would shut out the essence of Canadian conservatism.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:49 PM   0 comments

"Selling the Family Silver"

(This article was originally written in 2002)

It falls to Ontario Premier Ernie Eves to make a fateful decision for the future of the province---whether to proceed with the privatization of Hydro One, Ontario’s publicly owned electric power transmission system. A court decision, requiring public consultation and new legislation before privatization can go ahead, gives the new premier the opportunity for sober second thought.

Two arguments buttress the case for privatization. The first is that a private sector corporation is inherently more productive than a public sector corporation. The problem with resting the case for privatization on this ideological proposition is that it ignores a century of actual experience with a publicly operated power system in Ontario.

It was Sir Adam Beck, a remarkable businessman and Conservative politician from London, Ontario who led the crusade for "public power" a century ago. He argued that providing power "at cost" to consumers and industries in Ontario was the key to making the province competitive against neighbouring American jurisdictions. If power generation, transmission and distribution were left in the hands of a greedy few, Beck insisted, all Ontarians would suffer.

Responding to Beck’s leadership, municipalities held plebiscites to decide on the principle of public power and to link up their communities with a province wide Hydro system. With both business and labour on side, large majorities voted for public power. This legacy makes privatization a very weighty matter. What was created through the direct expression of the will of the people ought not to be swept aside in the absence of a similar expression of the public will.

For over nine decades, Ontarians have benefited from one of the most reliable power systems in the world, which has provided electricity at enviably low prices. Would private companies have done better? There’s no evidence to support that contention.

The one undeniable black mark on Hydro’s record was its reckless overbuilding of nuclear power plants, the consequence of which is a $20.9 billion stranded debt. The problem with blaming this strategic error on the fact that Hydro was a public utility is that exactly the same error was made by privately owned U.S. utilities, which are now left managing aging, deteriorating nuclear facilities. The stranded debts of privately owned U.S. electric utilities now total tens of billions of dollars.

The second argument for privatization is that selling off Hydro One will draw in an infusion of fresh private capital, which will lessen the amount of Hydro’s debt carried by taxpayers. In practice, this argument turns out to be wishful thinking, a mirage that vanishes as privatization proceeds. To tempt investors to take up an offering, privatizers have perennially been impelled by the logic of their situation to undervalue public assets. The late Lord Stockton (Harold Macmillan), a former British Conservative Prime Minister, once derided this type of privatization as "selling the family silver".

The privatization of Britain's electric power utility by Margaret Thatcher in 1989---the model the Ontario government has had in mind----amounted to a giant rip-off of the British public. William Farlinger, Chairman of Ontario Power Generation, and a big booster of privatization, conceded in a speech to the Canadian Club in the mid 1990s that some "mistakes were made" in the U.K., the worst one being to undervalue "the assets of the utilities." That's a polite way to describe what amounted to highway robbery. The assets of the British electricity system were sold off at about half their true value. Huge private fortunes were made, while billions of pounds were filched from British tax payers. The government of Tony Blair has since introduced a windfall profits tax to recapture a portion of the obscene profits that were realized.

While it is motivated by ideology, privatization is also driven by greed. Brokerage houses, such as Goldman Sachs, as well as Bay Street corporate law firms stand to make a killing if Hydro One is sold. The fees to be gained in what would be the largest IPO in Canadian history have been estimated at $113 million. Also with much to gain in the drive to privatize are the top managers of public corporations who expect that when a corporation goes private they will see their salaries shoot to levels undreamed of in the public sector.

Selling Hydro One will effectively end the ability of Ontarians to control their own electric power system. As soon as the private entity (which is virtually certain to include U.S. investors) exports power to the U.S.----exports are a major goal of privatization---the rules of Canada’s free trade deal with the U.S. will be triggered. Once we turn the export tap on, the rules could prevent us from turning it off. Ontario will be operating in a continental market and prices, including ours at home, are likely to move up to the higher levels south of the border. To make a profit, the new owners will go where the prices are highest. Consumers and industries in Ontario will be the losers.

Ontarians are going to have to pay for Hydro's past errors, privatization or not.

Under the circumstances, the prudent course is to hold onto collective ownership, to ensure energy security and to reap the future profits that will follow restructuring.

Selling the birthright of Ontarians is no way for the new premier to begin his term of office.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:47 PM   0 comments

Trial By Fire

(This article was originally written in 2002)

Lately the media have portrayed Canadian book publishers as coddled corporate welfare recipients who are protected from foreign competition. Calls for letting the market sort things out---even if this means that dozens of publishers go under---miss the point that this sector, here and abroad, has always lived in an environment shaped, and sometimes distorted, by government intervention.

Over the past seven years, Canadian book publishers have been subjected to a trial by fire. Facing an acute short-term crisis, as well as longer-term challenges, the industry now is in an alarmingly weakened condition.

The acute crisis has its origins in the transformation of the book-selling sector with the creation of the Chapters superstore chain. In 1995, Chapters started building large-format bookstores in every corner of the land, driving out long established, locally owned booksellers. The company established Pegasus, its own book wholesaling operation. Without a green light from Ottawa’s Competition Tribunal, the rise of the monopolist bookseller would not have been possible. With Ottawa’s blessing, the ecology of book marketing in Canada was completely altered.

Initially appearing to be an unbeatable company, Chapters turned out to have feet of clay. The company overbuilt in relation to the size of the market. It ended up as a failed real estate venture, imperiling Canadian publishers as its problems deepened.

Thrashing about for survival, Chapters’ management seized on a strategy of cutting back its purchases of new books, returning vast quantities of books and making tardy payments to publishers. The consequence was a cash flow problem for many Canadian publishers. In February 2001, Heather Reisman, owner of the rival and smaller Indigo chain, acquired Chapters’ 77 superstores and 204 mall stores for $121 million. The Chapters’ bloodbath was stanched, but many publishers were left in a state of anemia.

Last month five companies in the General Publishing group run by Jack Stoddart received bankruptcy protection for debts that totaled almost $46 million. Among other business problems was the collapse of his distribution business---General Distribution Services. GDS has been the vital link between Chapters/Indigo and 60 small to medium sized Canadian publishers. Seventy-five per cent of books that were distributed by GDS went to Chapters/Indigo.

The crunch has come for many publishers because Stoddart’s company has not been able to pay them for their sales. Today, individual companies are owed anywhere from a few thousand dollars to over a million dollars. In all, the Canadian owned publishers are owed over $5 million and General is estimated to have at least $15 million of their inventory in its possession. The publishers, as unsecured creditors, are last in line to get money from General. Many publishers are owed more than 25 per cent of their annual sales. Under the circumstances, some publishers could go under while others could end up limping along with reduced staffs and curtailed publishing plans.

Last fall, fearing that General Publishing was a domino that could take others down with it, the federal government stepped in with an emergency $4.5 million loan guarantee. As it turns out, the guarantee came too late. Maybe it went to the wrong place. In any case, the bankruptcy of General Publishing has left many domestically owned publishers facing varying degrees of disaster through absolutely no fault of their own.

Domestically owned publishers have made a huge contribution to Canada over the past four decades. McClelland and Stewart, Douglas and McIntyre, Key Porter, Raincoast, Coach House, Macfarlane Walter and Ross, and Goose Lane to name a few, have played an indispensable role in nurturing and launching the careers of Canadian authors writing about Canadian subjects for readers in this country and around the world. Margaret Atwood was first published by Anansi and McClelland and Stewart, Michael Ondaatje, by Coach House and Anansi, Robertson Davies by Clarke Irwin and Macmillan, David Adams Richards, by Oberon, and Nino Ricci by Cormorant.

Ottawa needs to step in to see the industry through the immediate crisis. This time it should direct the assistance where it will actually do some good.

Beyond the crisis, there is the challenge of sustaining the industry for the long-term. Canadian publishers have built their industry, and with it the viability of Canadian authors, next door to the largest publishing industry in the world.

It should not be imagined that U.S. publishing emerged from the purity of the free market. For more than a century after the birth of the Republic, when the United States was a huge net importer of cultural works from Britain, under-capitalized American publishers were shielded by a protectionist U.S. copyright law that allowed them to publish British writers without paying royalties for their work. The consequence was that U.S. publishers survived by turning out cheap, unauthorized editions of British novelists, much to the fury of Charles Dickens and others. For American writers, the results of this policy were mixed---there were publishers in a position to market their work, but they were forced to compete on unequal terms with the best-known British writers. The Americans only learned the virtues of international copyright when they had plenty to sell themselves.

No one suggests that Canada head down this piratical road. However, it is a fact that Canadian authors are forced to compete for access to their own domestic market with cheap editions of the work of the best known U.S. authors. That’s why governments have had to play a role in sustaining the Canadian publishing industry. Without the federal government to make a difference---to the tune of about $20 million a year---there would be no domestic industry publishing the works of Canadian authors on Canadian subjects.

On the mundane level that government investment has paid off handsomely in jobs and GST payments to the tune of more than $100 million a year. On a more important level, the benefits have been incalculable. Like it or not, Ottawa is complicit in the travails of Canadian publishers. The Liberal government cannot now bury its head in the sand.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:44 PM   0 comments

The Day the Empire Struck Back

(This article was originally written in 2002)

Make note of the date September 20, 2002. Historians will surely mark it as a seminal moment in our new century. On that date an old debate ended, and a new one began.

For the past decade analysts have been debating the question whether the United States would follow the course of former powerful states such as Britain and Rome and proclaim itself an empire. In "The National Security Strategy of the United States", submitted to the U.S. Congress by President George W. Bush on September 20, the White House espouses a doctrine that is explicitly imperialist.

The document envisions a world in which the United States will enjoy permanent military dominance over all countries, allies and potential foes alike. Indeed, in its sweeping declaration that the U.S. "has no intention of allowing any foreign power to catch up with the huge lead the United States has opened since the fall of the Soviet Union", the distinction between friends and foes becomes much less important than it was in the past.

The United States now spends as much on its military as all the other countries in the world combined spend on their militaries. According to the Bush document, the U.S. military will "be strong enough" to dissuade any potential challenger from "pursuing a military buildup in hopes of surpassing, or equaling, the power of the United States."

The meaning of the doctrine is clear. It dashes the aspirations of those who had hoped that the world was moving toward a system of international law that would allow for the peaceful resolution of conflicts, through covenants and courts. In place of this, a single power that shuns covenants and courts has proclaimed that it intends to dominate the world militarily, intervening pre-emptively where necessary to exorcise threats.

Through the decades of the Cold War, the United States portrayed itself as first among equals, the leader of the Free World. Its doctrine rested on the proposition that through containment and deterrence, the U.S. and its allies could prevent aggression by hostile states. The new doctrine consigns containment and deterrence to the dustbin, and with them the notion of the United States as first among equals. Instead for the first time in a formal statement of U.S. policy, the United States is portrayed as standing above all other states. Its role, as guardian of a global system in which the United States is at the centre, is conceptualized as being of a higher order than the roles played by all other states. It is this feature of the doctrine that makes it explicitly imperialist.

Throughout its history, the United States has sought to influence others through its values, its culture, and the way of life of its people. Americans have never seen themselves as a militaristic people. Now though, the U.S. government is resting its claim to global power on military might and that puts the Americans in the company of the Roman Emperors and their legions. To be sure, the Bush document displays a fine Orwellian touch when it proclaims that the United States will not use its power to seek "unilateral advantage". The ninety five per cent of humanity that is non-American is to be lulled into accepting the benefits of "a distinctly American internationalism." Those who are not pacified will have to contend with the American legions, legions that will strike pre-emptively, long before a threat to American interests is allowed to develop.

The coming U.S. assault on Iraq will be the first case in which the new American doctrine will be acted on. Those who have suggested in these pages, that the Iraq adventure is in a unique category, having to do with the unique evil of Saddam Hussein, need to read the new Bush doctrine. It’s all there in black and white.

Today, it may very well be true that there is not much the rest of the world can do about America’s military might. But former imperial powers who have proclaimed their right to dominate others have ended up creating adversaries who multiply faster than the means to control them. However comfortable the yoke that is offered, people won’t accept it over the long term. Those who want a world in which no power is supreme and which laws and covenants are used to settle conflicts will begin a new debate---about how to contend with imperial America.

Americans may live to rue September 20, 2002, the day they turned in the old Republic for a new global empire.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:43 PM   0 comments

Wake Up Time

(This article was originally written in 2002)

The political right is streets ahead of the left in calculating that the great issue of our time is Canadian sovereignty. For the right, the issue is pitched as "North American integration", which they fervently embrace. The right has thought through the issue, has an agenda, and is proceeding to realize it. Right-wing think tanks and the political hard right have mapped out the route to a much deeper integration of Canada with the United States. Their audacious, if unstated, goal is to extinguish what remains of Canadian sovereignty.

For decades, the C.D. Howe Institute has been devoted to fostering an ever closer relationship between Canada and the United States. The Institute was publishing papers advocating a free trade deal between Ottawa and Washington more than a decade before the Mulroney government made this a live political issue. Following the September 11 terror attacks, the Institute began publishing "The Border Papers", described as "a project on Canada’s choices regarding North American Integration." The Border Papers have been published with the financial backing of the Donner Canadian Foundation, also a well-known supporter of continentalist causes.

In April 2002, Wendy Dobson, Director of the Institute of International Business and Professor at the Joseph L. Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, authored the first Border Paper, which argued that Canada ought to take the radical step of initiating a scheme of deep North American integration. Dobson proposed what she called a "Big Idea", "one that addresses U.S. objectives while creating new economic opportunities for Canada". To interest the Americans in such a proposition, Canada would be required to propose steps that Washington would find attractive in the following areas: border security, immigration, defence, and energy security.

Dobson’s critique of Canada’s situation was that while the country had benefited historically from steps toward international economic openness, it had fallen significantly behind the U.S. in productivity and standard of living during the 1990s following the implementation of NAFTA. One might have thought that the fact that Canada had suffered during the new age of free trade, would be a reason for rethinking whether continentalism was the way to go for the future. Dobson reaches exactly the opposite conclusion. Only deeper integration with the U.S. can solve the problems created by the current level of integration, she insists.

This paradoxical reasoning shows up in virtually all continentalist writings. So sure are the proponents of integration with the U.S. about the soundness of their position that any difficulties that have arisen so far are written off as evidence that the process has not gone far enough. If the patient seems to be suffering from the medicine being taken, the solution is to increase the dose.

Well aware that Canadians are highly sensitive about the preservation of their national sovereignty, Dobson tried to square the circle by dressing up her proposal for deep integration as a creative example of the exercise of sovereignty. "The traditional definition of sovereignty refers to a country’s determination of key policies and national control of decisions affecting its governance," she writes. From this unobjectionable statement, she proceeds to the brave new world of the twenty-first century. "Thus, a common theme in the international debate about economic integration---that it erodes national sovereignty and causes the nation-state to wither away---needs to be put in a different perspective. States are the architects of their own constraints through the decisions they make, such as supporting international regimes that make them more accountable to other public and private sector participants, and through the decisions they avoid by failing to exercise their sovereignty." In this wonderland, when a country like Canada bargains away its sovereignty in binding arrangements with a superpower, this can be redefined as a brilliant exercise of sovereignty.

Dobson wants to be able to claim that at the end of the deep integration she proposes, Canada will still enjoy what she calls "political independence", although exactly what Canadians will be allowed to do with it she doesn’t say. Beyond issuing stamps and flying the maple leaf flag, though, it’s not clear what powers this politically independent Canada would actually exercise.

A couple of months after Dobson’s Big Idea, historian Jack Granatstein produced a Border Paper on Canada’s future military options. Granatstein, a Distinguished Research Professor of History Emeritus at York University and Chair of the Council for Canadian Security in the 21st Century, made the argument for a new and deeper military alliance with the United States. Much as Dobson argues, Canadians must make a virtue of necessity, Granatstein says, by going along with the U.S. on all key security and defence questions.

Granatstein’s argument is that in the wake of September 11, the United States is determined to defend itself, with or without the cooperation of Canada. Therefore, "there is no choice at all: Canada must cooperate with the United States in its own interest." Dismissive of what he calls the Canadian penchant for "poking the Americans with the sharp stick of supposedly superior Canadian morality", he is sympathetic to the U.S. view of things. "The superpower neighbour," Granatstein writes "has global responsibilities and burdens, and it often tires of Canadian caution, endless remonstrances, and prickly independence when what it wants and needs is support."

Granatstein paints a picture of the new world in which we live. "Fueled by militant Islam, terrorism has suddenly become the major threat to secular, democratic, and pluralist states," he writes. Faced with this threat, the United States has been building its coalition to strike at "terrorist bases and their supporters in Afghanistan and pledged war against all who shelter terrorists." In addition, the United States is acting to "bolster its homeland security…and is pressing Canada to join more effectively in the defence of North America. Washington is also demanding that the hitherto porous Canada-U.S. border be secured and that Canada’s lax refugee and immigrant screening procedures be tightened."

While the United States has been gearing up for these tasks, and for the development of a ballistic missile defence system as well, Canada has been allowing its armed forces to wither, Granatstein argues. "Canada’s defence spending of U.S.$265 per capita is less than half the NATO average of U.S.$589, and its 1.1 per cent of gross national product (GNP) devoted to defence is precisely half the NATO average," writes Granatstein. The consequence, he states is that "the Canadian Forces have all but lost the capacity to undertake operations for a sustained period."

Granatstein insists that Canada must align itself with the Bush administration on crucial defence and security issues. A key strategic question is Canada’s position on the Bush administration’s highly controversial plan to develop a National Missile Defence system. For Granatstein it is a choice between "high morality" and "great practicality", really no choice at all. Since the U.S. would likely want to put a workable NMD system----should one ever be developed---under NORAD, Canada’s opposition to the system could dismantle NORAD as an effective integrated command system. "On the other hand," Granatstein writes "if Canada accepted NMD and missile defence went to NORAD, Canada’s influence might actually increase."

This advice means that even if the Canadian government believes, along with many Europeans, the Russians and the Chinese, that Bush’s NMD plan could push the world into a dangerous new arms race which would have negative consequences for Canadians, Ottawa ought to forget about this. Granatstein believes that signing on to NMD might give Canadians increased influence. Exactly, what sort of influence? Granatstein immediately qualifies his answer: "No one suggests that Canada would acquire "go/no go" authority over NMD if NORAD runs the show. But Canada would have the right to consultation, the right to participation, and the right to a place at the table when decisions are made."

With the weasel words in this passage, Granatstein comes close to admitting what ought to be obvious. In a real crisis, the decision to act or not to act would be taken in Washington. Canadians would be bystanders, the only difference being that they would be at the table. Indeed, Granatstein’s history recital reveals the truth in this. During the 1962 Cuban missile crisis, U.S. commanders put Canadian forces on full alert without the Diefenbaker government signing off on this. On this grave breach of Canadian sovereignty, Granatstein is frank: "Without waiting for Cabinet approval, belatedly and grudgingly granted, the RCN put to sea to shadow Soviet submarines in the Atlantic, and the Royal Canadian Air Force (RCAF) went on alert, ready to counter any attack by Soviet bombers." Granatstein calls this "the single greatest breach of proper civil-military relations in Canadian history." Nevertheless, he proposes that we set ourselves up for just such a situation at a moment of international crisis in the future.

Not surprisingly, Granatstein wants Canada to attempt to expand the responsibilities of NORAD to cover much of the ground for which the Bush administration has established the new "America’s Command". He says, quite rightly, that it is "very unlikely that Canada will be invited to participate" in the planning or command structure of NORTHCOM, the new United States integrated command for homeland defence. NORTHCOM will operate next door to NORAD at Cheyenne Mountain, Colorado and will be led by the same U.S. four star general who heads NORAD.

The problem with an expanded NORAD is that Canadians could end up with most of their armed forces----army, navy and air force----under the command of a U.S. general. Former Canadian Foreign Minister Lloyd Axworthy has raised concerns about the implications of putting Canadians under U.S. command. "What does a Canadian soldier do," he queries "if asked to handle land mines on Canadian soil, in contravention of our treaty undertakings? What if we apprehend someone considered a war criminal…? U.S. law would prevent them being turned over to the [International Criminal Court], while our obligations require it." Axworthy has also pointed to the problem of putting our Armed Forces under U.S. command because it would mean that Canada could not exercise authority in the Arctic, where Canada has serious sovereignty disagreements with the U.S. over Arctic waters.

Then, for good measure, Granatstein raises the question of a possible U.S. invasion of Iraq. Here again, he brushes aside possible Canadian objections to an invasion as though they are just so much moral fluff. "Canadian officials," he writes "tend to argue that, if Iraq is clearly linked to September 11, then war is defensible, but otherwise, it is not….We know that Iraq supports terrorists, though possibly not including Al Qaeda…"

"So what should Canada say when the United States asks for Ottawa’s support….? Anti-Americans have their answer ready: U.S. wars of aggression are no more moral than Iraqi ones, and we have no proof that Iraq was involved in the events of September 11."

"Nevertheless, an attack against Saddam and his replacement by a leadership that is not so ruthlessly megalomaniacal would be a major gain for the war on terrorism, Iraqis, the region, and the world community. [For Canada] the price of opposition…would likely be severe…..If Canada hangs back, reinforcing the perception that Canadian anti-Americanism and high falutin’ morality too often verge on the unbearable, the costs to Ottawa might be very high indeed. To participate militarily in a war on Iraq would be a Canadian choice. To support the United States in such a war would be a Canadian requirement."

Having advised Canada to support the U.S. on National Missile Defence and an invasion of Iraq, in addition to offering to place Canadian forces under U.S. command, Granatstein regards it as essential that Ottawa increase Canada’s military spending. "Does it matter if we are freeloaders? It does, to the military, of course, but also to the nation and to the rest of the world because it indicates our lack of seriousness….

"Perhaps the reflexive anti-Americanism that characterizes so much of public debate in Canada springs from our guilty conscience. Canada is a defence freeloader, and like spongers everywhere, we dislike those who carry the burden for us."

Granatstein’s analysis leads him to the view that the best course for Canada is to do what the Americans want us to before they insist. This idea of "sovereignty" is highly reminiscent of what U.S. analysts called "Finlandization" in the 1970s. The term referred to the tendency of the government of Finland to kow tow to the wishes of the Soviet Union on key issues. The sorry plight of Finland was portrayed as a warning to the West as a whole if it failed to stand up to the Soviets. Today, it is Canada that risks Finlandization. And we are being pushed down that road by the continentalists at the C.D. Howe Institute, and the likes of Wendy Dobson and Jack Granatstein.

The political party that is most in tune with the ideas of the C.D. Howe Institute is the Canadian Alliance. In his maiden speech in the House as Leader of the Opposition on May 28, 2002, Stephen Harper made the case for an Alliance motion that charged the Liberal government with failure in its management of relations with the U.S. Harper’s thesis was that the Chretien government had been insufficiently staunch in its support for the positions adopted by the U.S. administration.

Harper charged Chretien with "open meddling in U.S. domestic politics prior to the 2000 presidential election when the Prime Minister stated his preference with regard to the outcome of that election." He quoted the comments of the former political counsellor at the U.S. embassy, David Jones, who said in January 2001 that Chretien exhibits "a tin ear for foreign affairs, especially those involving the United States." Harper’s conclusion: "It is no secret that this poisoned the relationship between the government and the new American administration." Quoting an unnamed source in the National Post to the effect that the Prime Minister is not a player with the Bush administration, Harper cites this anonymous authority as saying that "the Americans could not care less about the views of the current Prime Minister. This is particularly evident in President Bush’s passivity in dealing with the softwood lumber dispute."

Not a word of criticism in Harper’s speech is directed at Washington for its failure to seek a solution on the softwood lumber issue. All the blame is laid at Ottawa’s door. Apparently it did not occur to Harper that taking the side of the government in its tough negotiations with Washington on the issue could make it clear to the Bush administration that Canadians were united on the question. Instead, Harper made it appear that Canadians were hopelessly divided and that the Official Opposition was delighted with the anti-Canadian position of the U.S. on softwood lumber.

Harper then broadened his attack on the Chretien government, beyond trade issues, to attack it for its entire foreign policy stance vis a vis the United States. "Downright hostility to the United States, anti-Americanism, has come to characterize other dimensions of Canadian policy," he declared. "In 1996-97 Canada aggressively pushed forward with the treaty to ban landmines without giving due consideration to U.S. concerns about the potential implications for its security forces in South Korea. What did we end up with? We ended up with a ban on landmines that few major landmine producers or users have signed," Harper charged. Having dismissed an anti-landmines treaty signed by most of the nations of the world in Ottawa, Harper went on to support the Bush administration’s line on the development of an anti-ballistic missile defence system. "Most recently we have been inclined to offer knee-jerk resistance to the United States on national missile defence despite the fact that Canada is confronted by the same threats from rogue nations equipped with ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction as is the United States." Harper’s litany of complaints against the Chretien government ended with this nod to those who allege that Canada’s refugee system makes it vulnerable to terrorists: "The government has not adequately addressed the matter of security in the context of continental security. Because of the unreformed nature of our refugee determination system, we continue to be subject to unique internal security and continental security dangers."

Harper concluded with a recitation of his principles for dealing with the United States. "Not only does the United States have this special relationship to us, it is the world leader when it comes to freedom and democracy…..If the United States prospers, we prosper. If the United States hurts or is angry, we will be hurt. If it is ever broadly attacked, we will surely be destroyed."

Here is a theory of Canadian-American relations that allows for no differentiation between the interests of the United States and those of Canada. If there are problems in the relationship, it is because Canadian leaders have been insufficiently devoted to supporting the United States on all essential matters of continental and global policy.

The Canadian Fifth Column, both its intellectual and political wings, is marching toward its goal. And even though the Alliance appears far from power at the moment, it would be a serious error to underestimate the continentalists. Even without winning office, these political forces have shown themselves highly adept at influencing, even setting, the agenda of the Liberal government over the past decade, especially on tax cuts and social program cuts. And there is a strong possibility that over the next decade, these forces will take power. One thing we have learned about the right, at both the federal and provincial levels, is that they will not moderate their program when they have the chance to implement it.

A hard right government would opt for expanding NORAD and placing Canadian forces under U.S. command. It would favour dismantling the Canada-U.S. border, adopting a continental Customs and security perimeter, and harmonizing Canadian immigration and refugee policies with those of Washington. It would be open to having Canada adopt the U.S. dollar as the country’s currency. It would dismantle medicare at the federal level and would privatize CBC television. A hard right government would enjoy the overwhelming support of big and small, foreign owned and domestically owned business in Canada. We know from experience that the blow to Canadian sovereignty that resulted from the implementation of free trade will be very difficult to reverse. The blows that would result from one term of a hard right government could be next to impossible to reverse.

Without actually being aware of it, Canadians are now confronting a grave threat to the very survival of their country. While this threat has been taking shape, the left has been sitting on its ass, amiably trying to decide if all this is something to get fussed about. In recent years, instead of confronting the reality of American imperialism directly, the Canadian left has turned the telescope around to gaze much more distantly at the problem, which it calls globalization. The demonstration in Quebec City in the spring of 2001 in opposition to the Free Trade Area of the Americas was a case in point. Nowhere in all that marvelous mobilization was there the slightest complaint expressed about the takeover of Canada by U.S. imperialism. Had it not been for the Quebecois who carried their own flag, the demonstration could as easily have been in Seattle or Washington as on the northern side of the border.

Over the years, we have had our feckless debates about whether Canada is a sub-imperial power, the periphery of the centre, or the centre of the periphery. The time has long passed for dialogues about how many socialists can dance on the head of a pin. We need to take up the struggle for Canadian sovereignty, to issue warnings about what could lie in store for our country, to mobilize against the threat. Squashing Canadian sovereignty would strike a catastrophic blow at working people in this country and their capacity to take control of their future.

Fortunately, beyond the confines of the scholastic left, there is a sharp rise in Canadian nationalism. Creating a broad popular democracy in Canada is inseparably linked to the struggle for Canadian sovereignty. George W. Bush’s explicit imperialist doctrine, trumpeting the right of the U.S. to dominate the world militarily and to strike pre-emptively when that is in its interest, has opened eyes everywhere, not least in Canada. As always in the past, a surfeit of American megalomania has engendered a response on this side of the border. I encounter it everywhere I go.

The place to start is by mobilizing Canadians to say that this country will have nothing to do with America’s assault on Iraq.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:41 PM   0 comments

The Road to War

(This article was originally written in 2002)

The best available evidence suggests that George W. Bush decided in the spring of 2002, along with British Prime Minister Tony Blair, to carry out a military assault on Iraq.

Prior to taking that decision, the Bush administration was embroiled in a debate about how best to secure America’s strategic interests in the Persian Gulf, while preventing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict from undermining America’s position throughout the region. There were two basic options under consideration, one traditional, the other radical.

Pursuing the traditional option would have involved a U.S. effort to shore up its alliance with Saudi Arabia, while trying to keep the lid on excessive Israeli military intervention in the West Bank and Gaza. That option rested on the American conviction that with its massive reserves of cheap conventional oil, Saudi Arabia holds the key to a stable global supply of petroleum. To keep Saudi Arabia securely in the U.S. orbit, the approach of important members of George Bush senior’s administration, such as Secretary of State Lawrence Eagleberger and National Security Advisor Brent Scowcroft, was to avoid a posture that was so pro Israel that it shut out the Arabs. The mantra of these Republicans was that settling the Palestinian question had to precede the strengthening of the U.S. position throughout the Middle East.

The fact that most of the September 11 terrorist hijackers were Saudis, and the increasing evidence of the role of Saudis in financing Al Qaeda, has undermined U.S. faith in the soundness of the Saudi link. Concern about Saudi Arabia has opened the door to the radical option that is now favoured by most of the key players in the Bush administration.

The centrepiece of the radical option is a U.S. invasion of Iraq. With Saddam’s regime overthrown and the U.S. military installed in its place, Washington stands to gain multiple benefits. The Americans can establish a military base in Iraq from which to keep a wary eye on Saudi Arabia, as well as on both Iran and Syria, two countries that also border on Iraq. From a secure base in Iraq, with its own ample oil reserves, the United States will be much more able to sustain its strategic position in the region than it can ever hope to do by depending on the unreliable Saudis.

The proponents of the radical option, key among them Deputy Defence Secretary Paul Wolfowitz, contend that Iraq is the ideal Arab country in which to establish a new democratic Islamic regime. Wolfowitz is a believer in the proposition that a moderate strain of Islam that is in harmony with democracy can develop. "There can be a separation of religion from the state that is completely compatible with personal piety," he said recently. Under an American tutelage, that is sometimes compared with the U.S. role in post war Japan, people like Wolfowitz think that a democratic Iraq could become a governing model that could be exported to other Arab countries. According to this highly utopian theory, the Iraqis are the equivalent of a tabula rasa, a blank slate, on which the Jeffersonian Americans can etch a new political culture.

The final benefit of the radical option is that once the Americans are installed in Baghdad, they will be in an ideal position to dictate peace terms to the Palestinians. Following victory against Saddam, Washington can make it very clear that a moderate Palestinian leader who can work with the Israelis must replace Yasser Arafat. The unpalatable alternative, the Americans can then say to the Palestinians, is that the Israeli hard liners will expand the settlements in the West Bank with the ultimate goal of making the whole of it a part of Israel.

Since his meeting with Tony Blair at his ranch in Crawford, Texas last April, President George W. Bush has repeatedly said that his goal in Iraq is regime change. Under pressure from Secretary of State, Colin Powell, Bush backed off this line in recent weeks to win the support of the United Nations Security Council for a new round of inspections to ferret out Saddam’s much-touted Weapons of Mass Destruction. This was a change of tactics, not strategy.

Stipulating that a false declaration by Iraq on its weapons programs would constitute a "material breach", the UN resolution gives Bush the opening he requires to launch a war.

Here’s where things are likely to go from here. At some point in the next few weeks, the United States will make a dramatic presentation to the UN Security Council alleging that it has proof that Iraq’s 12,000 page document---handed over to the Security Council last weekend---is not a true and full account of the country’s weapons programs.

In a scene drawn from Adlai Stevenson’s famous disclosure of photos of Soviet missiles in Cuba in 1962, the world will hear a dramatic story about Iraq----with or without photos. The U.S. and the British will insist that the Security Council take action. From there war will ensue, under the banner of the UN, if France, Russia and China go along, or under unilateral Anglo-American direction, if they do not.

People close to the White House such as neo-conservative guru Richard Perle, the chairman of the Pentagon’s Defence Policy Board, are saying that Bush has little choice. He has already staked his presidency on removing Saddam. And there is no way he can keep the pressure up for another year. It’s invade now or lose office in 2004.

We know that the Pentagon wants the land war over with by the end of February, because after that it will be too hot to fight. It will take another month or so, for the U.S. to move the forces it needs into place to undertake the assault. This time the experts say that the bombing phase of the campaign will be much shorter than the forty days that preceded the ground attack in 1991.

The window for war opens in mid January and it closes about a month later. The odds favour war, not to eliminate Saddam’s Weapons of Mass Destruction but to open the door to a grand American scheme to remake the Middle East in its own image.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:39 PM   0 comments

Unilateralist America

(This article was originally written in 2001)

In office for just ten weeks, President George W. Bush has already boldly staked out an America first global policy. Allies and foes alike be damned, unilateralism is the order of the day in Washington.

The recent announcement by Christine Whitman, head of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, that the Bush administration has "no interest" in implementing the Kyoto accord to fight global warming was an unmistakable unilateralist salvo. Explaining the decision not to adhere to the Kyoto protocol, which calls for a reduction in emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse enhancing gases, President Bush declared that "we will not do anything that harms our economy, because first things first are the people who live in America."

Because the United States is the world’s largest producer of greenhouse gases, its decision to walk away from the accord, agreed to by over eighty nations, is a body blow to any concerted global action to counter the threat of global warming. What Bush is telling other nations is that America is perfectly prepared to pollute to keep its economy competitive with other economies. The flip side of the Bush position is equally plain: if other nations choose to cut back their greenhouse emissions, in a common global cause, that is their business. If they suffer economic costs because the U.S. refuses to get on board, so be it.

A willingness to take the threat of global warming lightly is far from being the only arena for the Bush administration’s unilateralism. George W. Bush campaigned for the presidency as a strong adherent of the building and deployment of a missile defence system for the United States. Since taking office, the Bush administration has informed allies and strategic competitors that it intends to proceed with missile defence, no matter what others think.

The alleged purpose of a missile defence system is to protect the United States against potential threats from "rogue" nations such as Iraq and North Korea. The deployment of a major missile defence system would violate the U.S.-Soviet Anti Ballistic Missile Treaty of 1972. But George W. Bush and his key advisors, Vice President Dick Cheney, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, Secretary of State Colin Powell, and National Security Advisor Condolezza Rice think the benefits of missile defence outweigh the risks. In their eyes, missile defence will be the keystone in the arch of American global military supremacy.

The Russian and Chinese governments see missile defence as a blatant American attempt to neutralize the weight of their nuclear arsenals. America’s European allies (and the Chretien government some days of the week) fear that a U.S. missile defence system could trigger a deadly new arms race and could even drive Russia and China into a strategic partnership.

Prior to Bush’s election, the Republican majority in the U.S. Senate turned thumbs down on the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. As in the cases of greenhouse gas emissions and missile defence, the U.S. sought one set of rules for itself and another for the rest of the world. The superpower that wants to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons has itself refused to ratify a key convention that has this as its goal.

What’s the world to do with a unilateralist superpower? This question brings to mind the old riddle "Where does the biggest gorilla sleep?" The answer---"Wherever he likes."

According to the conventional wisdom of our time, we live in an age in which new technology and global commerce are eviscerating the sovereignty of nation states. The problem with the conventional wisdom is that this is also an age of empire in which a single power exercises a sustained and determining influence on the outcome of crucial global questions, ranging from the economy and culture to the environment and defence.

Just over a year ago, when George W. Bush was locked in a fierce contest with Senator John McCain for the Republic presidential nomination, I saw him make a speech to an audience of suburbanites at the airport in Rochester, New York. Aspiring to lead the nation that spends as much on defence as the next eight powers combined, Bush drew the loudest applause from his audience when he declared that "America needs a sharpened sword. I will rebuild the United States military. The evil empire may be gone, but madmen and missiles are still there."

The Clinton administration, the first post Cold War U.S. administration, at least made a show of reaching agreements with other world powers on key questions, although Canadians will recall that signing on to the ban on land mines was not one of them. The Bush administration is opting instead for splendid isolation. While the president and his key advisors are ever so polite in their contacts with foreign leaders, they have resolved that their minds will not be changed on crucial issues. President Bush made this plain to German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder on the matter of the Kyoto accord when the two men met recently in the White House.

The problem of what to do about a unilateralist superpower is unprecedented. Even imperial Britain at the height of its power in the mid 19th century did not dominate the world the way the U.S. does today.

In a few weeks, Canada will host the Summit of the Americas in Quebec City, a meeting which will bring together the heads of all of the governments of North, South and Central America (with the exception of Cuba). The main goal of the summit is to discuss and implement the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA), to be an extension of NAFTA to the whole hemisphere.

As Canadians ought to know, in the midst of a softwood lumber dispute with our powerful neighbour more than a decade after "free trade" was achieved with the U.S., the dirty little secret of trade deals with the Americans is that they are not prepared to share sovereignty with their neighbours. Signing deals with weaker countries like Canada, Mexico and the rest of the Americas will not prevent the U.S. from acting unilaterally to protect its interests whenever it feels the need to do so.

What we really need is a summit of the Americas to figure out what to do about the unilateralist United States.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:36 PM   0 comments

The New Party is Forty Years Old

(This article was originally written in 2001)

Forty years ago, during a sweltering five days in August 1961, 2000 delegates crammed into a convention centre in Ottawa to launch a new Canadian social democratic party. The Cooperative Commonwealth Federation (CCF), conceived in Calgary in 1932 and born the following year in Regina, had been languishing in the polls. In 1958, in the federal election in which John Diefenbaker’s Tories took 208 out of 265 seats in the House of Commons, the CCF won only eight ridings. If it all sounds a lot like the crisis facing the NDP today, it was.

The CCF was a creation of the Great Depression. In the Regina Manifesto, the party’s founding program, the voice of the Social Gospel rang clearly, at a moment of deep despair, particularly on the prairies, where the natural disaster of the dust bowl had combined with the collapse of the wheat market, to provoke social catastrophe. Arrayed behind its saintly leader J.S. Woodsworth, a former Methodist clergyman, the CCF spoke of a society in which Canadians would be their brothers’ keepers and a planned economy would replace a tottering capitalism.

Mainstream social democracy was never as removed from the centre of established Canadian political values as during the Great Depression. The CCF, in its peaceful way to be sure, talked of eradicating the existing social order not merely modifying it. It was not until the Second World War that the CCF came in out of the cold. The war provoked a revolution in the role of government in Canadian society. The CCF had maintained that state planning could eliminate unemployment. Wartime economic mobilization under the direction of the federal government proved that the social democrats were right. Canadians saw with their own eyes what Ottawa was capable of doing to put people back to work if it had a strong enough incentive to do so. What social democrats were saying fitted with what Canadians now thought. Toward the end of the war, to the horror of Mackenzie King, the federal CCF was rising in popular support. In 1944, the party won power in Saskatchewan under the leadership of Tommy Douglas.

If the war pulled the CCF closer to the centre of Canadian political thought, the subsequent Cold War posed a new challenge. During the era of McCarthyism, talk of socialism was associated in many minds with Soviet communism and Joseph Stalin. It was David Lewis, for many years the National Secretary of the CCF, who steered social democrats through the dangerous shoals of the fifties. At a CCF convention in Winnipeg in 1956, Lewis was the architect of a new party manifesto---The Winnipeg Declaration. The Declaration substituted Keynesian reformism for the much more far reaching program of the Regina Manifesto. The CCF now accepted the idea that the private sector would dominate the economy. For its part, government would use the tools of fiscal and monetary policy, and extensions of the welfare state, to ensure full employment and greater social equality.

Changing the party’s programmatic course was only half of David Lewis’s prescription for Canadian social democracy. The other half led directly to the launch of the new party in August1961. In his days as a Rhodes Scholar at Oxford in the 1930s, David Lewis had developed close ties with leading members of the British Labour Party. He was convinced that the only way for a Canadian social democratic party to endure was for it to form permanent organizational links to the labour movement.

With the Winnipeg Declaration, Lewis believed the party had a pragmatic program that would appeal to working class Canadians. He seized on the electoral disaster of 1958 as an opportunity to remake the party from top to bottom and to forge the alliance with labour. During the three years from 1958 to 1961, Canadian social democrats were involved in a continuous process of debate and renewal, a very useful example of what is sorely needed again today.

During the great debate, the consensus in the party leadership was that social democrats had to reach out to what they called "liberally minded Canadians." To realize this objective, "new party" clubs were set up in many parts of the country. The idea was that people who would have found CCF clubs too narrow, and set in their ways, would feel at home, and social democracy’s base would be widened. During this heady period, a school teacher named Walter Pitman won a by-election in Peterborough, Ontario, not as a CCFer, but as the first New Party member of parliament.

Dovetailing with Lewis’s plan for a union between labour and the CCF was the merger in 1956 of the Trades and Labour Congress (TLC) and the Canadian Congress of Labour (CCL) to form the Canadian Labour Congress (CLC). At the convention of 1961, it was the CCF, the CLC and representatives of the New Party clubs who joined forces to establish a new political institution. Just how important the New Party clubs actually were is a matter for debate. Many of the people drawn to these organizations turned out to be very similar to the members of the CCF.

By the time the delegates arrived at Ottawa for the convention, the question of who was to lead the new party had received a great deal of thought. Many in Ontario wanted David Lewis, the architect of the party’s new course, to stand for leader. But Lewis was not enthusiastic about the idea of running. In part, he was concerned that the Canadian people might not yet be prepared to accept a Jewish leader of a national political party. Right from the start, Lewis hoped that Tommy Douglas, the only social democrat ever to head a provincial government, could be enticed to give up the job of Saskatchewan premier to take on the task of leading the New Party. But well into the year the New Party was launched, Tommy Douglas remained negative, at best skeptical, about the idea of standing for its leadership. Only at the very end did he accept the argument that he was the only person who could lead social democrats out of their Saskatchewan "beachhead".

In June 1960, Douglas had led the CCF back to power in a provincial election. During that campaign, he had declared that he would interpret an electoral victory as a mandate to proceed with the establishment of a government funded medicare program in Saskatchewan. With seventeen years under his belt as premier, Douglas was not only well loved and widely reputed to be the finest orator in the country, he was the symbol of political victory, exactly what the New Party needed at the federal level.

A leadership contest between Lewis and Douglas was never in the cards, but unlike J.S. Woodsworth and M.J. Coldwell, his illustrious predecessors at the helm of the CCF, Douglas did face an opponent at the Ottawa convention. Hazen Argue was the only CCF MP from Saskatchewan to survive the Diefenbaker sweep of 1958. Argue and other members of the CCF caucus in parliament had felt overlooked and somewhat miffed during the transition to the New Party. In 1960, at the last federal CCF convention, Argue gave in to pressures from within his caucus to contest the leadership of the party, despite advice from David Lewis that the post should be left vacant while the New Party was being formed. It is likely that Argue (who ended his days as a Liberal Senator) became the last leader of the CCF to prepare the ground so he could later contest the leadership of the New Party.

While some party members were shocked that a leadership contest was in the offing in Ottawa in August 1961, the Douglas-Argue standoff generated excitement. Douglas easily won the contest with 1391 ballots against Argue’s 380. In fact, the leadership battle legitimated Douglas as a party leader, launching him with far more flair than would have been the case at a staid CCF style convention.

The New Party declaration, adopted in Ottawa, was ideologically similar to the Winnipeg Declaration of 1956. An important difference was that the declaration was influenced by the tidal wave of the Quiet Revolution in Quebec, which had begun with the election of Jean Lesage’s Liberal government in 1960. In 1961, the NDP, to the great discomfiture of some long standing members such as constitutional expert Eugene Forsey, pronounced that while Canada was "a nation", it embodied two "national cultures". The declaration went on to say that the French speaking community frequently and legitimately used "the word ‘nation’ to describe….itself."

The other great controversy at the convention had to do with the name of the new party. Some delegates thought the label "New Party" had already caught on and ought to be adopted. Others wanted the term "Social Democratic" to be included in the party name. Among the Ontario delegates, there developed enthusiasm for the name "New Democratic Party", which of course, carried the day. Ironically, one of the goals of party leaders had been to shed a party label that could be reduced to three initials. But for most Canadians, despite efforts in the party to get people to think of "New Democrats", the CCF simply became the NDP.

The NDP did not live up to the hopes of some of its founders that it would become a contender for power in Ottawa. In subsequent federal elections, it won more voters on average, than the CCF had. Its best performance came in the election of 1988, the fateful free trade election, when the NDP won 20.4 per cent of the vote and 43 seats. Over the course of its existence, the party has won power in four provinces, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, British Columbia and Ontario.

But in the age of free trade and globalization, the NDP has fallen on hard times. In the 1993 federal election, the NDP lost status as an official party in parliament. While it bounced back in 1997, in the 2000 election, the NDP was reduced to 13 seats in the House. Following devastating provincial defeats in Ontario, and recently in British Columbia, the party remains in office in Manitoba and clings to power in a coalition government in Saskatchewan. The crisis that now confronts Canadian social democrats is as deep as the one that led to the founding of the NDP forty years ago.

For four decades, the federal NDP has lived off variations on the themes embodied in the Winnipeg Declaration of 1956. It remains a party committed to using the powers of the Canadian state to improve the conditions of the majority, largely through the further extension of social programs. The federal NDP has not yet acted as though it comprehends the vast changes in the nature of capitalism that have resulted from globalization and technological revolution. While a vigorous, important new movement has arisen in opposition to the corporate agenda inherent in globalization, the NDP is only tangentially associated with the vitality and new leadership this movement can provide. Most ominous, the party is largely cut off from the younger generation from which this new movement springs.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:34 PM   0 comments

New Politics Initiative

(This article was originally written in 2001)

In the often static world of the Canadian left, the New Politics Initiative, to be launched at a press conference in Ottawa today by social movement activist Judy Rebick and NDP MP Svend Robinson, is an important development. The sponsors of the NPI have challenged the NDP to decide at its autumn convention to dissolve itself to make way for the formation of a new party that can embrace both those inside and outside the NDP. The fundamental goal of the NPI is to bring a new generation of social movement activists into a radically redefined version of party politics, a highly laudable goal.

In its draft vision statement (dubbed Discussion Paper #1), the NPI claims to hold the key to an understanding of the world and the process of political change. It presents itself as a far-sighted alternative to the ineffectual ways of the present NDP. Do the ideas of the authors of this initiative provide a sound basis for the coming era of left politics in Canada? I confess I find them wanting. The NPI lacks clarity on three fundamental matters: social class, the state, and the United States.

Even though the NPI’s vision statement touches on many things---among them, the environment, proportional representation, a renewed and enlarged public sector, and the problems of aboriginals----the NPI’s seminal point is that direct action politics holds the key to the future of the left. The mantra of the NPI can be summarized as activism to the limit.

In some ways, this is an understandable reaction against the lackluster parliamentary politics of the NDP. Like the authors of the NPI statement, I too was much energized when I attended the protests against the IMF and the World Bank in Washington D.C. last April and those in opposition to the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas in Quebec City this spring. The huge mobilization of demonstrators at the recent G 8 meeting in Genoa shows that protests against the existing order are far from a flash in the pan. The fact that so many young people have taken up the banner of anti-capitalism heralds a brighter future for the left.

The NPI is strongest in its advocacy of a style of politics which is participatory at all levels, to replace the top-down decision making that is as much a part of the NDP as it is of other parties. In its vision statement, a powerful case is made that we need a whole new concept of democracy that will affect all the aspects of our lives, in workplaces and schools, in the designing and administration of social programs, in the running of a political party, and in the governing of a society that needs to come to terms with its diversity.

Unfortunately, beyond its insistence on participatory democracy, the NPI vision is a murky one, clouded by a long list of worthy causes, without the necessary coherence among them to fashion a political party.

The NPI is wedded to the proposition that through activism and by grouping activists together, the way ahead will somehow become crystal clear. This is highly reminiscent of the anarcho-syndicalist tradition that flourished in Europe in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. With anarcho-syndicalism, you get plenty of fireworks, but not much pressure for basic change, as the "New Left" of the 1960s and 1970s so clearly demonstrated, when it fell into the trap of substituting activism for analysis. Along with Stalinism and right-wing social democracy, anarcho-syndicalism is one of the three dead ends against which the left has repeatedly butted its head over the past century.

In addition to peripatetic activism, the NPI is obsessed with decentralization, apparently believing that the more local the decision making authority, the greater its potential for democracy. The enthusiasm of today’s radical-chic for localism----read the columns of Naomi Klein in the Globe and Mail---is eerily similar to the distaste for strong governments that is so much in evidence among neo-liberals and the reactionary-chic. In the Canadian context, the further dismantling of the Canadian state and the enhancement of localism opens the way for real power to be exercised by global corporations and the United States, exactly what the left ought to oppose. It is a right-wing myth, which the authors of the NPI do nothing to demolish, that all states in the world are losing power to a force called globalization. Far from shedding it, the American state is rapidly accumulating power at the expense of the sovereignty of countries like Canada. Under the unilateralist leadership of George W. Bush, the United States has served notice that it intends to impose its will on others on economic, environmental, cultural and defence issues.

The NPI does not face up to the fundamental fact that Canada lives in an American Empire under the sway of American corporate and state power. The vision statement is so tepid on the issue of the American domination of Canada that half the members of the Liberal caucus in Ottawa could easily sign off on it. The failure of the statement to align itself solidly with the aspiration of Canadians to run and shape their own society, free from domination south of the border, is no small matter.

While the NPI is better on the issue of social class, it fails to assert with any clarity that the goal of a left party ought to be to mobilize the majority of the population, made up of wage and salary earners, in opposition to the power exercised over them by corporations and the wealthy. A socialist statement on the matter of social class, this is not.

What the NPI seems to be aiming at is the creation of a party to represent activists, rather than working Canadians in general. In its own way, that is as misguided as the present NDP whose leadership imagines that a move to the right will save it from political oblivion.

The NDP needs to put itself through a process of fundamental change that may lead to the launching of a new party. The New Politics Initiative should be welcomed as contributing to the debate. Unfortunately, at least in its current manifestation, the NPI does not provide a road map to guide the left through the difficult terrain that lies ahead.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:31 PM   0 comments

Fortress North America

(This article was originally written in 2001)

In the aftermath of the terrorist attacks in New York and outside Washington D.C., a chorus of voices has called for a common North American security perimeter and the dismantling of the Canada-U.S. border. One Toronto Sun columnist wrote: "Canada must finally cut the crap and agree to longstanding U.S. demands for stringent common visa procedures."

At this highly emotional time, the following case is being urged upon us.

The Canada-U.S. border is too long and porous to be properly policed. It’s time to open our border with the United States as well as the frontier between the U.S. and Mexico. This Fortress North America would feature common immigration and refugee policies and common visa requirements for visitors to the continent. Canadians would forego their own customs and immigration authorities in favour of a new continental authority. With a hardened continental perimeter in place, it would be possible to eliminate the borders within the continent and to allow full mobility of persons in North America. Crossing the border from Canada to the U.S. would be like crossing an inter-provincial border. It would be the same between Mexico and the U.S.

In his recent book, Toward a North American Community (published before the terrorist assaults), Robert Pastor a professor of international relations in Atlanta, makes the case for full continental integration including a continental currency, which he would call the Amero.

In my opinion, far-reaching schemes for North American integration are both highly unrealistic and undesirable.

Given the politics of the Bush administration, there is virtually no prospect for a move to open the frontier with Canada in the absence of a similar move on the U.S. border with Mexico. That is because to prevail in the presidential election in 2004, Bush strategists are counting on winning the support of a higher proportion of the rapidly rising Hispanic vote in the U.S. At his recent meeting in Washington with Mexican President Vicente Fox, George W. Bush proclaimed that no relationship is more important to the United States than that with Mexico.

Even before the terror attacks on the United States, it was going to be a very tough sell to convince American policy makers to open their frontier with Mexico. Several million illegal immigrants, most from Mexico, are now living and working in the U.S. Opening the frontier to allow completely free access for Mexicans to the U.S. would have encouraged a still higher movement of people northward in search of better jobs. While such a step had support from some Republicans, it was bitterly opposed by other members of the president’s party. The terror attacks are certain to harden the positions of those who were opposed to opening the border with Mexico. Opening the border with Canada without a similar move toward Mexico would be seen as a slap in the face toward Hispanics. The present calculus of American politics rules that out.

If the new mood in the United States makes moves to open the border with Mexico and therefore Canada highly unlikely, there are compelling reasons for Canadians to have severe doubts of their own. An open border with the U.S. would raise serious security concerns for us. When I recently crossed the border from backwoods Maine to Edmundston, New Brunswick, the Customs Officer asked me if I was "importing firearms, pepper spray, mace, explosives or alcohol" into Canada. The list made me want to laugh, although I was less amused when two officers searched my car. But I’ve seen weapons that are illegal in Canada taken from U.S. vehicles stopped at the border. The weapons are held by Customs until the visitors leave the country.

The Bush administration is opposed to an international accord to limit the world’s trade in small arms on the grounds that this violates the Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, which guarantees the right of Americans to bear arms. An open border would inevitably import the American gun culture into Canada, something most Canadians strongly oppose.

Guns would not be our only concern. As the Europeans discovered when they set out to open frontiers, we would have concerns about the movement of banned drugs, explosives, pornography, toxic waste, and certain categories of animals, plants and food. In addition, what do we think of the idea of high speed police chases across the border, something the Europeans had to consider?

The problem, of course, is that unlike the European case where there was a balance in size and power among the states involved in opening frontiers, there is no such balance between Canada and the United States. It would be the American way or the highway on this important list of matters that bear heavily on the kind of society we want.

Harsh things have been said on both sides of the border about Canada as a country that has been a soft touch for the entry of potential terrorists. To date, there is no evidence that the perpetrators of the recent attacks on the U.S. entered American territory from Canada. Many Canadians may not want their security interests looked after by the U.S. authorities who admitted the terrorists to their country and allowed some of them to train as pilots for nearly two years in Florida.

Giving up sovereignty over immigration would be disastrous for Canada. As a country that proportionately has grown much more rapidly in population than the U.S. for many decades, Canada has its own immigration and manpower needs. Since the central concern of American immigration policy is to regulate the flow of Mexicans into the U.S., adopting American immigration policies makes no sense for us.

In this volatile time, our ship risks being submerged in the wake of the vessel of our powerful neighbours. Those who have long cherished closer integration with the U.S. and tighter immigration policies should not be allowed to use the huge sympathy Canadians feel for the victims of the recent terrorist assaults to push their agendas. Understandably, the Americans are trying to universalize their conflict to position it as the struggle of all good nations against global evil. In earlier conflicts though, Americans became involved only when their own interests were directly threatened. In two world wars Americans did not go to war when and because their northern neighbours were in the fight.

As the French and the Germans are now doing, we ought to support those aspects of the fight against terrorism that make sense to us, without committing ourselves in advance to do whatever the Americans want us to do. This is not a time to issue blank cheques.

Let each country police its own borders. In the words of Robert Frost: "Good fences make good neighbours."

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:30 PM   0 comments

National Interest

(This article was originally written in 2001)

John Manley, our foreign minister, says that we are "at war".

I’d like to know how it is that we came to be at war, and with whom we are at war. To the best of my knowledge the House of Commons did not hold a debate followed by a declaration of war such as happened when we went to war against Nazi Germany on September 10, 1939.

The word "war" has become so elastic that we have wars on poverty and against drugs. Now we have a war against terrorism. If wars are all around us, what of the "national interest", a concept much spoken of in the past in Canada that has now grown musty from lack of use. It strikes me that the notion that we are at war requires us to reconsider the concept of national interest, which may turn out to be useful to us after all.

If we are at war, exactly how is it in Canada’s national interest to be at war?

Many voices have been heard crying out that if America is at war, then we are at war, as though America’s paramount interests are automatically ours. The case has been made that America is the central beacon of democracy and freedom in the world and that the attack on America was an attack on democracy and freedom everywhere. I think it is much more plausible that America was attacked because it is the world’s only superpower and it is deeply involved in the power politics of the Middle East.

The heinous crime against the people of the United States appears to have been committed by the terror network of Osama bin Laden who like Saddam Hussein, was once a protégé of the United States. Bin Laden is the voice of a fascist movement whose goal is the purification of the Islamic world.

The role the United States plays in the world, with its military, economic, political and cultural impact in virtually every region, means that the U.S. is going to trigger feedback against itself, and sometimes that feedback will take a virulent form. The U.S. is not the first great power to feel such feedback. The centuries old British role in Ireland provoked terrorist attacks on the British mainland that still continue from time to time. Similarly, the historic role of the Netherlands in Asia provoked violent attacks a couple of decades ago in the Netherlands itself. And the same thing has happened to France as a result of its colonization of Algeria.

Canadians are going to have to think through their attitude to the wars America will fight in coming decades because of its position in the world. This is not the first such conflict and it won’t be the last. Interestingly, we were in much the same situation a century ago when a great debate took place in Canada about the extent to which we should go to war when Britain was at war. The debate grew intense after Britain became involved in the Boer War in South Africa in 1899. The issue was this: just because Britain was at war---Canada was a self-governing dominion in the British Empire---did that mean that Canada was at war.

Some argued that Britain, our Mother Country, was the greatest civilizing force in the world and that Canada ought to be at her side when she was at war with the opponents of the Empire. Others argued that Canadians should be responsible only for the defence of Canadian territory, that a war five thousand miles away in South Africa was Britain’s business, not ours. The Prime Minister of the day, Wilfrid Laurier, came up with a compromise solution. He sent several contingents of Canadian volunteers to fight in South Africa. Attacked by both pro and anti imperialists, Laurier’s solution satisfied neither side. In frustration, the Prime Minister declared that he was neither an imperialist nor an anti-imperialist, he was a Canadian.

Now we have to figure out to what extent we should involve ourselves in the wars in which the United States becomes embroiled.

In his speech to the U.S. Congress, President George W. Bush declared that countries are either on the side of America or on the side of the terrorists. The Bush administration is treating the conflict as a successor to the Cold War, one to which all U.S. allies should commit themselves for perhaps decades to come. Washington wants Canadians, among others, to alter their understanding of the world itself to accept the need to follow American leadership unquestioningly.

And that takes us back to what kind of war this really is. Terrorism, a weapon of the powerless against the powerful, is always the product of the wider social and political setting. As long as the causes that give rise to it remain, crushing one network of terrorists is likely to be followed by the rise of another. What looks on the surface like a war against terrorism turns out to be a much broader struggle involving the societies on whose anger the terrorists feed. The Americans will deploy force and threats, but they will also unleash covert operations, aid to shaky governments, bribery, and attempts to shape political opinion in the Islamic world. They may end up helping create new regional strong men, in the way they once sponsored Hussein and bin Laden. It will be a murky and bloody conflict in which the United States seeks to maintain its influence in a crucial region of the world.

When New York and Washington were attacked, Canadians were quick to respond with aid and an outpouring of grief. But it makes no sense for us to blindly follow the Bush administration into a gigantic power struggle in the Middle East that has the potential to trigger a real war, not just a shadow war against terrorism. Like all free people, Canadians abhor terrorism, but the Bush administration’s agenda for fighting it is far from being the only agenda.

In the coming weeks and months, as the U.S. response to the terrorist assaults and the responses to the U.S. response unfold, it could prove extremely valuable to preserve an independent Canadian voice on the issue. Canadians stayed out of the Vietnam War, which allowed us at times to play an important role as a moderating voice in favour of peace. Not least, staying out of the conflict preserves the lives of Canadians, something no Canadian government should ever squander lightly.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:28 PM   0 comments

Canada is in Danger

(This article was originally written in 2001)

Canada is in danger and not just from terrorists.

While the military effort and Canada’s role in it are front and centre now, we must not lose sight of how the events of the past four weeks could alter our future as a nation, in particular our relationship with our powerful southern neighbour. We need to guard against taking hasty decisions in the heat of the moment whose consequences could be felt long after Osama bin Laden is forgotten.

Since September 11, there has been a concerted effort in important quarters to take advantage of the crisis to undermine this country’s sovereignty, to push us down the road to much closer integration with the United States. A makeshift alliance of opposition politicians, several provincial premiers, important business voices, the U.S. ambassador, former CSIS agents and hawkish pundits has been fanning the flames of anxiety to try to convince Canadians that we are no longer able to provide for our own security.

At times in the past few weeks, Joe Clark and Stockwell Day behaved as though they were desperate to find a Canadian connection to the terrorist attacks on New York and Washington D.C. They set out to undermine the confidence of Canadians, not only in their own government, but also in the very idea that Canada could follow a course of its own in the present crisis.

No Canadian connection to the attacks of September 11 has been found---the hijackers arrived in the U.S. from Britain, Germany and the United Arab Emirates. But many Canadians, not to mention the geographically challenged writers of the West Wing, have been panicked into believing that Canada is a haven for terrorists. The tale of Ahmed Ressam---who constructed a bomb in Vancouver in 1999 to use against a U.S. target and was caught by U.S. authorities in Washington State---has been constantly recycled. The Ressam case exposed major lapses in Canadian procedures, particularly in the lack of integration among CSIS, immigration authorities and police forces. The Ressam case however, paled beside the lapses in U.S. security that allowed the suicide hijackers to obtain driver’s licences and to train as pilots in Florida and Georgia.

We need to retool our security procedures. We need to ensure that communications between our agencies and those in the United States operate so as to satisfy Washington’s legitimate security concerns. What we do not need is to harmonize our rules with those of the U.S. and to set up a joint system for controlling entry into North America. From a security standpoint, with such a step we would be jumping from the frying pan into the fire, arguably increasing the risk of terrorist attacks in Canada.

And such steps would take us further down a road of continental integration whose ultimate destination is the destruction of Canada as a sovereign state.

Now that the Chretien government has aligned itself with the U.S. military effort, there may be a phony peace with the continentalists, but not for long. It is clear, as it was well before September 11, that a concerted minority of business and opinion leading elites will not be satisfied until we are all carrying U.S. passports and electing senators and congressmen. During the free trade election in 1988, a Liberal television ad accused the Mulroney government of wanting to wipe out the Canada-U.S. border. The Tories responded with their own ad in which they firmly drew the border back onto the map. They only wanted free trade not the end of Canada, they replied indignantly.

Today the same forces that brought us free trade want to harmonize our immigration, refugee and visa policies with those of the U.S. with the ultimate goal of eliminating the border. It is easy to see where the agenda goes from there. The next step would be the creation of a North American currency---some want to call it the Amero---or the adoption by Canada of the U.S. dollar. At most we would then get one seat on the U.S. Federal Reserve Board, ending our control over our own monetary policy.

By this point, Canada would be little more than a protectorate of the United States, a northern Puerto Rico. We would not be Americans, but we would not be citizens of a real country either. We would be in limbo, somewhere between our national past and a possible American future.

Those who have been pushing the continentalist agenda would then argue that we ought to opt for entry into the American union since the House of Commons was no longer running anything very meaningful. With any luck we might get to become five American states, they would tell us.

But that would not be the end of our limbo. The U.S. Republican Party, well aware that Canadians have a much more liberal voting record than Americans, would recoil in horror from the prospect of millions of new voters who could hand Congress and the presidency to the Democrats for decades. They now oppose statehood for Puerto Rico because it poses a much smaller version of this problem.

Once finally inside the American union, we would be directly involved in all of America’s wars in the coming decades. It would be our sons and daughters who would pay the price.

Pierre Trudeau once said that the destruction of Canada would be a crime against humanity. He was speaking of the threat of Quebec separatism. Now the threat comes from a determined political force operating on both sides of the border.

It’s still not too late for Canadians to wake up and make it clear that we do not intend to allow our country to be a collateral victim of a terrorist attack.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:26 PM   0 comments

Alternative to Fortress America

(This article was originally written in 2001)

U.S. President George W. Bush has issued a directive ordering U.S. officials to work for the creation of a continental security perimeter with Canada. On this side of the border a powerful lobby, including Paul Cellucci, the U.S. Ambassador, the premiers of Ontario, British Columbia and New Brunswick and the Alliance of Manufacturers and Exporters of Canada, headed by Perrin Beatty, has been pressuring Ottawa to move in the same direction.

Since the attacks on September 11, the U.S. government has announced plans to treble the number of officers at customs posts on the northern border to about 5000. Given the priority now accorded to national security south of the border, it is inconceivable that this important step is going to be revoked anytime soon. In fact, once in place, the new officers should permit the opening of more customs booths at the border and the speeding up of traffic from Canada into the U.S.

Canadians should reject the perimeter concept. It risks an unacceptable loss of Canadian sovereignty and brings with it no guarantee that the U.S. will ease the security it now plans at the border. Instead we ought to take practical steps to meet Canadian and U.S. security needs so that border crossings can be as timely as possible for commercial and personal traffic. Here are some steps we can take and pitfalls we ought to avoid in pursuit of that goal.

* Canada has to respond to lessons learned in the Ahmed Ressam case, in particular the need for greater communication among CSIS, the Department of Immigration and police at all levels. Ressam, who attempted to cross the border into the U.S. in December 1999 with a bomb he intended to detonate at Los Angeles International Airport, could have been apprehended earlier had Canadian authorities shared the information they had.

* Communication and information sharing should be enhanced between Canada and U.S. Customs and between Canadian and U.S. police forces. There are already pilot projects for this: the Integrated Border Enforcement Team (IBET) that operates between B.C. and Washington State, and a similar east coast project.

* A few crucial border crossing points---Surrey B.C.-Blaine, Washington (south of Vancouver), Windsor-Detroit (tunnel and bridge), Sarnia-Port Huron, Buffalo-Fort Erie, and at Niagara Falls---account for nearly three quarters of crossings. These points require major new infrastructure investment on both sides of the border----more lanes, in some cases new bridges. This would allow more use of lanes dedicated to frequent commercial and passenger users.

Traffic, although still below the levels prior to September 11, is no longer frequently congested as it was in the first days after the attacks. AUTOPASS, a program to speed up the passage of people who frequently drive from Canada to the U.S., has been suspended until further notice by the U.S. government. In addition, commercial traffic has slowed as U.S. Customs spends more time searching trucks entering the U.S. As a U.S. Customs official in Washington D.C. told me, the U.S. remains on a "level one, code red alert" and U.S. Customs is "checking everything" coming across the border from Canada. (Despite this, traffic delays from Canada to the U.S. are now much less severe than in the first days after the attacks. On its website, Canada Customs posts frequent updates of the border wait times for commercial traffic and travelers entering and leaving Canada at the nineteen most important border crossing points. Most points are delay free most of the time. The worst cases have been the Windsor-Detroit Tunnel and bridge and Surrey B.C.-Blaine Washington with delays of fifteen to forty-five minutes or even longer some of the time.)

Canada needs to work with the U.S. to re-establish and enhance the programs that were in effect at the border prior to September 11. Following background checks, agreed on by both Canada and the U.S., to determine that the frequent users are low security risks, drivers could again be issued with photo ID cards and decals for vehicle windshields.

* Key industries, which account for the overwhelming bulk of our exports---the auto industry (assembly and parts), steel, chemicals, fabricated materials and forest products---should be singled out for special attention to ensure efficient border crossings. Canada has a vital interest in working this out, but so does the U.S. Over fifty per cent of Canadian exports to the U.S. are made by the subsidiaries of U.S. owned companies.

* We need to consider the advantages of a Frontier in Depth. By establishing an enhanced police and security presence within ten kilometers of major border crossing points, it should be possible to put less pressure on the border itself. This is one area where we can definitely learn from the Europeans, who operate a system of spot checks in areas near frontiers.

* Ontario Premier Mike Harris recently said we should work out an EU style border arrangement with the U.S. But an EU approach will not work, because among EU countries the opening of borders was the culmination of agreements to pool sovereignty taken over several decades. Before borders were opened, there were steps to enhance trade, create common political and judicial structures, establish an EU citizenship and passport, and enshrine the right of EU citizens to migrate freely to work and live in any EU country. The U.S. has no appetite whatsoever for a pooling of sovereignty with Canada, through the creation of common North American governing structures. The U.S. ambassador has said the U.S. does not want an EU type of approach with Canada.

* Canada should reject the idea of having joint teams of American and Canadian Customs officials at key entry points into North America. Canada should refuse to harmonize its immigration, refugee and visa policies with those of the U.S. Harmonization would weaken our ability to pursue our own policies toward the rest of the world. An obvious example of a potential negative consequence: under harmonized rules Canadians could lose their right to travel to Cuba.

In all of this, let’s not forget that Canada has its own security concerns. The U.S. has an enormous number of illegal immigrants---estimates run as high as eleven million people---immensely higher than the proportional number of illegal immigrants and unaccounted for refugees in Canada. Canada has to be concerned about the importation of guns into Canada---since September 11 there has been a huge increase in gun purchases in the U.S. Canada also needs to have the capacity to interdict illegal movements of toxic waste and explosives from south of the border.

Ottawa should guard against the temptation to trade off civil liberties in Canada to convince the Bush administration of the virtues of our security regime. The anti-terrorism act recently introduced in the House of Commons by Justice Minister Anne McLellan leans dangerously in the direction of such a trade off. Despite the minister’s statements to the contrary, the act’s definition of terrorism is so broad that it risks being used in future to curtail legal strikes and lawful protests.

In sum, Canada must retain control of its security, territory and its ability to pursue an independent foreign policy. Fighting terrorism involves much more than military action and enhanced security. It rests, in the end, on helping to create a world in which resources and wealth are much more equitably shared, in which peoples have control over their own affairs and are not reduced to pawns in geo-political and resource struggles. Canada needs to retain its capacity to act on these propositions, something that could frequently put us at odds with the U.S.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:23 PM   0 comments

It Happened Once Before

(This article was originally written in 2001)

September 11 was not the first time foreign terrorists attacked Americans on U.S. soil and inflicted significant casualties.

It happened when Mexican revolutionary leader and bandit Francisco "Pancho" Villa invaded the United States in 1916. Americans living along the Rio Grande were terrified. During the years of the Villa turmoil, about four hundred American civilians were killed on both sides of the border and property losses totaled nearly $200 million. In the American mind, Pancho Villa was the Osama bin Laden of his day. For them, he was an evil doer, in the pay of malevolent foreign interests, who had an unfathomable ability to stir up hatred against the United States. The parallels between Villa and bin Laden are striking enough to be instructive.

When Venustiano Carranza, after a period of violent struggle, took over the Mexican presidency in 1914, his ablest lieutenant Pancho Villa launched an armed revolt. The administration of Woodrow Wilson decided to back Villa, believing him to be more amenable to American interests than Carranza. During his career as a revolutionary leader, Villa attracted a great deal of favourable attention from Hollywood filmmakers and U.S. newspaper photographers who followed him around northern Mexico, recording his exploits for an American audience. To stay fit, Villa, who avoided alcohol, was an avid runner and swimmer. Famous for dancing all night with female camp followers, he was reputed to have been officially married twenty-six times.

But despite being a U.S. protégé (as bin Laden later would be), Villa was defeated on the field of battle by the forces of Carranza.

The U.S. then recognized Carranza as president and Villa was reduced to the status of a bandit, but a bandit with a large following among the land hungry poor peasants of Mexico. On one notorious occasion, he halted a train at Santa Ysabel, Mexico, took seventeen Texas mining engineers from the train and had them executed in cold blood. In 1916, he launched a series of raids on U.S. border towns. The climax came when Villa and five hundred of his troops attacked the small town of Columbus, New Mexico. Villa told his men that he wanted to attack the town because the Carranza government was selling Mexico to the Americans. Well aware of the frequent American military interventions in Mexico, as well as the seizure of much of their country by the U.S. in the war of 1846-48, his men were not hard to convince. What most infuriated Villa’s troops was the news that two days earlier twenty Mexicans had been arrested by the police in El Paso, Texas. Under arrest the Mexicans were soaked with kerosene, supposedly to delouse them. Either by accident or by design, someone then set fire to the Mexicans, all twenty of whom were burned alive.

At 4.45 a.m. Villa’s troops stormed the town and unleashed a volley of lead at the army barracks, catching the six hundred soldiers by surprise. The marauders fired at houses and shot anyone who came out on the street. When they finally got organized, the U.S. soldiers rode after the fleeing Villa forces killing about one hundred of them. Twenty-four Americans died in the raid. The town of Columbus was burned to the ground.

There is evidence that Villa may have been financed by a German spy who maintained a bank account in St. Louis. The U.S. Department of Justice, tracking down the financial support for this early twentieth century terrorist, discovered that $340,000 had been deposited in the St. Louis bank from a New York bank account in the name of the German government. Historians have concluded that the real purpose of Villa’s assault on Columbus, New Mexico was to provoke the Americans into invading Mexico. This he hoped would create a backlash against the United States among Mexicans and would help him to overthrow the Carranza government in Mexico City.

Villa’s calculation, perhaps not unlike bin Laden’s today, proved at least partly correct. The day after the attack on Columbus, President Woodrow Wilson announced that he would send General John J. Pershing----later to lead U.S. forces on the western front in the First World War---and 6000 men to invade Mexico to get Pancho Villa. Pershing and his men crossed the border and within two weeks they had pushed three hundred and fifty miles into the mountains of Chihuahua. The Pershing expedition featured some of the newest assets in the American arsenal, including trucks, armoured cars, dirigible balloons and airplanes. The U.S. continued to mobilize forces on the border, until it had over one hundred thousand men engaged in operations to counter Villa. One of those involved was a thirty year old Lieutenant, named George S. Patton, to become famous for his brilliant tactics as a general in the Second World War.

For nearly a year, Pershing’s forces chased Villa and his small band of men through the deserts and mountains of northern Mexico, enduring both scorching heat and numbing cold. For all their trouble though, they caught few glimpses of Villa’s men and they never came close to capturing the stealthy bandit himself. Eventually the Wilson administration pulled most of its troops out of Mexico to avoid a war in the south just when it was about to enter the First World War against Germany. This left Villa free to pose as an invincible hero in the struggle against the United States. His popularity soared among the Mexican people, many of whom still revere him today. Villa, who surrendered his troops to a rival Mexican leader in 1920, was ambushed and killed in Parral, Mexico in 1923. Officials in the Mexican government likely ordered his murder.

Pancho Villa very nearly succeeded in suckering the United States into a major war with Mexico, something Woodrow Wilson decided, in the end, would have been the wrong war, in the wrong place, against the wrong enemy. Does that remind anyone of Osama bin Laden?

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:21 PM   0 comments

US Unilateralism Since September 11

(This article was originally written in 2001)

For the past two centuries, U.S. presidents have oscillated between warning the world that if you mess with America’s interests we will come and get you, and a profound isolationism. Both the instinct to save the world and to withdraw from it grow out of the underlying belief that the United States is a special nation that is never to be confused with the run-of-the-mill countries of this planet.

How else, at a time when the U.S. has been building a global coalition against terrorism, can we explain the stunning slap at America’s allies and de facto partners, that came with George W. Bush’s announcement that the U.S. is jettisoning the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty? Withdrawing from the ABM Treaty allows the U.S. to test and deploy an anti-missile defence system. Europe, Russia, China (and Canada some days of the week), have warned that this could trigger a dangerous new global arms race.

The ABM announcement demolishes the conventional wisdom that the terror attacks of September 11 taught the Bush administration that unilateralism is not the way to go for the United States. Prior to September 11, George W. Bush and his advisors steered clear of multilateral agreements. Since that dark day, according to the accepted view, the Bush administration has done a U-turn, devoting enormous energy to bringing other nations on side. Almost on a daily basis, the President has been seen in Oval Office photo-ops with foreign leaders.

Now it is undeniable that since September 11, the Bush administration has been pursuing a bold new unilateralist strategy. The world has had the optics of multilateralism without the substance.

It is true that in a bow to internationalism, the Bush administration pressed the U.S. Congress to pay long-overdue American contributions to the UN and called on the U.S. Senate to ratify two UN conventions that deal specifically with terrorism. But the White House remains adamantly opposed to the Kyoto environmental accord, the nuclear test ban treaty, the land mines treaty, an international accord to limit the world’s trade in small arms, the biological warfare protocol, and the proposed International Criminal Court.

In his war on terrorism, George W. Bush has enunciated two key principles as the cornerstone of his approach. The first, as he declared in a speech to a joint session of the U.S. Congress, is that "every nation in every region now has a decision to make. Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists." In Bush’s second principle, the U.S. claims for itself the right to take military action against any country that harbours terrorists. There is nothing multilateralist about this U.S. stance. The United States is proclaiming that it will act unilaterally on its agenda and woe be it to any country that is not on side.

The anti-terrorist coalition has been constructed in a similar spirit. The U.S. is using a hub and spoke system to coordinate its relations with members of the coalition. This means, for instance, that the Americans tell Defence Minister Art Eggleton what role they want Canada to play in the campaign. The other coalition members get the same treatment. There is no collective decision making within the coalition, let alone accountability to the UN. Insisting on complete operational control over the war, Washington hands out the assignments.

The goals of the coalition are also conceived in Washington. The great debate at the moment is whether to launch an assault on Saddam Hussein’s Iraq once the campaign in Afghanistan is concluded. But that debate is being conducted, not within the coalition, but inside the Bush administration itself. For weeks, Bush’s top advisors have been divided about whether an attack on Iraq should be next. Hard liners, including Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and his deputy Paul Wolfowitz, want to seize the present moment for a march on Baghdad, while others such as Secretary of State Colin Powell are less enthusiastic. Coalition members have to wait and watch what the U.S. will do next, but the decision will be made in the White House.

The U.S. response to the tragedy was what you would expect from any nation that has been attacked out of a clear blue sky. At the same time, the response has been uniquely American.

The Bush administration has rested its case for military action on the right of the United States to self-defence----the right of a country that has been violated to strike out at the perpetrators even if they are half a world away. In theory, the same rationale could be used by any nation that has been brutally assaulted. In practice, the United States is the only nation that has the means to mount a military campaign in any region of the world. The power to do this rests on the fact that the U.S. spends as much on its military as the next eight nations combined.

In 1982, Britain sent its navy to the south Atlantic to repel the invasion of the Falkland Islands by Argentina. But that mission could only be carried out with the tacit permission of the U.S. Without such American sanction, no country could mount any military operation in a region remote from its home territory. And even with such sanction, only a handful of countries could consider undertaking such an operation. In reality, the doctrine of self-defence, proclaimed by American leaders as though it is universal, is a right that belongs to the USA alone. The Bush administration is actually proclaiming the right of the global hegemonic power to intervene under its own flag anywhere in the world when its interests are threatened.

That is not to say that the U.S. does not pay heed to the power of other nations. In the current crisis, the Bush administration has paid special attention to Russia and China, the countries with the second and third largest military budgets. Washington has found common ground with Moscow and Beijing in the struggles of all three countries against Islamic fundamentalism. Now though, the diplomatic gains made with both Russia and China could be jeopardized with the abrogation of the ABM Treaty.

America is a new kind of global power. While profoundly shaping the fate of every person in the world, the U.S. still wants to build walls around itself so it can bask in splendid isolation. A system of global or regional collective security can only work when nations submit to collective decision making. That is exactly what the unilateralist United States is not prepared to countenance for itself.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:17 PM   0 comments

A Perspective on the Road Ahead

(This article was originally written in 2001)

Never has capitalism been as pervasive as it is today. Seldom has it been more brittle and therefore, more fragile. Therein lies the opening for the left. Just when it seems that nothing can challenge the monolith, a new and authentic movement of the young rises up in many parts of the world to refuse the latest steps toward capitalist integration. The triumphalist claim that the "new economy" has eliminated boom and bust now lies in tatters. The crisis of the technology sector is severe and global in scope. This is a moment for analyzing the world anew and for thinking in bold, even in utopian terms about the future.

We live in a class divided society---a society in which a dominant class, making up a tiny proportion of the population enjoys wealth and power at the expense of a dominated class which constitutes the overwhelming majority of the population. This system now operates on a truly global scale, crowning a thousand or so billionaires with unimaginable wealth and power, while relegating the majority of the human race to conditions of mere survival or worse.

The capitalist and working classes entered the historical process in tandem, in the same epoch, and have been irretrievably linked to each other ever since. Together, they created capitalism and indeed were created by it. As a consequence of their interaction, both classes earn a living. But as a consequence of the relationship between these two classes there is an enduring disparity of power between them. In a capitalist society, there can be no capitalist class without a wage and salary earning class. Equally, there can be no wage and salary earning class without a capitalist class. Without workers, who sell their labour to earn wages or salaries, those with capital to invest could not make a profit.

The most consequential societal fault line falls between those who control capital and those who work for a wage or a salary. The lives of those on one side of the fault line are qualitatively different from those on the other side of the line. And migration from the class of wage and salary earners into the capitalist class is no easy thing.

More important than the high standard of living enjoyed by those who control capital is that capital is able to reproduce itself through the employment of labour. In our society, capital is a magical commodity. It opens the door to the acquisition of the labour of others and to reaping the profits that result from that labour. No wonder capital is more highly prized than any other commodity. The control of capital allows capitalists to maintain their position and keeps labour locked in its subordinate place.

Today, wage and salary earning Canadians are losing ever more control over their lives. For two decades, while vast new wealth has enriched those who control capital, there has been no real improvement in the standard of living of the average Canadian. The average male employee in Canada makes about $35,000 a year, the average female about $22,000 a year. (More women than men work part time. Today women make up forty-five per cent of the Canadian labour force, compared with under twenty-seven per cent in 1960.) For millions, the concept of a living wage is slipping out of reach. On the treadmill of the market economy, the eighty per cent of Canadians in the labour force who are wage and salary earners receive ever less protection from the government programs that were won in an earlier generation.

A unique feature of capitalism in our era is its deployment of an industrial apparatus that is laying waste the world’s ecology in the interest of short term gain for a tiny proportion of the world’s population. It is not apocalyptic to assert that the present global order is not environmentally sustainable over the medium term future. The brutal fact is that American capitalism, hiding behind an obscurantist denial of scientific opinion, is unwilling to acknowledge the need for even the mildest measures to combat global warming.

The conventional wisdom has it that we live in the age of globalization. The truth is that we live in the American Empire. The big lie of our era is that all states are losing power to a force called globalization. In fact, the U.S. state is accumulating power at the expense of other states. Not only does the United States pressure other states to play by rules designed to benefit an American centred status quo, the U.S. state acts unilaterally to pursue its own interests, unwilling even to accept international norms and conventions created to keep U.S. domination secure. The nuclear test ban treaty, the anti-land mines treaty, the germ warfare treaty, the agreement against militarizing space, the Kyoto environmental accord, the International Criminal Court----these are among the international agreements to which the United States refuses to adhere. And now, notoriously, the Bush administration is pushing ahead with its plan to deploy an anti-missile defence system. The U.S. is about to opt out of the Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty of 1972, a step which threatens to provoke a new global arms race. The truly dark side of American unilateralism is a militarism, which poses the risk, among other things, of a dangerous showdown with China.

In the aftermath of the horrific terrorist attacks in New York and outside Washington, the Bush administration is assembling a global coalition to wage war against terrorism on its terms. Washington has made it clear that nations either buy the whole U.S. package or risk being associated with the forces of "evil".

No cause can ever justify the terrible assault against innocent people in the United States. There is no doubt, though, that the role the United States plays in the world, with its military, economic, political and cultural impact in virtually every region, means that the U.S. is going to trigger feedback against itself, and sometimes that feedback will take a virulent form. The U.S. is not the first great power to feel such feedback. The role in Ireland since the middle of the 17th century provoked terrorist attacks on the British mainland that still continue from time to time. Similarly, the historic role of the Netherlands in Asia provoked violent attacks a couple of decades ago in the Netherlands itself. And the same thing has happened to France as a result of its colonization of Algeria.

For much of the past century, the order of the day was struggles among imperial powers. In the aftermath of the collapse of the Soviet Union and its system of satellite countries, the United States now presides over the greatest empire of the modern age. The U.S. state uses its political, cultural and military resources---the U.S. spends as much on the military as the next eight powers combined---to make the world safe for the American version of capitalism.

The American Empire protects and enhances a global system of capitalism at whose zenith are about five hundred multinational corporations, two thirds of them based in the United States and Japan, with most of the rest based in Western Europe. The annual revenues of these 500 top MNCs are equivalent to about thirty per cent of global economic output.

One consequence of such immense and growing concentration of corporate power is that leading corporations are able to dictate terms to nation states in a way that was never imagined in the past. The top multinational corporations are the most potent weapons in the arsenal of today's capitalism. Because a genuinely global economic system has evolved for the first time in history, corporate giants that operate in all parts of the world exercise unprecedented leverage against recalcitrant states that try to apply regulations that are stricter than those in force elsewhere. Not only do they dominate the global economy through the sheer size of their operations, they perform what we can call a "civilizing" role on behalf of the system, pulverizing local centres of opposition, forcing the world's states and peoples to play by a common set of rules.

Below the level of multinational business, there is the bulk of the private sector, with its innumerable firms, operating in every sphere of the economy, from the smallest businesses to the middle, large and very large national companies. Tens of thousands of such firms exist even in an economy as relatively small as Canada's which gives one some means of comparison with the scale of the 500 largest multinationals which directly account for the production of over one quarter of the goods and services on the planet.

The capitalists below the level of multinational firms constitute a vast throng of people whose life circumstances vary all the way from super wealth for the owners and top managers at the high end of national corporations to near-poverty for capitalism's struggling hangers-on in very small companies and retail outlets. These capitalists employ the majority of those who work for a salary or a wage in the developed world. Sub multi-national capitalists run the businesses that conduct most of the private sector activity within national economies. And it is salutary in an age when globalization is constantly touted to note that most economic activity still takes place within local, regional or national boundaries. Even in a country as dependent on foreign trade as Canada, roughly two-thirds of economic activity is domestic, involving the production of goods and services in Canada for sale at home.

Small and middle sized firms which operate in the domestic economy (many smaller firms are also involved in exporting and importing goods and services) grow or shrink depending on what is happening to domestic economic demand, hiring or laying off employees as the economy expands or shrinks. In most industrialized countries, there still is what we can call a dual economy, in which firms operating in the international sector carry on in an environment that is quite different from that experienced by firms whose market is domestic. In Canada and France for instance, there have been two quite distinct economies in recent years, an export sector dominated by multinational business, which has been booming, and a domestic sector dominated by sub-multinational business, which has been essentially stagnant.

Capitalists at the level of sub multi-national business provide the capitalist class with its essential ballast. These are---particularly at the lower echelons---the masses of the business class. They are encountered in every city, town and hamlet. They shape the mood of capitalist opinion and they have an enormous influence on politics at all levels. While politicians, particularly top government leaders, frequently have to pay attention to multinational business, it is to the business class on the sub multi-national level that politicians largely play.

Most of the hand to hand fighting in the class war takes place at the level of business well below the commanding heights of the multi-nationals. This is where bosses fight workers for every cent in compensation and in the battle to keep benefits low and payroll taxes as low as possible for employers.

It is at the level of sub multi-national business that battles are fought for legislation to make it as difficult as possible to form unions and to ensure that governments allow the use of replacement workers during legal strikes. It is also at this level that the battles are fought against improved environmental standards and in opposition to more stringent health and safety regulations on the job. This is where the war is waged to prevent same sex couples from having equal rights to time off in cases of bereavement. It is here that the fight takes place to abolish affirmative action programs for women, minorities and the disabled.

It is also among the ranks of business at the sub multi-national level that the struggle for major tax benefits for capitalists takes place. This struggle and the others mentioned motivates business at this level to exert pressure to mold the behaviour of the leading pro-business political parties in the industrialized countries. The British Labour Party and Conservatives, American Democrats and Republicans, the French Neo-Gaullists, the Canadian Liberals, Conservatives and the Alliance all interface with business largely at the sub multi-national level.

Depending on particular circumstances and traditions, these political parties are more or less straight-forward advocates on behalf of business. Indeed, their main task in terms of policy formation is to work out an approach which takes into account the often contradictory, or at least divergent, interests of different segments of the capitalist class from its noisy and sizable small business segment at the bottom to world girdling multinationals at the top.

We live in an age of shrinking real democracy. Under the political and military direction of the American state, a system of rules---often in the guise of trade deals that are really covenants protecting the rights of capital---has been put into place to limit the rights of peoples everywhere to govern themselves. These rules reinforce, and make uniform, the power of capital. Their purpose is to prevent popular movements from attempting experiments that enhance the power of working people. Shackled by the acceptance of those rules, Canada’s federal and provincial governments do not make basic decisions. Instead, they administer decisions that have already been taken.





The task of the left is to stand up for the rights of the majority of Canadians.

Never has Canadian society been as diverse as it is today. Diversity has often been used to divide working people on the basis of race, gender and sexual orientation. The struggles of our day take place on many fronts, a recognition of the way in which inequality and exclusion affect millions of Canadians---among them women, immigrants, gays, lesbians and the disabled. Canadian society has become heterogeneous in ways that would have been virtually incomprehensible at the time the first social democratic government was elected in Saskatchewan in 1944. In recent decades, immigration from the Caribbean and Asia has transformed the nation’s major cities, making Canada much more than a union of Anglophones and Francophones.

There have also been dramatic changes in the lifestyles of Canadians. The two-parent family, with the husband in the workforce and the wife in the home, was seen as the norm in the post-war decades. Today, most women participate in the paid labour force, divorce is immensely more common and the number of children raised in single-parented and blended families has skyrocketed. Gays and lesbians, once unacknowledged, have fought for and achieved visibility and increasing social legitimacy. Feminism and environmentalism have transformed the culture to such a degree that the definition of what is mainstream has itself been significantly altered.

Although the advance of our society toward heterogeneity is unstoppable, it continues to provoke significant waves of backlash, which benefit the right politically. In recent years, conservatives have made much of their commitment to traditional values, rededicating themselves fervently to the defence of social norms they claim to have inherited from the past. By making itself the defender of the family, religion and small business, conservatives have played on the stresses in a multiracial, multi-lifestyle society.

What most fundamentally distinguishes the left from the right is that the left is open to everyone. Its humanity is not restricted to elites, the propertied or those of particular races, religious affiliations or sexual orientations. The right, by contrast, has always defined itself through its exclusions. Today’s right-wing menu consists of a main course of greed, garnished with bigotry and sweetened with "family values". Particularly among the young, racism and homophobia are increasingly falling on deaf ears. In the long term, the left’s greatest political advantage is that it embraces everyone and not the exclusive few.

Never has there been a greater need to unite working people in a common struggle. Despite the multiple identities of wage and salary earners in Canada, the crucial point is that they make up a single social class. Throughout the history of capitalism, the most significant fault line has been between those who own the means of production and the sources of wealth on the one hand, and those who sell their labour power for a wage or a salary on the other. Capitalists from the super-rich to the not-so-rich exercise immense power over others because they decide whose labour will be purchased and whose will not. And wage and salary earners in non-managerial positions are the sellers of labour power. What gives the capitalists an immense community of interest, despite their intense struggles for dominance against each other, is precisely the fact that they are the purchasers of labour. There is little they will not do to protect this privileged societal relationship from which their power flows.

And it is the obverse of this that creates a common condition among those who sell their labour. Whether they are a part of the minority of this segment of the population working in manufacturing, or in the majority, working in the service sector, whether they work in the private or public sector, the position of wage and salary earners in contemporary society has strikingly common features. Over the past two decades the sellers of labour in the industrialized countries have faced two dominant realities: their real incomes have hardly increased while those of their bosses have soared; and they have been faced with the fact of more or less permanent job insecurity. These threats have linked the fates of this very large and diverse group of people. To be sure, the intensity of these threats has differed from country to country, from one specific job sector to another, and it has affected the young and those in part-time work more harshly than those who have been in the labour force for a decade or more. But there have been broad similarities in the experience of wage and salary earners in the industrialized world and it is those similarities that place them in a single, if diverse, social class.

The fact that those who work for a salary or a wage face similar economic and social pressures does not mean that they understand the world in the same way. Indeed, the individual men and women who make up this class do not normally regard their status as wage or salary earners as the most important feature of their personal identities. Whether one is a woman or a man, a member of a visible minority group or of the white majority, gay or straight---these facts of one's existence stand on their own, and are by no means subsumed as a consequence of belonging to a social class. There is much truth in the notion that today's powerful systems of communication make it more possible than ever before for individuals to fashion their own identities. There is nothing implausible about individuals adopting an outlook and even a culture which links them with others who may reside on the other side of their country or even the other side of the globe.

But while being a wage or salary earner may not be the feature of an individual's identity that is usually in the forefront of his or her consciousness, it is nonetheless an important feature. And at crucial times, it can become the most vital aspect of a person's life. When a man or woman needs full-time instead of part-time work, or is in danger of losing a job after a corporate merger has occurred, or belongs to a union deciding whether to go on strike, nothing matters more than being a wage or salary earner. As individuals with mortgages to pay and families to support, it was a personally searing decision for the auto workers at the Canadian plants of General Motors to resolve to strike one of the world's most powerful corporations in September 1996. The same was true for the teachers of Ontario who concluded that to protect the educational system and their jobs, they had to embark on a strike against the Ontario government in October 1997. The same can be said about the health care workers who have recently put themselves on the line in battles against the governments of Nova Scotia and British Columbia. It is easy to look from afar at such wage and salary earners in a time of crisis and to conclude that they are members of a group following their leaders. But that is a very incomplete view. They are also individuals making personal decisions, discovering at a moment of crisis just who they are and where they belong.

Particular groups---women, ethnic minorities---may address these questions in their own way, conditioned by their own experience, but just as the problems that have arisen as a consequence of discrimination against women will not be resolved by addressing class questions, it is also true that addressing gender or racial discrimination will not resolve the question of the inequality of social classes.

In the final analysis, wage and salary earners occupy a single social class because their experiences vis a vis the dominant social class are more convergent than divergent. Today's wage and salary earners are face to face with a capitalism that is more monolithic in character than the system that prevailed during the post-war decades. The contemporary experience of teachers, nurses, academics, bank employees and other employees in the service sector has become ever more like the experience of industrial workers.





The NDP has too often caved in to the relentless pressure to accept the idea that there is no alternative to the direction in which our society is moving. In today’s ideological warfare, the first thing the NDP has to do is to stop worrying about today’s conventional wisdom. The more the NDP takes up the cause of working people and of Canada the more the party will be subject to scathing denunciation by the right wing media. It should not surprise us that the ruling ideas of our age are the ideas of those who promote American style capitalism. The left can make itself the real alternative in Canada only when it states its cause without apology.

Throughout the world today, new movements have arisen in opposition to the theft of democracy by a host of institutions whose rules reinforce the power of capital at the expense of working people. Hundreds of thousands of people in many countries have joined the struggles against the WTO, the World Bank, the IMF, the FTAA, and the G 8 in the face of rising police repression. A new generation of activists, imbued with an internationalist outlook, now leads these battles.

Canadians have a stark choice. Either they assert their right to govern themselves, or they end up on the periphery of the American Empire. The corporate, political and ideological drive for continental integration is gaining momentum. Almost the whole of the capitalist class in Canada---those tied to the multinationals, the large Canadian financial institutions and most other major and small Canadian businesses---have opted for continental integration. For them, integration with the U.S. and the dismantling of the Canadian state are the best ways to win the class war at home, to keep Canadian wage and salary earners weak, divided and unable to resist. After a decade of the FTA and NAFTA, the same interests who claimed their goal was merely free trade, are calling for the elimination of the Canada-U.S. border and the adoption of a North American currency (read U.S. dollar) by Canadians. In the next round, Canada could be reduced to little more than the thirteenth federal reserve district, a country that has become a mere geographical expression, a resource base, production platform and consumer market for American capitalism. We are awash in American cultural offerings as our own cultural industries atrophy. Canadians are robbed of an understanding of their own society and of Canadian perspectives on the rest of the world.

Since the terror attacks on the World Trade Centre and the Pentagon, a chorus of voices has called for a common North American security perimeter and the dismantling of the Canada-U.S. border. At this highly emotional time, the following case is being urged upon us:

The Canada-U.S. border is too long and porous to be properly policed. It’s time to open our border with the United States as well as the frontier between the U.S. and Mexico. This Fortress North America would feature common immigration and refugee policies and common visa requirements for visitors to the continent. Canadians would forego their own customs and immigration authorities in favour of a new continental authority. With a hardened continental perimeter in place, it would be possible to eliminate the borders within the continent and to allow full mobility of persons in North America. Crossing the border from Canada to the U.S. would be like crossing an inter-provincial border. It would be the same between Mexico and the U.S.

While the present preoccupation in the United States with the security of the homeland makes near term moves to open the frontiers with Mexico and Canada highly unlikely, the idea of a common perimeter around North America will not go away. Right wingers who want the full integration of Canada with the United States and a tightening of our immigration policy are using the present crisis to push their agendas.

An open border with the U.S. would raise serious security concerns for us. The Bush administration is opposed to an international accord to limit the world’s trade in small arms on the grounds that this violates the Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, which guarantees the right of Americans to bear arms. An open border would inevitably import the American gun culture into Canada, something most Canadians strongly oppose.

Guns would not be our only concern. As the Europeans discovered when they set out to open frontiers, we would have concerns about the movement of banned drugs, explosives, child pornography, toxic waste, and certain categories of animals, plants and food. In addition, what do we think of the idea of high speed police chases across the border, something the Europeans had to consider?

The problem, of course, is that unlike the European case where there was a balance in size and power among the states involved in opening frontiers, there is no such balance between Canada and the United States. It would be the American way or the highway on this important list of matters that bear heavily on the kind of society we want.

Giving up sovereignty over immigration would be disastrous for Canada. As a country that proportionately has grown much more rapidly in population than the U.S. for many decades, Canada has its own immigration and manpower needs. Since the terror attacks, we are constantly being told that we live in a new world. Under that mantra Canadians are being hustled to accept the idea that we must now throw in our lot, lock stock and barrel, with the United States.

The left alone can say Stop. We will go not one step further in the dismantling of Canada. Our allies in progressive movements in the rest of the world are important to us. But it is up to us to win this battle in our own country. No one else will do it for us.

The left affirms that justice cannot be achieved in Canada without justice for First Nations. Canada has been built on the territory of aboriginal peoples, whose societies were decimated and uprooted by European colonization. Over the past quarter century, First Nations have transformed their self-definition, emerging from the long shadow of colonialism, to assert their right to live and to thrive according to their own lights.

A new partnership is needed between English speaking Canada and Quebec. In its day, the Confederation deal of the 1860s provided a basis for the extension of Canada from coast to coast. But the Confederation deal was based on an incomplete recognition of the rights of Quebeckers in the Canadian state. For the past forty years, Quebeckers have made it clear that they want a new arrangement that recognizes Quebec’s rights as a national community. That new deal is essential to the ability of both English speaking Canadians and Quebeckers to acquire control over their own lives and communities.

The essence of our struggle is to fight for an ever deeper democracy---democracy throughout Canadian society and within the left itself. Traditional social democracy has talked a good game when it comes to democracy. But its practice has been less lustrous. Once in office, NDP governments have been run by premiers and cabinets in exactly that way other governments have operated. We need to ensure those who work to elect progressive governments are not ignored the moment office is achieved.

In the wider society, true democratization will elude us until we recognize that the accumulation of capital is a social process. It is labour, not the stock market that creates wealth, despite the conventional wisdom that stands reality on its head. The reinvestment of capital quite literally determines the priorities of society. The left opposes the idea that the deployment of capital is a private matter. Gaining social control over the investment of large sums of capital is crucial to the democratization of society. Popular sovereignty has to include democratic control over setting priorities for capital investment. Cooperatives, unions, non-profit bodies, and worker owned associations need to be involved in setting priorities for capital investment.

So too do governments at all levels, depending on the nature of the investment. The only institution Canadians possess that can stand up to the power of capital, both multinational and domestic, is the Canadian state. We live in a period in which it is fashionable to bash the state, to denigrate those who work in the public sector and to call for the ever greater devolution of power in the Canadian federation from the federal government to the provinces, and from provinces to municipalities. We have ended up with the worst of all possible arrangements----phony devolution in which revenues are not shifted to lower levels along with responsibilities and the general deterioration of public services. In the past crown corporations in the transportation, energy, and communications sectors were key to a Canadian economic strategy. Now, with privatization and NAFTA, governments have given up any notion of an economic strategy. Absurdly, we don’t even really have free trade. When we are highly competitive in a sector such as softwood lumber, the U.S. nails us with crippling countervailing duties. Even if we ultimately win in a trade tribunal, our industry is devastated by lengthy disruptions.

Our experiment with letting the market take us where it will has left Canadians with ever less control over their own economy. It is time for the left to assert that Canadians have a right to own and control their economy and to take collective steps to steer it so it can deliver the best results.

It falls to us to democratize the way public services and social programs are developed and administered. Historically, public ownership, like private ownership, has involved authoritarian management without real involvement of the people who deliver or receive services. We need to create new models of social and public institutions.

We need, as a part of this process, to tackle the question of democratizing the work place, whether it be public or private. Those who work for a salary or a wage, in non-managerial positions, are always vulnerable to the authority of the gate keepers, those who have the power to hire, fire, promote and demote. This is true, whether you work in the private sector or the public sector. Unlike the political realm, where citizens have a right to participate and express their views (although money and career politicians have most of the clout), the work place, with rare exceptions, is not a democracy of any sort. Once you enter the premises, you have to do what you are told (subject to health and safety regulations, and rules that may exist in a collective agreement if you are a member of a union).

Those at the bottom of the hierarchy in a work place typically have their dignity denied in palpable ways. Secretaries who work in law or accounting firms take great care not to let their private lives intrude on their jobs. While the partners in such firms feel free, when their schedules permit, to go home to take their children to dental appointments or to care for them when they are sick, secretaries do not. Secretaries are often closely monitored. The frequency of their visits to the washroom and their conversations with fellow employees are often subject to comment and even to restrictions.

Of vital concern to you if you work for a wage or a salary is the attitude of your immediate superior. You have to be careful what you say when you are on the job. A careless remark which makes it seem that you object to the way things are being run can land you in very hot water. It could even cost you your job. The work world is an authoritarian world.

The minority of the work force which is employed in the public sector generally experiences an environment which is only marginally less authoritarian than that in the private sector. Public sector employees, even those who have considerable education, work in a situation that is highly constrained, in which one's opinions are best kept to oneself.

Workers must gain ever more control over how work is organized as well as over the goals of the work place.

Is a society of greater equality possible? Even by taking the first step of thinking such a thought, of grasping the possibilities, we are opening the way toward taking further steps. Must we accept that at the apex of society there will always be tycoons whose individual ownership of capital gives them an immensely disproportionate say in human affairs? Is it impossible to imagine a future in which no one is allowed to own assets on such a scale? Is it not conceivable that we can limit the power of financial markets to decide how many people will work and how many will be left on the margin? Can we not figure out how to turn our present "Ptolemaic" conception of the economy around, so that the goals of the people at large set the agenda, and financial markets are reduced to serving those goals?

The principles are simple enough: the highest priority should be meeting the needs of wage and salary earners, and this should be achieved via the transfer of power from the members of the dominant capitalist class---they have far too much power---to the dominated wage and salary earning class. Our goal, always the goal of socialists, is to transcend a society divided into dominant and dominated social classes in which the life chances of a few are so much more favourable than the chances of the many. In its place, we seek a society whose goal is human fulfillment where the purpose of work is to enhance life. We reject the present order in which people are a means to the ends of making profits and amassing capital.

Over the past couple of decades, the NDP has become a political organization run by professionals, for whom politics is a career. It is firmly in the hands of those in office, those who seek office and those who dream of seeking office. The gap between this cohort of professional social democrats and social movement activists has never been wider. Over the course of its life, the CCF-NDP has moved from a genuinely radical analysis and political prescription, to the hollow rhetoric that suffuses today’s offerings. The federal NDP has become the beached whale of Canadian politics, gasping for survival. To remake itself the NDP has to become involved in social movement and trade union struggles as a basic part of its political work. The NDP may yet remake itself as that political party, or it may not. That remains an open question.

The left can be, and often is, badly led. It can be divided, morose and underfunded. It can suffer famous defeats.

What causes the party of equality to spring back from the very edge of extinction, however, is the reality of the human condition. It is wealth, privilege and the power of the few to decide the fate of the many that gives rise to a new left when an old one falls by the wayside.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:14 PM   0 comments

The Face of American Terrorism

(This article was originally written in 2000)

More than five years after the Oklahoma City bombing exposed the ugly face of homegrown terrorism, there has been surprisingly little change in the way Americans understand terrorism. The images that flood the mind when you speak of terrorism in the United States today are still overwhelmingly of Middle Eastern plotters and bombers. Osama Bin Laden, the shadowy Afghanistan-based suspected terrorist, not Timothy McVeigh, who was sentenced to death for the Oklahoma City bombing, remains America’s terrorist poster child.

When millennium jitters hit the United States last December following the arrest of a terrorist suspect in Washington state, the spotlight turned to Canada as a potential staging ground for attacks by Islamic extremists against American targets. Briefly, Canada morphed from America’s harmless, even downright dull northern neighbour to a potential menace. Senator Dianne Feinstein, a liberal Democrat from California, adopted this point of view in a Senate hearing in Washington DC in February 2000 when she called for major action to enhance security on the Canadian border, charging that "Canada’s generous immigration policies have meant that terrorist groups can more easily set up cells there."

Orthodox American thought focuses on threats from rogues abroad---rogue groups and states---rather than on rogues at home.

What the idea of terrorism as something external to America shuts out is the startling reality that for the past couple of decades, the United States has been suffering from assault after assault generated by domestic right-wing terrorists. In western Europe, skinheads and neo-nazis attach themselves loosely to far right political parties like the Front National in France or the Austrian Freedom Party. But in the advanced industrialized world, it is only in the United States that a home grown movement of para-military forces, outfitted with ample weaponry, operates as a permanent shadowy opposition to the national government.

Zealots who believe that the highest legitimate government official ought to be the county sheriff have been the authors of numerous threats and attacks against federal and state government employees. During the 1990s, fifteen U.S. abortion clinics were bombed, dozens more were subjected to acts of arson and seven abortion providers were murdered. (James Kopp of St. Albans, Vermont, who has been charged with the October 1998 murder of Dr. Barnett Slepian, a Buffalo doctor, is a police suspect in the wounding of three Canadian abortion doctors.)

No isolated event, the Oklahoma City bombing, which took 167 lives, was a strike against the federal government that was timed to coincide with the second anniversary of the fiery raid by federal agents that consumed David Koresh and his followers at Waco, Texas. Extremists in the militias and other far right movements have treated earlier shootouts between far right outlaws and the police as patriotic acts of defiance against the state. In 1983, Gordon Kahl, a member of the far right Posse Comitatus, refused to pay taxes or obey the conditions for his parole from prison. He was involved in a gunfight in which two deputy U.S. marshals were killed. A few months later, Kahl was hunted down by police in his hideaway in the Ozark Mountains. After he shot a county sheriff, Kahl was shot dead and his body was burned as his cabin went up in flames. Kahl’s funeral was attended by hundreds of far-right extremists, who saw him as a hero in the patriotic struggle.

The accidental killing of the wife and son of far right fugitive Randy Weaver at Ruby Ridge, Idaho, by FBI agents in 1992 has similarly been elevated by extremists to the level of an epic struggle against the federal government.

For years in America, armed men have been training in the woods in militia units whose potential target is the U.S. federal government. While not terrorist organizations themselves, the militias have been a spawning ground for terrorists, such as Timothy McVeigh who attended meetings of the Michigan Militia.

Two weeks after the Oklahoma City bombing, I drove north to the tiny hamlet of Alanson, Michigan to interview Norm Olson, the founder of the Michigan Militia. Olson, a preacher and gun dealer, greeted me at the door of his ranch style house, which was located next door to his shed, which doubled as a retail gun shop. A tall, fit-looking man in his late forties, Olson was wearing olive fatigues and boots and a militia cap emblazoned with the slogan "Enough is Enough".

It was Olson who had the political imagination to capitalize on the deep alienation from contemporary American society of his cronies and men like them, many of them Vietnam war veterans. Along with 27 others, Olson founded the Michigan Militia in April 1994. The militia's state-wide membership quickly mushroomed to 12,000 and similar militias have been formed in many other states.

"Why the guns and the camouflage?" Olson asked rhetorically as we sat drinking coffee in his kitchen, where he was accompanied by a co-founder of the Michigan Militia. "Because we wanted to get people's attention. We could have gone out with placards in three piece suits and no one would have noticed."

He described U.S. President Bill Clinton as a puppet whose strings were being pulled by evil figures in "a field of power" which surrounded the White House. The picture that emerged was of a super-cabal---operatives of the new world government, much ballyhooed on the extreme right---that was actually running the United States. The line that the U.S. has lost its sovereignty to the new world order is peddled daily on far right talk radio programs across the country.

Olson insisted that the Michigan Militia was the direct descendant of the militias of the American Revolution. He reminded me that when the British army ordered the colonial militia to put down their weapons at Lexington Common in 1775, the colonials refused.

"No one knows who fired the first shot, the shot heard round the world," he said, and quipped "maybe it was the CIA." Then he made his point: "We hope a second shot will not be necessary."

This allusion to the potential for a civil war in the United States is the central myth that sustains the militias. How sinister, and yet absurd, to encounter men whose only conceivable purpose for assembling weapons and undertaking military training is to use force, if necessary, against their own government.

One can find echoes of the sensibility of American extremists in Canada in the acts of individuals like Wiebo Ludwig, who was sentenced to 28 months in jail for his bombing campaign against the Alberta oil industry, which also involved him in confrontations with the RCMP. And anti-gun control advocates like NRA President Charlton Heston draw large crowds when they come to Canada. But the anti-state ideology that binds the American far right together, has always had less resonance on this side of the border.

Those who stockpile weapons to engage in combat against the U.S. state do not operate in a vacuum that seals them off from the American political spectrum. They are connected to the mainstream right in a myriad of ways and have become one of the mass bases of the Republican Party. At annual meetings of the Council on National Policy, a right-wing organization that does not allow the press to attend its meetings, Republican leaders such as Pat Robertson, the founder of the Christian Coalition, and Congressional heavyweights like Dick Armey and Tom DeLay, have rubbed shoulders with far-right radicals like Larry Pratt, the leader of Gun Owners of America, a body even more extreme than the NRA. In 1996, Pratt was exposed as having ties to the para-military right and white supremacists.

Republican members of the House of Representatives and the Senate have pandered to far right sensibilities by holding hearings on Waco and Ruby Ridge, while never conducting a thorough investigation of the militia movement. While in Congress, Dick Cheney, George W. Bush’s newly picked running mate, played to this constituency when he voted against all gun control legislation, including a proposed ban on what are called cop killer bullets.

Not all American liberals share the view that the terrorist wing of the American right poses as serious a threat to liberty as the American state and its heavily armed agents. Social commentators Alexander Cockburn and Jeffrey St. Clair edit Counter Punch, a Washington DC based liberal newsletter that displays an anti-state ideology that bears a clear resemblance to ideas often encountered on the right. In a recent editorial entitled The Jackboot State, Counter Punch published a critique of the Clinton Administration that could easily have appeared in a journal of the far right. Written days after the raid by the INS team that snatched Elian Gonzalez from the home of his Miami relatives, the editorial claimed that "the Bill of Rights has disappeared" and that in America "all the appurtenances of a fully fledged police state [are] in place."

Counter Punch asserted that the week before the Elian raid, "the left experienced its own evocation of Kristallnacht, in the week of demonstrations in Washington DC against the World Bank and the WTO…" According to the editorial, police broke into and ransacked the homes of opposition leaders, and raided and closed down demonstrators’ offices. The editorial alleged that some of the hundreds arrested were subjected to "random beatings, denials of food and water for 24 hours, racial abuse, threats of rape, refusals to allow consultations with attorneys."

In an E Mail interview I conducted with Alexander Cockburn, he dismissed the threat of domestic terrorism to the inhabitants of the United States as a "non-starter". "It’s a million times more risky to eat hamburger," he wrote. "On the other hand, the jackboot state destroys liberty and is substantively lethal---most notably at Waco, but also in many encounters where people get blown away by arrogant or jumpy cops, or brutalized, framed and thrown into the dungeons that increasingly infest the landscape."

I’m sure abortion doctors, who are being systematically targeted, would regard their predicament as more dire than that of hamburger eaters. Perhaps the truth is that America’s domestic terrorists and the jackboot state, which often gains additional powers following terrorist eposides, fit together like hand and glove. In a very real sense, they are made for each other.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:11 PM   0 comments

Decisive Showdown on Abortion

(This article was originally written in 2000)

Apprehensive about the potentially nettlesome consequences of the issue, Al Gore and George W. Bush haven’t often chosen to raise the subject of abortion during their presidential campaigns. But the recent decision of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to approve the use of the so-called abortion pill, RU-486, has put the issue on the front burner as the drive for the White House enters the final stretch.

In France, where RU-486 was developed in the 1980s, about 44 per cent of abortions are medical rather than surgical. When a woman uses the so-called abortion pill, she first takes mifepristone, a drug that stops a fertilized egg from attaching itself to the lining of the uterus. Two days later, she takes misoprostol, which triggers contractions of the uterus.

Fearing that the drug will make abortions more accessible and private, opponents of abortion rights in the United States have fought a long battle to prevent the marketing of RU-486. Until now, pharmaceutical companies have been unwilling to undertake the production of the drug because of their concern that the anti-abortion movement will mount a boycott of their other products. To circumvent this problem, a new company, Danco Laboratories, has been formed to market the drug, which will be available to U.S. doctors in a few weeks.

While both major presidential candidates have striven to present themselves as centrists on most issues, on the emotional subject of abortion they are far apart, with Gore pro choice and Bush pro life. Given the fact that the next president will likely nominate between two and four Supreme Court judges, the election on November 7 is shaping up as the most important electoral show down ever on the abortion issue.

If Gore wins, the slender pro choice majority on the Supreme Court will likely be strengthened, while if Bush wins the Court will likely be altered so that it will overturn the historic Roe v. Wade decision of 1972. That decision guarantees the right of American women to have abortions.

The abortion struggle has grown ever more bitter in the United States, giving it the character of a societal war. During the 1990s, seven abortion providers were murdered in the U.S., two of them in 1998. Over the course of the decade, fifteen abortion clinics were bombed and hundreds were subjected to acts of arson and vandalism. Abortion providers were the victims of numerous acts of assault and battery against their persons and their lives have frequently been threatened. In the United States, the life of an abortion doctor makes being a cop look safe.

I visited an abortion clinic in Seattle that is run by Dr. Suzanne Poppema, one of the small number of doctors in the United States who has already been experimenting in the trial use of RU-486. Dr. Poppema, whose clinic averages sixty surgical abortions a week, told me that she believes "medical abortion is the answer" and that when it is widely available the situation of those seeking abortions in the U.S. will be transformed.

Dr. Poppema, who served a term as president of the board of directors of the National Abortion Federation, has experienced the harassment and the anxiety that is the lot of the abortion provider. You can find her name on the notorious Web site know as the Nuremberg File, which lists the names of America’s abortion doctors and targets them for death. Those who are alive and well are listed in black, those who have been wounded are marked in grey and those who have been killed have a line drawn through their names. The Nuremberg Web lists Suzanne T. Poppema and her fellow practitioners as "baby butchers." Above their names is a graphic that simulates dripping blood.

Since a federal jury in Oregon concluded last year that the site was a provocation to commit murder and ordered those responsible for it to pay damages of $107 million to four abortion doctors and Planned Parenthood, the site has been maintained on the Internet by other extreme anti-abortion groups.

The windows at Dr. Poppema’s clinic are bulletproof and she wears a bullet proof vest to work. Security advisers have recommended that she drive to work by a different route each day. A lone abortion opponent shows up several days a week and prays in front of the clinic as patients and the clinic’s staff members pass him on their way in. Once, a couple of years ago, he came inside the clinic, but he has been ordered by a court to stay outside. Not long ago, a raucous group of anti-abortion demonstrators showed up in front of Dr. Poppema’s house.

In the weeks before the U.S. election on November 7, it’s not clear which side will gain the most as a consequence of the heightened prominence of the abortion issue. While public opinion polls show that more Americans are pro choice than pro life, they also reveal that most Americans want to ban so-called "partial birth abortions". The term, which is not a technical medical one, describes abortion techniques that some people see as interruptions of live births occurring late in a pregnancy when a fetus might be viable. Even though over 98 per cent of U.S. abortions occur before the end of the second trimester of pregnancy, the partial birth abortion issue has been a highly effective talking point for the anti-abortion forces.

Betsy Cavendish, legal director of the National Abortion and Reproductive Rights Action League, believes the FDA’s decision on RU-486 is a "huge victory" that will inspire abortion activists to campaign for Gore. But Ralph Reed, a Bush strategist and former head of the Christian Coalition, thinks the decision could be unpopular with Catholics who make up twenty to thirty per cent of the voters in key battleground states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan, and thus could help Bush.

What further confounds the politics of the issue is that polls show that the higher the income and educational level attained by Americans, the more likely they are to be pro-choice. So-called "country club" Republicans are often pro choice, while their party is pro life. On the other hand, many lower income voters who support the pro choice Democrats, have serious reservations about abortion.

RU-486, which is just going into formal testing in Canada, will not be available to Canadian women for at least two years. In Canada, where there is no law regulating abortion, the issue has acquired new salience since the selection of Stockwell Day, a strong opponent of abortion, as leader of the Canadian Alliance. The outcome of the U.S. presidential election is certain to influence the abortion debate on this side of the border.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:09 PM   0 comments

Why the Outcome of the US Presidential Race Matters to Canadians

(This article was originally written in 2000)

Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush agree on important things, chief among them their commitment to the economics of globalization. But their substantial disagreements make the race for the U.S. presidency a matter of considerable consequence to Canadians as they too prepare to go to the polls. Managing Canada’s most important external relationship won’t involve a basic rethink for Jean Chretien’s Liberals in the event that Mr. Gore is victorious. But if Texas Governor George W. Bush wins the election, Stockwell Day and the Canadian Alliance are sure to feel the wind in their sails as a regime that is on their wave length prepares to take office south of the border.

Victory for Mr. Gore would signal continuity with the ways of the Clinton administration. To bring more Americans into the circle of prosperity, Mr. Gore offers a sheaf of educational and health care programs targeted at middle income earners.

"I want to give every middle class family a ten thousand dollar a year tax deduction for college tuition," Mr. Gore proclaimed in the third televised presidential debate "so that middle class families will always be able to send their kids on to college." This proposal reflects the Clinton-Gore "third way" view that a first class education for middle class Americans is the key to ensuring social fairness in a harshly competitive global economy. Earlier this year, Jean Chretien declared that he too is an adherent of the third way, the much touted attempt on both sides of the Atlantic to find a course mid way between free enterprise and old fashioned social democracy.

To win the support of older voters, Mr. Gore constantly reiterates his proposal that a part of the budget surplus be used to offer a voluntary prescription drug benefit to seniors. Reducing the price of drugs to older Americans, some of whom make the trek to Canada or Mexico in search of lower prices, is popular politics in the U.S. The proposal has made Mr. Gore competitive in the crucial state of Florida despite the fact that Jeb Bush, George W’s brother, is the state’s governor.

The vice president insists that his targeted tax cuts, totaling $480 billion over ten years, would allow Washington to balance its budget every year and to completely pay off the national debt by 2012. In the current Canadian election campaign, in Gore-like fashion, the Liberals are trying to convince voters that theirs is a balanced approach, combining substantial tax cuts with strengthened social programs.

At home with Mr. Gore’s outlook, Jean Chretien’s Liberals would find things substantially different if George W. Bush wins the U.S. presidency, especially in the not unlikely event that a Bush win would be accompanied by the Republicans holding onto both houses of Congress. The pressures on a Bush administration would almost certainly come from the right, since most Congressional Republicans are more conservative than their party’s presidential candidate.

The centrepiece of the Texas Governor’s platform is a massive ten year, $1.3 trillion tax cut that would involve an overhaul of the current U.S. tax rate structure. In the third televised presidential debate, one of the most revealing moments came when moderator Jim Lehrer of PBS asked Governor Bush to answer Mr. Gore’s charge that "your tax cut benefits the top one per cent, the wealthiest Americans." Bush replied: "Of course it does, if you pay taxes you’re going to get a benefit." Mr. Bush claims that his tax cut would allow Washington to eliminate the national debt by 2016.

If Mr. Bush wins the election and succeeds in steering his tax cut through Congress, the tax gap between Canada and the United States, having recently been narrowed by the measures announced in Finance Minister Paul Martin’s pre-election mini-budget, would be widened anew. Pressures from business for a matching round of additional tax cuts, accompanied by warnings of a more serious "brain drain" from Canada to the United States, would be sure to follow.

In addition to the tax pressures, in policy areas from gun control to abortion, education and the role of religion in society, in the White House Mr. Bush would press for changes that would be bound, at the least, to provoke major debates on this side of the border. As governor of Texas, Mr. Bush signed a law that allows Texans with permits to carry concealed weapons. He is opposed to three day background checks on gun purchasers, agreeing with the National Rifle Association position that this would adversely affect gun shows. Instead, he favours instant background checks for gun buyers. A Bush victory would energize opponents of the Liberal government’s firearms registration policy.

As an opponent of abortion, the Texas governor initially took the moderate stand that as president he could not reverse the recent decision of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to make the so-called abortion pill, RU 486, available to American women. He has since reversed his position and now says that if a bill reached his desk to overturn the decision to make RU 486 available, he would sign it.

In sharp contrast to Al Gore, George W. Bush favours the further development of charter schools in the United States. He would invest $300 million in a charter schools homestead fund to underwrite $3 billion in loan guarantees to 200 new charter schools. In cases where schools receiving federal funding had consistently poor test results, he would offer vouchers to parents to pay part of the cost of moving their children to alternative public or private schools.

Both candidates make far more references to scripture and the almighty than Canadians are used to hearing from their politicians. That said, Al Gore and his running mate Senator Joseph Lieberman----who drew some criticism when he proclaimed that "Our nation is chosen by God and commissioned by history to be a model to the world"---represent the secular face of American society. They would chastise Hollywood for selling sex and violence to kids, but they are not trying to alter the basic tone of American life.

Even though George W. Bush is no religious zealot, he sees a much larger role in American life for what he calls "faith based organizations" than do the Democrats. In Texas, he has encouraged experiments with boarding schools run by religious bodies that operate under standards drafted by these same "faith based organizations" to manage themselves.

Just as victory for Mr. Gore would encourage Jean Chretien’s Liberals that they are philosophically at one with our mighty neighbour, if Mr. Bush wins, Stockwell Day and his party will be buoyed by the thought that the United States has taken the kind of turn they would like to see Canada take.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:06 PM   0 comments

Anatomy of the Federal Election

(This article was originally written in 2000)

The federal election campaign may appear to be nothing more than a routine contest between political parties for seats in the House of Commons. But as a consequence of basic and unresolved questions about the nature of the country, when voters go to the polls on November 27, they will be passing judgment on different visions of Canada. And they will be doing it in what amounts to two discrete electoral battles.

Canada’s five major political parties subscribe to three distinct visions of Canada. The Liberals, PCs and New Democrats are solidly entrenched in what can be called the "nation building" tradition. They conceive of the federal government as a "national" government whose job is to take a leading role in legislating for the whole of the country. In their Canada, Ottawa is supposed to manage the national economy and oversee the social union.

To be sure, over the past fifteen years, as a consequence of globalization and NAFTA, Ottawa’s position as an economic manager has been sharply eroded. And the social union has been similarly diminished by Liberal cuts to social spending. Despite these changing realities, the nation building tradition remains powerfully entrenched in Ontario, the Atlantic provinces and Manitoba and Saskatchewan. That was the Canada that grieved so deeply for Pierre Trudeau and his fading vision of a nation united around the goal of a "just society".

The Canadian Alliance espouses the second vision of Canada---call it the vision of "autonomous regions"----a product of Alberta's long experience as an adversary of the insistence of central Canadians that the policies that have suited their region are "national policies". When Alberta was launched as a province in 1905, it was not given ownership of its natural resources, a blight visited upon all three prairie provinces until the British North America Act was amended to put them on an equal footing with the other provinces in 1930.

It was Alberta’s resources, its vast petroleum reserves, that gave a former hinterland the capacity to set itself up as a new metropolis capable of challenging central Canada. The Alliance’s predecessor, the Reform Party, began its career precisely as a party of western protest against Brian Mulroney’s PCs and their determination to accommodate Quebec. Remade as a vehicle of the political right that could aspire to win the support of Bay Street, the Alliance has retained the strongly decentralist tone of Preston Manning’s original vehicle.

The Alliance would eliminate regional development programs and terminate Ottawa’s role in setting national standards for the social union. In its program, under the rubric "let’s get government out of the business of business", the Alliance would end the federal government’s support for Canadian culture, through such steps as the privatization of CBC television. Ottawa would be responsible for defence, trade, foreign policy, criminal law and little else. Stockwell Day hopes that the quest for small government will attract Harrisites in Ontario while convincing Albertans and British Columbians that the Alliance remains committed to shucking off the yoke of federal power.

The third vision of Canada comes in the pursuit of Quebec sovereignty---call it the vision of "autonomous nations"----by the Bloc and its allies in the government of Lucien Bouchard. True to the legacy of PQ founder Rene Levesque, the Bloc’s version of sovereignty for Quebec involves a very close economic union, and a degree of political union, with the rest of Canada. In its election ads, the Bloc presents itself to Quebecers as a social democratic party that is outraged at Liberal social spending cuts. But its deepest goal, its raison d’etre, is to strike down the power of the federal government in Quebec. In its platform, the Bloc declares that "for a long time Quebecers have regarded the government of Quebec as their national government." No one should doubt that the Bloc’s nationalism will trump its social democracy when the crunch comes.

And the crunch could come in this election, or to put it more accurately, in the two elections that are underway. In English speaking Canada, especially west of the Ottawa River, the Liberals are fighting an election against the Alliance. In Quebec, the Liberals are at war with the Bloc. To understand how the election is going, you have to add the proportion of voters telling pollsters they plan to vote for the Alliance to the proportion supporting the Bloc. Then compare the total of these two parties with the proportion of voters committed to the Liberals.

The underlying fact of this election is that the Alliance and the Bloc are implicit allies against the Liberals (and the other nation building parties) and their vision of Canada. Their goal is to smote the Liberal dragon that is the guardian of Ottawa’s power.

Although the cultures of the two parties could not be more unalike, the Alliance and the Bloc are radical decentralists. Even the Bloc would stop short of the complete destruction of the union between Quebec and the rest of Canada. And that is what makes these two unlikely bedfellows potential partners should they end up with a combined majority of seats on November 27.

Here’s a possible scenario for the future. If the Liberals end up with the largest number of seats on election day, but fall short of a majority even in conjunction with the PCs and the NDP, they could call the House into session and attempt to run a minority government. Then the Alliance and the Bloc could combine in a vote of no confidence to defeat the government, and the Bloc could announce that it would be prepared to countenance a new government under the leadership of Stockwell Day, dealing with its legislative proposals on a case by case basis. Precedent would require Governor General Adrienne Clarkson to ask Stockwell Day to form a government.

A negative agenda, focused on dismantling Ottawa’s power, could serve as the basis for an uneasy entente between the Alliance vision of Canada and that of the Bloc. At least until Lucien Bouchard decided that he had now achieved "winning conditions" for a third referendum on Quebec sovereignty.

It bears thinking about.


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posted by James Laxer @ 10:02 PM   0 comments

Revitalizing Social Democracy in Canada

(This article was originally written in 2000)

By James Laxer and Gerald Caplan

After 3 disastrous federal elections and the crumbling of its provincial base, can the NDP continue to survive? And does it matter? Our answers are: Not necessarily, and Yes!

There’s an interesting earlier parallel to today’s crisis on the left. John Diefenbaker's massive victory in the 1958 election left the CCF (the NDP’s predecessor) with a paltry eight MPs. The party seemed to face the choice of disappearing or revitalizing. Happily, what followed was one of the most creative periods in the history of Canadian social democracy---- three years of tough rethinking and reorganization that led to the founding of the NDP in 1961, with Tommy Douglas as its first leader.

Inspired and driven by David Lewis, Canadian social democracy was put through a wrenching period of debate about its values, program and structure. The new party soon found its feet. New Democrats often captured between 16 and 20% of the national vote while winning power in four provinces. Under the NDP banner, social democrats played a proud and indispensable role in launching Canadian social programs.

What is needed now is a comparable shaking up, a jolt of creative energy on the left. If that requires an entirely new political formation, so be it.

At the time the NDP was founded, all mainstream parties assumed that more money would be spent on social programs and that the state had a major role to play in achieving economic growth and full employment. In our market centred age, these notions have acquired an almost antique feel. Endless advice is proffered to social democrats to get on board and accept the supremacy of the market.

We ask a basic question. Does the case for a social democratic party still hold up, or is the very ideology outdated and irrelevant?

Social democracy is about greater equality among people and nations. Its case has always rested on the premise that left to its own devices, capitalism tends toward great extremes of wealth and power. Over the past decade, in both Canada and the United States, the unmistakable trend has been toward a growing gap between the rich and the rest of the population, as food banks and homelessness vividly attest. Looking at the world as a whole, it is evident that global capitalism promotes subsistence and poverty for the many and wealth and affluence for the few. The case for social democracy, we passionately believe, is as strong today as at any time in the past century.

This leads to the great mystery of the moment. In the face of these realities, the NDP has become largely irrelevant, even to those whose causes it champions. While more and more of those who protest the injustices of modern corporate capitalism see the political system itself as part of the problem, the NDP plays the political game for all its worth. It devotes itself to the world of 10-second sound bites, inter-party trashing, and elections based on little more than the need to win enough seats to retain official party status. Of course it’s right to fight against dismantling the health care system and other social programs. But social democrats need to operate on a much wider terrain, to develop an analysis and a strategy that go far beyond defending the modest gains of the past. The NDP must stop being Canada’s conservative party and become the vanguard of a broadened progressive vision for the new millennium.

The issues are surely clear enough. Social democrats need to evolve a program that advances the goals of equality, social justice and human rights at home and abroad. Globalization has vastly increased the power of transnational corporations while severely limiting the sovereignty of individual governments. Especially since last year’s demonstrations in Seattle against the WTO, a movement has grown up in many parts of the world to expose the democratic deficit that globalization has created. The NDP must proactively identify with the aspirations of this movement whose goal is to counter the weakening of citizen based democracies as a consequence of free trade pacts and institutions such as the IMF, the World Bank and the WTO.

Free market capitalism also imperils the very future of the planet. The voracious drive for more and more production on a global scale is simply not environmentally sustainable. Canada played a scandalous role in the recent failed talks to achieve a treaty to curb global warming. Canadian social democracy needs to forge an alliance between workers and environmentalists, the so-called red-green alliance that has helped bring social democrats to power in Germany and France.

Generational renewal is also key to the future of Canadian social democracy. Younger Canadians face life prospects that make their situation significantly different from that of baby boomers and seniors. Longer hours of work with decreasing security, rising tuition fees and indebtedness are the lot in life for too many young workers and students. Yet too many young people have written off the NDP as yesterday's institution, just another culprit dedicated to defending its place in the status quo. Turbulence can be expected if the doors are thrown wide open to the today's young activists. The NDP should welcome the turbulence.

Canadian social democrats, led by the NDP, must immediately launch an open-ended debate about the future. The party must not allow itself to be diverted by the tactical minutiae and silly games-playing of the House of Commons. Rather, the priority should be to organize conferences, to bring people together, to encourage vigorous debate on every aspect of political life. The internet makes this debate easier and more affordable. Let the renewal begin without preconceived notions about where it will lead. Let there be no sacred cows, no subject off-limit, no idea dismissed out of hand---including the need for a new party of the democratic left. If the debate fails to begin immediately, there may not be another chance.

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posted by James Laxer @ 10:01 PM   0 comments

Who Speaks for Ontario?

(This article was orinally written in 1999)

In the wake of his second electoral victory, does Mike Harris speak for Ontario?

In our political culture, the customary answer to that question is a resounding Yes. But Harris is not a customary Canadian political leader and the election that just ended was no run of the mill affair.

Despite his vague offer of an olive branch to those who disagree with him, what distinguishes Harris from former Ontario premiers is that he takes pride in enacting his agenda, his whole agenda and nothing but his agenda---no matter what anyone else thinks. How often during the election campaign did we hear Harris proclaim that he does what he says and that's why the people trust him?

The trouble is that 45 per cent of the people trust him, but 55 per cent do not. In a highly polarized society, which Ontario has become, the fact that the majority is in staunch opposition to the government is no small thing.

In the pre-Harris political culture, Ontario's three political parties were centrist. They had their disagreements, but they occupied a political terrain in which they had much in common. It was normal for political leaders like Bill Davis, Stephen Lewis and Bob Nixon to borrow ideas from each other.

In an atmosphere of give and take, the distortions of the first-past-the-post electoral system were not so onerous. Now it really matters that the party that won 45 per cent of the votes got almost 60 per cent of the seats. Harris has deliberately polarized us through his repeated and calculated attacks on teachers, trade unionists, young people and the poor. When the Premier takes pride in not listening to the other parties---even though they won the votes of the majority---that leaves the majority effectively unrepresented.

What lies in store for all of us, the minority who voted for Harris and the majority who did not?

Phase two of the Common Sense Revolution is what we are going to get. My assumption is that we will get it raw, without effective consultation, the way we got phase one.

At the core of Harris' thinking is the highly dubious proposition that the government's tax cut has underlain Ontario's enviable rate of economic growth and that a further twenty per cent cut in the provincial income tax will ensure growth for the future. Harris is a firm believer in the 1980s supply-side doctrine of Ronald Reagan that tax cuts for the rich promote capital investments and economic growth which, in turn, ensure a strong flow of tax revenues. Reagan's application of this doctrine resulted in record high deficits and an enormous expansion of the U.S. national debt.

Harris' illusions aside, most observers agree that the main generator of Ontario's growth in recent years has been the continued expansion of the American economy, the source of the province's rising exports to the United States.

During Harris' first term, tax revenues climbed, even though he was cutting taxes.

The trouble is that the American expansion, already the longest in history, has been going on for eight years. When that expansion falters---highly likely over the life of Harris' second term---the faulty assumptions of Tory thinking will be put to the test, with predictably negative consequences for the people of Ontario.

In the event of a recession, tax revenues would fall and a further Harris tax cut would make matters worse. If Harris insisted on going ahead with the tax cut---remember he always keeps his promises---the government would be faced with a choice between rising deficits and a new round of draconian cuts to programs, including health care and education.

And don't forget, the full effects of the Harris government's downloading of services from the province to municipalities has not yet been felt.

Politics in Ontario is likely to get meaner and more polarized in the next couple of years. That is bound to highlight the question of who speaks for Ontario. Don't be surprised if the effectively unrepresented majority is forced in desperation to find novel ways to challenge the legitimacy of a government that has raised speaking only for a minority to a matter of principle.

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posted by James Laxer @ 9:56 PM   0 comments

Cyber Capitalism

(This article was originally written in 1999)

In the age of cyber capitalism, it is wage and salary earners who take it on the chin. That lesson has been driven home by Bell Canada's callous decision to dump 2400 phone operators by selling its telephone-operator division to an American owned company.

The mostly female employees, who have been fighting for pay equity, now may end up with pay cuts of forty per cent. To keep their jobs, many of the operators could have to relocate as the number of phone operator centres is drastically reduced.

Relocating will be no easy thing for the operators, many of whom are single parents. One of the consequences of Bell's move is that operator centres in smaller communities such as Barrie, Bracebridge, Belleville and Huntsville in Ontario are likely to shut down. Moving down the road to another location to keep a job that pays much less will not be possible for many of these women.

What is happening to the telephone operators is the story of the 1990s for too many wage and salary earners in Canada. Consider the case of the meatpacking workers at Maple Leaf in Edmonton who lost their jobs last year because they wouldn't take a huge cut in pay. Heeding the Edmonton example, many of the workers at Maple Leaf in Winnipeg took cuts in their pay from $16 an hour to $9 an hour to save their jobs.

As stock markets soar upwards, leading companies have adopted the strategy of squeezing their employees through layoffs and pay cuts.

At work in companies like Bell Canada is a management mindset that insists that even though they are already highly profitable, they have a right to shed workers to make themselves still more profitable. The managers of large corporations now set their profit goals by drawing lines in the sand. If a company is making 11 or 12 per cent a year, in its return on equity, while other companies are making 16 or 17 per cent, then top managers argue that it is their duty to move toward greater profitability. They are unwilling to ask shareholders to accept a little less in order to preserve jobs. (In return for a commitment not to name the specific companies, I have been shown internal memos written by Canadian corporate managers which argue precisely this case.)

We live in age of widening inequality. Over the past 20 years the income gap between the rich and the rest of the population has increased hugely and the wealth gap has become a chasm. From the mid 1970s to the present, the inflation adjusted income of the average Canadian male has not increased and remains below $35,000 a year, while the real income of the average Canadian female has increased a little, to just over $19,000 a year.

Meanwhile the incomes of chief executives of major North American firms have soared from about thirty times to about one hundred times those of their average employee. In 1996-97, when the value of North American stocks grew by $2 trillion, half of all the gains went to families with incomes of over $200,000 a year.

What has happened is that the link that created a community of interests between profitable companies and their employees has been shattered. Employees are allowed to help their companies make plenty of money, just as the Bell operators have for decades. But once those employees threaten to reduce the rate of profit, even by a little bit, the companies dump them or farm them out.

The great challenge we face is how to ensure that the productivity gains that flow from revolutionary technology get distributed to the majority of the population and not just to a privileged few.

We need to put some fresh ideas on the table to make sure this happens. As a first step, legislation should be passed to levy a steep surtax on any firm cutting its workforce in a year in which the company has declared a profit. Walking away from workers creates huge costs for those workers and their communities. Footloose companies should be forced to help pay those costs.

Over the longer term, the best way to re-create a community of interests between wage and salary earners and their employers is for employees to acquire ownership of the companies they work for. Legislation could be passed to earmark a fixed proportion of the net income of a firm to go into an equity fund, owned by the wage and salary earners, which would eventually give them a majority of the voting shares in the firm.

If we don't take steps like this, greed will rule.

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posted by James Laxer @ 9:54 PM   0 comments

Canada's Air Wars

(This article was originally written in 1999)

What was Buzz Hargrove doing at that love-in with Gerry Schwartz?

That question hasn’t gone away following the withdrawal of the Onex bid to acquire control of Air Canada in the aftermath of a Quebec Superior Court decision ruling the Onex bid illegal. Canada’s air war could quickly flare up once more if, as many expect, financially troubled Canadian Airlines threatens to expire. The sight of Canadian on its death bed will quickly provoke demands for Ottawa to lift the rule barring the acquisition of more than ten per cent of Air Canada by a single purchaser. Schwartz and his backer,American Airlines, could then return to the hunt with a vengeance.

In the next phase of the battle, the CAW president’s endorsement of Onex’s, now expired, takeover bid could come back to haunt him. Hargrove spent a lot of political capital striking a deal with a player who is now, at least temporarily, out of the game. He has antagonized the Air Canada employees who are members of the CAW. And the deal he reached with Schwartz to provide a modicum of job security for his members will be null and void in the next round.

Has Hargrove effectively sidelined himself for the coming, and likely, decisive battle for control of Canada’s airlines?

When the CAW President met with the Onex chief, hard nosed business types put out the word that Gerry had been ambushed by Buzz. In their world, the main point of a corporate takeover is to allow the new management of an enterprise to cut costs. The best way to do that is to lay off thousands of workers. In the present era of crony capitalism, takeovers open the way for millions to be made by shareholders and the deal makers. But if Buzz was blocking Gerry from making the layoffs, the reasoning went, then how could the Onex deal deliver on the splendid promises being made to investors?

Others with a very different outlook asked a very different question. What was the most powerful private sector union leader in Canada, the man who has won good deals for workers in an era when unions are often portrayed as passe, doing with a takeover artist like Gerry Schwartz?

The dilemma for Hargrove is that Gerry Schwartz is the classic corporate raider whose strategy was to acquire 3.1 per cent of Air Canada’s shares on the quiet prior to launching his takeover bid for the company. In a takeover fight, the offers from both sides keep going up. If Schwartz and Onex won, they won. If they lost, the worth of the shares they previously acquired was vastly increased in value. It’s the ultimate game of insider trading---without being illegal---because only the corporate raider knows from the start the game he is playing. Even if his role in the air war goes no further, Schwartz has already been a big winner.

Despite the lull between the last and next rounds of the battle, the threat that American Airlines will be pulling the strings in our national airline, in the not too distant future, remains a palpable one. If the government amends the rules and allows Onex , or some other suitor, to acquire a controlling bloc of Air Canada shares, under NAFTA rules, the door will then be wide open to foreign control of the airline.

I can understand why Hargrove wanted to reach a deal with Schwartz at what he reckoned was the optimum strategic time, the moment when the CAW leader could extract the best possible deal for his members. Make no mistake about it, Buzz Hargrove is usually the best there is when it comes to these kinds of calculations. Purists who criticize Hargrove for striking deals with capitalists have got it wrong. The CAW operates in the real world and that forces its leaders to shake hands with people they don’t much care for.

My concern is that this time, Hargrove made the wrong move. By endorsing one side against the other in a private sector war over who is to control an enterprise, Hargrove has greatly reduced his capacity to push for the kind of public policy framework that alone can now foster the best results for both airline employees and the general public.

A huge, sparsely populated country like Canada needs to control its transportation and communications infrastructure. That has been the key to Canadian existence from day one. It was for this reason in the late 1930s, that the government of William Lyon Mackenzie King created a fledgling, publicly owned airline called Trans Canada Airlines, the predecessor to Air Canada. Collectively, we owned the airline until a few years ago.

Now the key question is: who will be in charge in the future? Canada requires a public policy, which guarantees that our airlines meet the needs of large and small Canadian communities, the interests of the travelling public and the right of airline employees to a secure future.

Buzz Hargrove should be at the centre of the charge to put pressure on the federal government to come up with that set of policies. He should take the present opportunity to vacate the corner he put himself in when he made a deal with a fast buck artist who may well be back in our affairs in the not too distant future.

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posted by James Laxer @ 9:51 PM   0 comments

Childcare: Let's Take the Next Step

(This article was originally written in 1999)

Once again, the great debate about early childhood education is raging in our midst. For children aged two to six, what is best: a parent at home; a nanny; or a facility that combines day care with an educational program?

Once a universal, publicly financed system of early childhood education is established, the odds are that it will become a permanent feature of our societal landscape like medicare. The reason I’m so convinced of this is that I experienced such a system first hand when two of my children attended Maternelles classes in France in the late 1980s. The Maternelle program is available, free of charge, to children aged two to six.

France set up the system many decades ago, long before it was trendy to think that early childhood education was one of the keys to educational success at later levels. France’s original motive was to encourage a higher birth rate so that French military potential would not slip too much below that of Germany. But the Maternelle system has long since evolved into a mainstay of French society. It is not a topic for debate, which divides the right from the left as it does in Canada. There is nothing elitist about the system, which operates in remote villages, in the countryside, and in the heart of Paris.

You can enrol your kids in Maternelle classes when they’re two, provided they’re toilet trained, which most French kids are by that age. That was a sticking point for us when we enrolled our two little ones in the program in the rural area in the south of France where we were living. Emily, who was three and a half, made it in. But Jonathan, who had just turned two was not yet fully toilet trained. We enrolled him in a garderie, a day care centre, where you then paid about a dollar an hour for him to attend. That wonderful facility was also run out of public funds and was staffed by trained professionals. Jonathan made it into the maternelle program when we returned to France three years later.At the school Emily attended, with no tuition for us as foreigners, the program involved language arts and developmentally appropriate exercises, crafts, games, dance, singing, rest and play. Teachers in the program normally have the equivalent of a masters degree in early childhood education.

In France, a country at least as family and child oriented as ours, about thirty per cent of children aged two to three attend the Maternelles, eighty per cent of those three to four attend, and ninety per cent of those four to five are enrolled. French national census data shows that Maternelle attendance improves a child's chance of passing first grade, an important indicator of later school success for pupils from all social strata.

Classes ran from 9.00 to 5.00 p.m. with a two hour lunch break from noon to 2.00 p.m. If you wanted your child to stay for lunch, you bought a ticket for about the equivalent of $1.50. For this Emily received a four course meal. The menu for each day of the week was posted on the door of the school on Monday morning. Some of my Canadian visitors in search of gourmet experiences wanted to know if they could eat there too.

Emily hated the school for the first three months, not because she didn’t like her teacher or her classmates but because everything was in French. She acted as though we had robbed her of her ability to communicate and she was mad…. But at the end of three months, everything changed. She spoke pretty good French by then and she loved the school. Now, at age sixteen, she speaks excellent French and can put on any French accent you want, from Quebecois, to Parisian to that of Provence.

What she learned in the Maternelle classes has been a permanent acquisition and that was true for Jonathan later on. It wasn’t just the scholarly side of the program that mattered. What both kids got was an excellent socialization experience. They made close friends in the school, some of whom remain in touch to this day.

I don’t think any of this would have worked if Emily and Jonathan had not been very close to my spouse and me. The idea of putting your kids in an early educational setting as an alternative to parenting is a very bad one. You can’t run away from your responsibilities as a parent. Today in Canada, the two income family has become the norm for a vast number of people, largely for reasons of economic necessity. Mothers and fathers who work can definitely be good parents, but they need to find a first class solution to meet the needs of their children during the working day. Early childhood education has been proven over a very long time to be an excellent part of a child’s experience, whether or not their parents are in the work force.

Maybe sometime in the next millennium we’re going to wake up to what the French and other Europeans have understood for decades. Indeed, there would be no better way to begin the new millennium than by launching a federal-provincial program that provides a universal, tuition free program for children starting at age two. And of course, the system would be voluntary.

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